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re: What SEC team has a chance at "pulling an Auburn" this upcoming season?

Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:02 am to
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46426 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

I think Arkansas is going to be much improved in 2014. They have a nasty OL and two very good RBs. If the defense can make a stop or two and Brandon Allen can make a couple clutch passes, that team could win 8 games.

Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33330 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Arkansas has no chance of turning it around to win 10-12 games.


If you say so.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105405 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:02 am to
How many wins are you sincerely predicting for Arkansas this season?
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26510 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:03 am to
I think UGA will win at least ten games. Mason is a senior QB who has tons of experience in Bobo's system. Oh and that Gurley guy is a damn good football player.

Florida should jump back up to 8+ wins too.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105405 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:03 am to
Just know so. You think you have the team to add 7+ wins to last season?
This post was edited on 3/30/14 at 11:04 am
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46426 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:04 am to
5 or 6
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46426 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:05 am to
quote:

you calling 10 wins?

Not so much
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26510 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:06 am to
Is it even statistically possible for all teams in a division to be bowl eligible?
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:06 am to
You don't have to take my opinion seriously. Don't care.

That said, Bama was 1 play away against the best or second best team in the country from an undefeated regular season and likely shot at fsu last year.

Bama was probably the third best team in the country last year even though they lost the bowl game.

Offensive line and qb returning talent are often the best predictors of success. Bama has huge questions at both.

Bama has their typical weaker than most sec schedule again thisyear. So, Bama is still a lock for 10 wins, probably more.

Regardless of how many Bama wins, absent going undefeated, I think they are not as good this year as last on the field.
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22368 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:08 am to
quote:

I was referring to a team being overlooked that ends up winning a lot of football games, and surprising everyone.


UF.... could be a top 10 defense... if the changes on offense work quickly, I could see them making a run in the East. Driskell has experience and physical ability, just needs to put it together.

We may never see anyone 'pull an auburn' ever again.... go from zero SEC wins to Champs.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33330 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:08 am to
Playing Auburn in game one will benefit the team for the entire season, even if we lose. It will force us to over prepare for a big road game instead of easing into the season with cupcakes like we normally do. We'll already be clicking when we head to Dallas, and I predict a win over aggy.

We could lose to Auburn and still go 10-2 with a loss to Bama. Those are the only two games on our schedule that really scare me.
Posted by Warrior Poet
Living Rent-Free in Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2011
7956 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:08 am to
Nobody, but you've got to look at the teams that are not eligible because they are expected to get ten wins or more.

Those teams include Bama, LSU, Auburn, UGA, USCe


That leaves you with some potentials for

A&M
UF
Tenn
Mizz
Ole Miss


Of those, all are expected to be decent. I would be surprised if any weren't bowl eligible and likely ending the post season with less than 8-9 wins.

Of the ones who could get 10-11 wins, really hard to say. My best bet would be UF or A&M.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105405 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:09 am to
I will say Arky wins 7-8. I do like your O Line and your DL is solid. Obviously RB position is top tier. Don't know much about your receivers, and QB situation should be improved.

How is the LB and DB situation for Arky?
Posted by Nicolae
Member since Dec 2012
1880 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Overall, strongest SEC since 2012 or even 2008 IMO.


Agreed.
Posted by APimpNamedNamath
by the bar with the pretty women
Member since Mar 2014
108 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Bama was 1 playaway against the best or second best team in the country

You mean the exact team the went 3-9 (0-8) the year before in a pro style offense experiment, yeah lucky breaks (MSU, aTm, UGA, BAMA) and scheme change had nothing to do with that they were always a Seattle Seahawks caliber team.
Posted by chattabama
12essee
Member since Jun 2012
19315 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:19 am to
What we lack in experience on qb, we make up for in skill positions. WR's, TEs, and RB's all coming back with a lot of experience. In terms of the oline, there are some question marks, but not more questions than there were coming in to last season.

Also have a more experienced corners. Saban's defense being successful is predicated on having strong corners. Our strongest option last year at corner was a hobbling Belue. None of our freshman last year were early enrollees, so they didn't get on campus until July. Saban's system is not a plug and play, but comes with a lot of reads etc. These corners having another year in the system to learn the playbook is invaluable.

Also we have the intangibles that were missing last year. Nobody is going in to this year entitled or thinking Bama is unbeatable.

That being said, I think our ceiling is 15 wins and our floor is 12. I think we go 12-2. My crazy prediction this year is that every team in the SECw will have a minimum of two losses.
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:26 am to
Every team in the sec west probably will have two losses except 1 IMO.

I think AU and Bama have the best shot at losing 1 or less.

I think AU will have the better team between the two, but Bama ofcourse has an easier schedule and the IB at home. So a tossup. With lsu also having a shot but needing to beat AU at JH.
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
80110 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:47 am to
quote:

Can Tenner get 10 wins? aTm?


A&M gets a minimum of 7 wins next season (4 non-conference + Arkansas and the two Mississippi schools)

The only sure losses are at Auburn and at Alabama

The remaining 3 are tossups (at SCar, LSU and Missouri at home)
Posted by DoreonthePlains
Auburn, AL
Member since Nov 2013
7436 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 11:49 am to
quote:

Vanderbilt - 7 wins


I think that's a bit low. The schedule sets up well with a bye or cupcake before Ole Miss (home), South Carolina (home), Missouri (away), Florida (home), and MSU (away). The two "tough stretches" are at UK then at UGA and at MSU then home for UT.

Aug. 28: Temple (Nashville)
Sept. 6: Ole Miss (Nashville)
Sept. 13: UMass (Nashville)
Sept. 20: South Carolina (Nashville)
Sept. 27: at Kentucky (Lexington)
Oct. 4: at Georgia (Athens)
Oct. 11: Charleston Southern (Nashville)
Oct. 25: at Missouri (Columbia)
Nov. 1: Old Dominion (Nashville)
Nov. 8: Florida (Nashville)
Nov. 22: at Mississippi State (Starkville)
Nov. 29: Tennessee (Nashville)

All of those games are winnable. I certainly don't think Vandy goes undefeated especially considering what we have to replace. It's a low floor, high ceiling year based on a lot of potential. Although, for the purpose of this thread, I guess a team with consecutive 9 win seasons doesn't qualify.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
26510 posts
Posted on 3/30/14 at 12:06 pm to
Returning starters in 2014 per Phil Steele

Kentucky - 16
Mississippi State - 16 (including QB)
Ole Miss - 15 (including QB)
Georgia - 15
Arkansas - 15 (including QB kinda)
Texas A&M - 15
Auburn - 14 (including QB)
South Carolina - 14
Florida - 14 (including QB kinda)
Alabama - 12
LSU - 12
Tennessee - 10 (not sure if their QB returns or even if they want him to return)
Vandy - 10
Missouri - 9
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