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re: Why is auburn so heavily favored against ark?

Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:35 pm to
Posted by ATLtiger12
Atlanta
Member since Dec 2013
675 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:35 pm to
FPI and Vegas both look at analytics and advanced metrics (taking out the bias) to determine who will win the games. Arkansas' best victory this year is against Ole Miss, who has beat the likes of Wofford, UGA, and Memphis. Unlike the pollsters and casual fans the computers realize this is not an impressive win. They also know how bad the Big 12 and TCU is.

Likewise the computers love Auburns win over LSU and don't take part in laughing at them because they fired their coach. This is a classic case where Vegas is looking to take a lot of people's money who are betting against a home team coming off a bye playing against a very average team that happens to be ranked higher.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47857 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:35 pm to
I'm glad we lost the game miles was fired wtf are you that dumb?
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

I havnt said one thing about lsu keep lying idiot


quote:

Auburn cheats it's a fact look at the lsu game this year 5 downs in the first half the pass interference at the end of the game it's what yal do


Are you crazy or just mentally retarded?
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:36 pm to
The line is to get both sides of the betting equal, so it means the books think that's what the general public thinks.

Posted by AUbagman
LA
Member since Jun 2014
10567 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:37 pm to
Because Auburn has a great DL and pass defense while Arkansas has a pretty bad one.
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

I'm glad we lost the game miles was fired

Ed Orgeron will take you to the promised land too, I'm sure. Especially with Ensminger calling the plays. Not sure how you could miss with that combo
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

maybe arky ppl are stupid.


This is a troll right
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47857 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:37 pm to
I'm not whining about it you moron I'm glad we lost the game! Seriously I know bama folk are dumb but Jesus I'd have to type 200 pages just for you to have some kind of context comprehension.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47857 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:38 pm to
He's an interim coach.. Seriously I feel sorry for you.
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

I'm not whining about it

So maybe you could've left out the part about Auburn cheating and skipped to the part where you were glad Miles was fired. Firing a coach midseason almost always gets a team to the championship!
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

Auburn is averaging a whopping 20 ppg against Power 5 teams and has only went over that mark once, against Miss St.
yeah, but their offense is going up a defense giving up a whopping 40.5 ppg against power 5 teams

the worst scoring D in sec history against power 5 opponents
Posted by theenemy
Member since Oct 2006
13078 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

This is a classic case where Vegas is looking to take a lot of people's money who are betting against a home team coming off a bye playing against a very average team that happens to be ranked higher.


This is where you show you don't know what you are talking about.

Vegas does not try to take peoples money by setting them up to bet a certain team. They balance their books and they make money regardless of who wins.
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

He's an interim coach
quote:

Seriously I feel sorry for you.

John L. Smith was busy?
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47857 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:40 pm to
They cheat it's a fact they're not the only team on earth that does there are ways to counter it. Poor thing.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
47857 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:41 pm to
And teams with 2 losses gets to the championship too. My god dude my god.
Posted by jsmoove
Member since Oct 2010
12627 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

so it means the books think that's what the general public thinks.


Yeah, no.

BTW, the line is now -10
Posted by joeyb147
Member since Jun 2009
16019 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:41 pm to
quote:

Auburn cheats it's a fact look at the lsu game this year 5 downs in the first half the pass interference at the end of the game
quote:

You're a typical idiot that's certain.
lol
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40252 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:42 pm to
Throw up your dick beaters. Let's dance
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

And teams with 2 losses gets to the championship too

Yeah and I only remember one suspect, 2-loss team winning a split championship.

Keep telling us you aren't a delusional LSU fan. They broke the frickin mold when they made you.
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 10/17/16 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

They cheat it's a fact

I'm not sure you understand what a fact is. Don't they have schools in the swamp?
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