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re: VandyFans: Will you please explain "regression toward the mean" to USC fans?

Posted on 8/29/14 at 11:59 am to
Posted by DoreonthePlains
Auburn, AL
Member since Nov 2013
7436 posts
Posted on 8/29/14 at 11:59 am to
This was actually a really well-done thread. Congrats on that. However, viewed over the last few seasons, Vandy was/is (remains to be seen no matter how bad one result is) on an upward trend from a numbers perspective. Technically, this is the outlier for recent history. It depends on what time frame is viewed as pertinent. That's not to say last night's result is not incredibly alarming but hitting the panic button now would be as bad as pulling Patton in 1st quarter.

I hope Keaton breaks the scoreboard in Neyland though.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 8/29/14 at 12:33 pm to
quote:

Is it your opinion that Tennessee has a new normal?

Your long-run moving average is most definitely sloping downward.

A decade of mediocrity is statistically significant, I'm pretty sure.



Yes...UT has become the 90's LSU of the SEC.
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