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re: SEC Series Opener in Baseball, Predictions

Posted on 3/13/14 at 7:34 pm to
Posted by Klongdawg
Member since Oct 2010
8293 posts
Posted on 3/13/14 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

UGA takes 2 of 3 from MSU. Probably not, but why not?


IMO, this is the most likely outcome.
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 3/13/14 at 7:45 pm to
Lsu takes Friday. Close on Saturday. It could go either way, but I give vandy the edge. And then vandy beats up in our bullpen Sunday.
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
22815 posts
Posted on 3/13/14 at 7:58 pm to
I think you underestimate Poche.
Posted by ConwayGamecock
South Carolina
Member since Jan 2012
9121 posts
Posted on 3/13/14 at 8:12 pm to
Expected starting rotations for this weekend between USC and Ole Miss:

Friday:
Jordan Montgomery (Jr. LHP) 3-0, 1.99 ERA, 22.2 IP, 8 BB, 25 SO
Chris Ellis (Jr. RHP) 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 27.2 IP, 10 BB, 20 SO

Saturday:
Jack Wynkoop (So. LHP) 4-0, 1.37 ERA, 26.1 IP, 3 BB, 24 SO
Christian Trent (So. LHP) 2-0, 3.96 ERA, 25.0 IP, 1 BB, 25 SO

Sunday:
Wil Crowe (Fr. RHP) 3-0, 0.99 ERA, 27.1 IP, 3 BB, 21 SO
Sam Smith (Jr. RHP) 3-0, 1.61 ERA, 22.1 IP, 6 BB, 13 SO


Both weekend staffs come in without a recorded loss to their seasons to be found, and only 1 of the 6 have an ERA above 2.00. Ellis having all goose eggs for an ERA is impressive considering his low strikeout:walk ratio. Trent has a high ERA: he's given up 2 HRs and 4 dbls, but only has 1 walk, so looks like he doesn't fool anyone with stuff but just tries to throw it past them. Smith's opponents are hitting .241 and he doesn't have a lot of Ks, so it looks like he induces a lot of ground-outs and/or fly-outs. Both Trent and Smith have hit 8 batters thus far: our entire team has hit only 9....

Either way, it appears at a glance that runs will come at a premium this weekend. Let's hope our pitchers are up to the task, and especially our DEFENSE, as one blown error could mean the difference in a win or loss this series....

This post was edited on 3/13/14 at 8:14 pm
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61795 posts
Posted on 3/13/14 at 8:18 pm to
Exactly, I like LSU's chances on Sunday better than Saturday. Poche may be our #2 starter.
This post was edited on 3/13/14 at 8:19 pm
Posted by CockInYourEar
Charlotte
Member since Sep 2012
22458 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 7:32 am to
quote:

Expected starting rotations for this weekend between USC and Ole Miss:

Friday:
Jordan Montgomery (Jr. LHP) 3-0, 1.99 ERA, 22.2 IP, 8 BB, 25 SO
Chris Ellis (Jr. RHP) 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 27.2 IP, 10 BB, 20 SO

Saturday:
Jack Wynkoop (So. LHP) 4-0, 1.37 ERA, 26.1 IP, 3 BB, 24 SO
Christian Trent (So. LHP) 2-0, 3.96 ERA, 25.0 IP, 1 BB, 25 SO

Sunday:
Wil Crowe (Fr. RHP) 3-0, 0.99 ERA, 27.1 IP, 3 BB, 21 SO
Sam Smith (Jr. RHP) 3-0, 1.61 ERA, 22.1 IP, 6 BB, 13 SO


Both weekend staffs come in without a recorded loss to their seasons to be found, and only 1 of the 6 have an ERA above 2.00. Ellis having all goose eggs for an ERA is impressive considering his low strikeout:walk ratio. Trent has a high ERA: he's given up 2 HRs and 4 dbls, but only has 1 walk, so looks like he doesn't fool anyone with stuff but just tries to throw it past them. Smith's opponents are hitting .241 and he doesn't have a lot of Ks, so it looks like he induces a lot of ground-outs and/or fly-outs. Both Trent and Smith have hit 8 batters thus far: our entire team has hit only 9....

Either way, it appears at a glance that runs will come at a premium this weekend. Let's hope our pitchers are up to the task, and especially our DEFENSE, as one blown error could mean the difference in a win or loss this series....


SC and Ole Miss are really evenly matched in hitting and 1 or the other only slightly leads in all the hitting categories. It's the same thing for pitching 1 slightly leads the other in various pitching categories.
https://www.secdigitalnetwork.com/Portals/3/SEC%20Website/Baseball/2014/Statistics.pdf

However, it looks like IF Ole Miss is going to steal a game in Columbia, it's going to be on Friday with Ellis pitching. The entire weekend staff for both squads are undefeated and had a great "pre-season" but now is the time they start cutting teeth. Yardcocks vs Yardsharks, this is going to be really entertaining and some good baseball.

Posted by Hillbilly Joe
Member since Feb 2014
400 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 8:23 am to
Ole Miss @ South Carolina
LSU @ Vanderbilt
Miss State @ UGA
UK @ Alabama
Texas A&M @ Auburn
Tennessee @ Missouri
Arkansas @ Florida
This post was edited on 3/14/14 at 8:24 am
Posted by CockHolliday
Columbia, SC
Member since Dec 2012
4515 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 8:33 am to
quote:

#14 Ole Miss @ #1 South Carolina
#6 LSU @ #5 Vanderbilt




These should be great series

I don't see any obvious sweeps this weekend but I'm sure there will be one or two.
Posted by RebelNutt
God's Country
Member since Dec 2007
6478 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 9:20 am to
#14 Ole Miss @ #1 South Carolina - USC 2-1
(Gut says USC sweep but homer of course)

#6 LSU @ #5 Vanderbilt - LSU 2-1

#20 Miss State @ UGA - MSU 2-1

#21 UK @ Alabama - Alabama 2-1

#23 Texas A&M @ Auburn - A&M 2-1

#26 Tennessee @ Missouri - Tenn 3-0

Arkansas @ Florida - UF 2-1
This post was edited on 3/14/14 at 9:21 am
Posted by RebFeBrees
Pensacola, FL
Member since Dec 2009
13855 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 9:40 am to
quote:

this is going to be really entertaining and some good baseball.



It made my week when I found out it's gonna be on ESPN3/Watch ESPN.

Apple TV

BWW, Beers, Berls, and SEC Baseball on a Friday night.
This post was edited on 3/14/14 at 9:41 am
Posted by TheCheshireHog
Cashew Chicken Country
Member since Oct 2010
40881 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 9:42 am to
I would be surprised if we even win one with the way we've been playing the last two weeks. Florida 3-0.
Posted by parkjas2001
Gustav Fan Club: Consigliere
Member since Feb 2010
45000 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 9:42 am to
quote:

#23 Texas A&M @ Auburn


AU has won 6 straight games. We have a #53 RPI.

I say we take 2 of 3.
Posted by randystewart
Alexandria, VA
Member since Jul 2010
717 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 9:52 am to
quote:

MSU 2 - UGA 1

Might get swept but holding out hope our bats out hit them 1 game. Lord knows our pitching won't keep us in it


There is no doubt in my mind that yall will out hit us. Our hitting has been pure shite. I'm surprised now when we don't strike out looking.
Posted by PNW
Northern Rockies
Member since Mar 2014
6193 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

There is no doubt in my mind that yall will out hit us. Our hitting has been pure shite. I'm surprised now when we don't strike out looking.



Our pitching has been pure shite, so it will even out in your favor.
Posted by marshallcotiger
Member since Dec 2009
7966 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

AU has won 6 straight games. We have a #53 RPI.

I say we take 2 of 3.


If they hope to carry the series they better win Fri and Sun because Keegan and his sub 0.50 ERA has Sat on lockdown.
Posted by gamecocks22
SC
Member since Dec 2012
4913 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 2:01 pm to





Posted by RebFeBrees
Pensacola, FL
Member since Dec 2009
13855 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 2:35 pm to
Posted by PNW
Northern Rockies
Member since Mar 2014
6193 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

We have a #53 RPI.


I wouldn't put much thought into the RPI currently. Dartmouth is #1 and they've only played 3 games (losing two of them).

Here are SEC RPI:
#5 South Carolina
#7 Vanderbilt
#12 Ole Miss
#35 UGA
#39 Tennessee
#40 Kentucky
#52 Auburn
#60 Florida
#76 Alabama
#78 Texas A&M
#92 LSU
#121 Miss State
#153 Arkansas
#192 Missouri

RPI
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