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re: Dawgs #10 In CFP Rankings

Posted on 11/18/14 at 7:38 pm to
Posted by Dick Leverage
In The HizHouse
Member since Nov 2013
9000 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 7:38 pm to
No crap! We would be about 6 right now. Committee seems to be very forgiving of the UF debacle right now. Probably consider it a major anomaly against our complete destructions of Clemson, Mizz, Arkansas and Auburn. Sure the Gurley situation and that distraction finally catching up to us is in our favor when they consider that game.
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7794 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

quote:
I just don't see Ohio State, TCU, Baylor, FSU, or Oregon losing again.


Still?


3 weeks ago you said these teams were in our way:

quote:
we won't go with oregon, fsu, TCU, Michigan State, and Notre dame out there.



Me:

quote:
The odds of every team you listed winning out are essentially nil. In all likelihood, there will be multiple losses above us in the rankings over the next 6 weeks. There are 6 teams ahead of us right now outside of the SEC. Those 6 teams, combined, have 28 regular season games left with 10 ranked opponents and a handful of conference titles. You think they're all going to win out?

IF we win the SEC title, we're not going to be competing with 6 one loss teams. My guess is we're competing with 2.


Since then, there have been 4 losses among those teams in just 3 weeks, and there is still a lot of football to be played. There will continue to be losses ahead of us even though there "shouldn't be". The only thing we should concern ourselves with right now is UGA.



Great post. All valid points I'lls say, and the main reason we haven't benefited from this has been all our own fault. Sure it is all possible for any of these teams to lose, but their roads are a lot easier than ours if we can make to the SEC Title game.

I get very frustrated looking at Big 12 and Big Ten schedules. I'll agree with experts who are saying Ohio State is playing great football right now, but I just don't know how they would fare if the played Georgia, Auburn, Florida, and Arkansas in a hypothetical gauntlet.

Edit: Wisconsin is playing very good right now, and could pull the upset against Ohio State.
This post was edited on 11/18/14 at 7:44 pm
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7794 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

We'd be even higher in the rankings if the ref didn't make the bad call on TG's 53 yard TD run in the South Carolina game.



I feel like this and the end of the game mistakes might be what ultimately keeps us out, not the Florida debacle. We have a mysterious blowout loss scheduled every year, and this year it was Florida. We should not have lost to South Carolina.
Posted by DawgfaninCa
San Francisco, California
Member since Sep 2012
20092 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 7:55 pm to
quote:

I feel like this and the end of the game mistakes might be what ultimately keeps us out, not the Florida debacle.


I agree but if the ref had made the correct call on the 53 yard TD run by Gurley we would have won the game in spite of all the mistakes we made during the game.

If it wasn't for the bad call by the ref UGA would probably be ranked 5th or 6th and be in a perfect position to move into the 4th position if we won the rest of our games including the SECCG and depending on what the other 4 teams ranked above us did.

If we win the rest of our games including the SECCG and end up out of the top four then it will be because of the ref's bad call in the South Carolina game not the team's fault.
Posted by RealDawg
Dawgville
Member since Nov 2012
9375 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 8:12 pm to
There are dozens of scenarios that all include us winning out and Mizz losing.

Our best shot is some combination that leaves only three teams with less than two losses.

This means 4 of the top 7 would need to get a loss. We would control 1 of those.

Winning the SEC over AL or Miss State would make us the highest 2 loss team.

Long shot but a shot.

That said, after our melt in FL, a trip to the dome would be a solid season for this team.




Posted by Chef Leppard
Member since Sep 2011
11739 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 8:20 pm to
Posted by JCdawg
Member since Sep 2014
7794 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 8:20 pm to
To be perfectly honest, winning the SEC means way more to me than a "national championship"

Our conference is won on the damn field.
Posted by Broncothor
Member since Jul 2014
3050 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 8:35 pm to
Purely my opinion here. The committee knows that it has to have at least one SEC team in the final 4 or they will be considered invalid. It would love for that team to be a one loss SEC champ. But it knows that UGA could be the champ. So it has to keep us near the top so it wont look too obvious if we are the only Sec team selected if we win the SECCG. If I am on the committee I am hoping Missouri goes to the SECCG so it will be an easy win for the West team who may have just one loss. BUT I may be pulling for Missouri to not go because if they did win the committee cannot take them and will have to select a non champ SEC team which would not make the SEC happy because they want the game to continue to have meaning. Do not think that politics do not have a play here.
This post was edited on 11/18/14 at 9:02 pm
Posted by WhopperDawg
Member since Aug 2013
3073 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

Alabama needs to be #1 when we play them.


The only chance we have is if Bama makes it to SECCG, we make it to SECCG, we win and ride the wave of being the SEC Champ into the 4 spot in the playoffs. And with our national reputation as chokers and underachievers and other conferences could very well have conference champions with just 1 loss. Could very well be Ohio State, Oregon, Baylor/TCU and FSU with a 2 loss UGA at home. Very defendable actually with all being conference champs with just 1 loss and UGA having 2 really bad losses to mediocre teams at best.
Posted by AlaCowboy
North Alabama
Member since Dec 2011
6942 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 9:00 pm to
quote:

Alabama needs to be #1 when we play them.


This^^^
If Bammer wins out they are #1 going into the SECCG. We match up much better against Bammer than Missy State. Plus, we deserve another shot at Bammer.
Posted by WhopperDawg
Member since Aug 2013
3073 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 9:02 pm to
quote:

it will be because of the ref's bad call in the South Carolina game not the team's fault.


Ah, bullshite. Bobo had a chance 1st and goal at their 4 to fix all that shite and gagged it up. That was in our control, the refs are not.
Posted by DawgfaninCa
San Francisco, California
Member since Sep 2012
20092 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 10:25 pm to
quote:


Ah, bullshite. Bobo had a chance 1st and goal at their 4 to fix all that shite and gagged it up. That was in our control, the refs are not.



Even the ref agreed he made a bad call on the 53 yard TD run by Gurley so don't blame Bobo because we wouldn't have had to get another TD in order to win the game if the ref had made the correct call.
Posted by RealDawg
Dawgville
Member since Nov 2012
9375 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 10:38 pm to
Apparent the committee is focusing a lot on each weeks game now and it is weighted more than the prior victories. Style points also are coming into play.
Posted by WhopperDawg
Member since Aug 2013
3073 posts
Posted on 11/18/14 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

Even the ref agreed he made a bad call on the 53 yard TD run by Gurley so don't blame Bobo because we wouldn't have had to get another TD in order to win the game if the ref had made the correct call.




Again, that doesn't matter a bit that the ref agrees, I don't care. You're in control, take care of business at the 4. End of story.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58905 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 5:47 am to
quote:

The problem here is TCU, Baylor, Ohio State, Mississippi State, and Alabama


Baylor has Kansas State left, and Mississippi St. has Mississippi left...and Alabama has Auburn left. ALL are possible losses. Kansas has a pretty good team, and the other two are BIG rivalry games.

Add to that Ohio State will have Nebraska for the B1G championship...sooooo....ANYTHING is possible.
Now, what we would have to worry about is if we beat say, Alabama in the SECCG, and the committee decides to send a 1 loss Mississippi State team over us.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58905 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:05 am to
quote:

quote:


Even the ref agreed he made a bad call on the 53 yard TD run by Gurley so don't blame Bobo because we wouldn't have had to get another TD in order to win the game if the ref had made the correct call.






Again, that doesn't matter a bit that the ref agrees, I don't care. You're in control, take care of business at the 4. End of story.




I think you are both making valid points. While true, we COULD have won the SC game had we come prepared and the play called had been executed.

Also, had the referee made the correct call, we would have won the game and the failed play would not have mattered.

We also have to remember that just about EVERY team that has a won a NC has been the beneficiary of a bad call, lucky play or escaped with a win that they could/should have lost. Face it...there has never been a season in which ANY coach has made every correct call...the team played to its fullest capailities...and the refereees have made every correct call. More often than not, the best team wins, but not always.
Posted by UGAalum08
Greenville, SC
Member since Aug 2014
944 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:20 am to
Maybe the ref makes the right call and we beat USCe. And maybe UT doesnt fumble in their own endzone and we dont escape with a win at home. Let's be honest, turnovers involve a high degree of luck, and we've had far more fall our way this season than not. That has not been the case in recent history and it can hurt. We've had bad breaks just as we've had good ones. You don't get to pick and choose which ones to keep.
Posted by germandawg
Member since Sep 2012
14135 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:44 am to
I am not so sure Bama and MSU don't both still have a loss in the. Before the SEC CG...Auburn can beat Alabama and Ole Miss can win the Egg bowl. If we beat a 2 loss SEC West champ we don't get in...
Posted by SthGADawg
Member since Nov 2007
7035 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Style points also are coming into play.



which is why Richt needs to not be Mr. Nice Guy aginst Charleston Southern and put 70 on them...no letting off the gas anymore Coach...
Posted by DawgfaninCa
San Francisco, California
Member since Sep 2012
20092 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Maybe the ref makes the right call and we beat USCe. And maybe UT doesnt fumble in their own endzone and we dont escape with a win at home.


You're mixing apples and oranges.

The fact is had the ref made the correct call then UGA would have won the game.

The team won the game on the field but a bad call took the win away from us.

Fumbles are part of the game. UT made a mistake and UGA took advantage of it.

Yeah, bad calls by the refs happen in games but a bad call by a ref that costs a team the win is not an excuse to blame the players or the coaches for losing the game.

If UGA had lost another game and were out of the CFP as well as the SECCG because of it then I wouldn't be still bitching about the bad call in the South Carolina game.

I'd put the blame where it belonged which would be on the team and coaches.

However, it's almost impossible for any team to go undefeated and with one loss UGA would be right up there with a damn good chance to be in the CFP and would already be in the SECCG.

Now, because of the bad call by the ref UGA has almost no chance to be in the CFP even if we win the rest of our regular season games and only a hope and a prayer to be in the SECCG.

That's a fact and no one should deny it.

This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 10:40 am
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