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re: Spin off thread - Which team is the luckiest against your team?

Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:24 pm to
Posted by AlabamaAlum07
Member since Jun 2014
2027 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:24 pm to
Auburn. Ingram's fumble rolling around that far on the field without going out of bounds until it went through the back of the endzone.
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:24 pm to
You forgot the part where Florida was also better at getting the refs to do everything they could to ensure a win
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:24 pm to
I read other peoples' posts. Just not the rambling drivel Kyle posts
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140383 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:25 pm to
23-20

Outplayed and out paid.
Posted by Porcine Human
Fayetteville, Arkansas
Member since Feb 2016
11220 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:26 pm to
Call it what you want

I'll settle for a win in November this year
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:26 pm to
Only one?
This post was edited on 7/5/16 at 2:27 pm
Posted by roadGator
Member since Feb 2009
140383 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:31 pm to
Arky has to beat UF sometime or another.
Posted by Killean
Port Charlotte, FL
Member since Nov 2010
4669 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:34 pm to
Auburn.. from long touchdowns called back under Tuberville.. to magical fumbles that didn't happen under Chizik to all the other random bullshite under Gus.


Auburn is a perennial 6-6 team with a lot of lucky bounces.
Posted by rockytop627
Member since Jan 2014
10041 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

CNB


As amazing as that 2014 comeback was, Barnett got away with that PF on 3rd down. If that gets called, game over
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:38 pm to
For Georgia, I feel like its South Carolina. While some of their wins were not necessarily "lucky" against us, it does seem like they have our number more often than they should.

Somehow the Gamecocks have beaten us 9 times since joining the SEC. I would say there have only been two seasons in which South Carolina for sure had the better team (2010 and 2013). There were probably two or three other seasons in which there was very little difference. Otherwise, Georgia is usually the better team every time we've taken the field against the Gamecocks. Yet somehow they've beaten us 9 times.
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:43 pm to
Is that where he slung Thompson around like a rag doll?
Posted by CNB
Columbia, SC
Member since Sep 2007
95904 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:44 pm to
So 2012 Georgia was a better team?
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

So 2012 Georgia was a better team?


Game results aside, we did win the East and take Alabama to the absolute brink. We were a single play's difference from winning the National Championship because we all know we would have beaten Notre Dame.

So yes, as as whole, i think Georgia was at least even. '12 was one of those years in which I think the teams were pretty even.

We did finish ahead of South Carolina in the final rankings.
Posted by DuncanIdaho
Ouray, CO
Member since Feb 2013
14970 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Auburn is a perennial 6-6 team with a lot of lucky bounces.

Yeah, not true at all. I'll go ahead and guess you've only been following football the past 5 years.
Posted by bigDgator
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2008
41304 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:55 pm to
I think the 2012 SoCar game was one of the luckiest I have ever seen Florida play.

Sorry meant that for CNB.
This post was edited on 7/5/16 at 2:56 pm
Posted by Farmer1906
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Apr 2009
50383 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:55 pm to
LSU.
Posted by r2d2
Member since Dec 2006
6842 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 2:57 pm to
not taking anything away from Bama's teams but they've had some luck agaisnt LSU in the last couple pf games at Tiger Stadium. '12 and '14
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 3:03 pm to
To me, a "lucky" win is when something extremely out of ordinary, rare, or unlikely happens and your team wins.

If your team is up by 4 late and a wide open WR drops a TD pass that would have won - you got lucky.

Up by 2 and a team misses a short FG as time expires that would have won - you got lucky.

You give up a big play to lose the game but a penalty flag takes it back - you got lucky.

The '14 Bama/LSU game saw Bama benefit from great starting field position when the KO went OOB, but they still had to drive down the field some 50+ yards with less than one minute to go to tie and THEN had to score and hold on D in OT. That game saw some good fortune benefit Bama, but it wasn't lucky that they won.

The '12 Bama/LSU game saw Bama drive late and win on the screen pass to Yeldon, but he made guys miss and McCarron/Norwood connections earlier in that drive helped Bama come from behind to win with less than 1 minute to go. Bama benefited from poor coaching by LSU, but also from good coaching/play calling on O. Fortunate at times? Yes. Lucky? No.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37299 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Yeah! Who comes to a message board to read?!


all of us but there is something to be said for being concise and to the point without making filibuster posts. it can be done, and easily.

Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/5/16 at 3:10 pm to
Here are some statistics that might shed some light.

Winning percentage in SEC games (SEC vs. SEC) in games decided by one score or less (8 points):

#1 Auburn (61.1%)
#2 LSU (61.0%)
#3 Florida (58.0%)
#4 Georgia (57.1%)
#5 Tennessee (53.7%)
#6 Alabama (51.3%)
#7 Miss. St. (50.7%)
#8 Texas A&M (50.0%)
#9 Missouri (50.0%)
#10 Arkansas (49.4%)
#11 S. Carolina (45.2%)
#12 Ole Miss (39.0%)
#13 Kentucky (36.8%)
#14 Vanderbilt (32.3%)

So Auburn does come away with the best record in close games.... but VERY close to LSU in that statistic. Whether you want to call it "luck" or whatever, Auburn and LSU seem to catch more breaks in close games.

Which teams have played in the most close games? Again these are only SEC games since 1992:

90- Auburn
86- LSU
83- S. Carolina
82- Ole Miss
81- Tennessee
78- Georgia
77- Alabama
77- Arkansas
76- Kentucky
72- Miss. St.
69- Florida
65- Vanderbilt

Texas A&M has played in 14, Mizzou 12... but that's only since they joined the league in 2011.

I think its fair to see why Auburn and LSU seem to have the reputation for being the "most lucky." They have both played in the most close conference games, and they have the best winning percentages in such games.
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