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SEC Hoops vs KenPom Top 100
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:45 am
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:45 am
So far, not a great start for the SEC as a whole.
SEC vs KenPom Top 25: 4-15
SEC vs KenPom Top 50: 10-22
SEC vs KenPom Top 100: 33-31
SEC vs KenPom 101-362: 61-7
The four big wins against the Top 25:
Tennessee beat #14 Wisconsin
Arkansas beat #15 Duke
Tennessee beat #16 Illinois
Texas A&M beat #19 Iowa St.
The seven bad losses against teams outside the Top 100:
Vanderbilt lost to #294 Presbyterian
LSU lost to #267 Nicholls St
Missouri lost to #261 Jackson St
Mississippi St lost to #239 Southern
Mississippi St lost to #125 Georgia Tech
Kentucky lost to #119 UNC-Wilmington
Arkansas lost to #110 UNC-Greensboro
Record vs the Top 100 sorted by most wins:
4 wins: Tennessee (4-3)
3 wins: Florida (3-3), Texas A&M (3-3), Auburn (3-2), Miss St (3-0), Ole Miss (3-0)
2 wins: Alabama (2-3), Arkansas (2-3), Georgia (2-3), LSU (2-3), Missouri (2-2), S Carolina (2-1), Kentucky (2-1)
1 win: none
0 wins: Vanderbilt (0-4)
I’m not sure the SEC has a single team that looks likely to be a Top 2 seed. I think we have 3-5 teams that look to land somewhere between a 3-seed and a 9-seed. My guess is we only get six teams into the Tournament.
My early gut feeling based on what I’ve seen:
3-seed: Tennessee
4-seed: Auburn
5-seed: Texas A&M
6-seed: Alabama
7-seed: Kentucky
Several teams on the bubble: Arkansas, Ole Miss, Florida, Miss St, Missouri, S Carolina. Likely one gets in and it’s anyone’s guess. My bet would be Florida right now.
Vanderbilt and LSU appear to be the bottom 2 teams.
SEC vs KenPom Top 25: 4-15
SEC vs KenPom Top 50: 10-22
SEC vs KenPom Top 100: 33-31
SEC vs KenPom 101-362: 61-7
The four big wins against the Top 25:
Tennessee beat #14 Wisconsin
Arkansas beat #15 Duke
Tennessee beat #16 Illinois
Texas A&M beat #19 Iowa St.
The seven bad losses against teams outside the Top 100:
Vanderbilt lost to #294 Presbyterian
LSU lost to #267 Nicholls St
Missouri lost to #261 Jackson St
Mississippi St lost to #239 Southern
Mississippi St lost to #125 Georgia Tech
Kentucky lost to #119 UNC-Wilmington
Arkansas lost to #110 UNC-Greensboro
Record vs the Top 100 sorted by most wins:
4 wins: Tennessee (4-3)
3 wins: Florida (3-3), Texas A&M (3-3), Auburn (3-2), Miss St (3-0), Ole Miss (3-0)
2 wins: Alabama (2-3), Arkansas (2-3), Georgia (2-3), LSU (2-3), Missouri (2-2), S Carolina (2-1), Kentucky (2-1)
1 win: none
0 wins: Vanderbilt (0-4)
I’m not sure the SEC has a single team that looks likely to be a Top 2 seed. I think we have 3-5 teams that look to land somewhere between a 3-seed and a 9-seed. My guess is we only get six teams into the Tournament.
My early gut feeling based on what I’ve seen:
3-seed: Tennessee
4-seed: Auburn
5-seed: Texas A&M
6-seed: Alabama
7-seed: Kentucky
Several teams on the bubble: Arkansas, Ole Miss, Florida, Miss St, Missouri, S Carolina. Likely one gets in and it’s anyone’s guess. My bet would be Florida right now.
Vanderbilt and LSU appear to be the bottom 2 teams.
This post was edited on 12/14/23 at 10:55 am
13
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:49 am to AUTiger789
quote:
7-seed: Kentucky
Times are rough for Big Blue Nation
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:49 am to AUTiger789
quote:fricking seriously, Mizzou?
Missouri lost to #261 Jackson St
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:51 am to AUTiger789
Kudos to Tennessee for playing a high % of their games against the top 100 and getting a winning record against them.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:52 am to AUTiger789
Is Miami not a KenPom top 100 team? Or St Joes?
This post was edited on 12/14/23 at 10:55 am
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:53 am to AUTiger789
quote:
Arkansas beat #15 Duke
quote:
Arkansas lost to #110 UNC-Greensboro
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:56 am to LegendOfCobb
Sorry. Skipped over Kentucky by mistake. They are 2-1 against the Top 100. OP fixed.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 10:57 am to AUTiger789
Think we’ll learn a lot about UK this weekend versus UNC
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:03 am to AUTiger789
It's amazing with even all the investments the SEC has tried to make in basketball and we still cant put some good seasons together.
I am sorry LSU threw in the white towel with McMahon, we simply gave up.
I am sorry LSU threw in the white towel with McMahon, we simply gave up.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:05 am to BevoBucks
quote:
7-seed: Kentucky Times are rough for Big Blue Nation
Based on an Auburn’s fan opinion? Lulz
I am holding off until Kentucky plays UNC and Zaga. But to the OPs point, the UNCW loss is an anchor around UKs neck.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:06 am to skrayper
quote:
Kudos to Tennessee for playing a high % of their games against the top 100 and getting a winning record against them.
They have looked good. They are a veteran team with their starting PG, starting SG, and starting SF returning and returning a few key bench guys and bringing more vets from the portal. Feels like they have a ton of contributors that are 3rd 4th and even 5th year guys.
Will be interesting to see if other SEC teams that are younger and/or have more new faces can gel and peak later after an obvious shaky start.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:09 am to AUTiger789
quote:
Mississippi St lost to #125 Georgia Tech
I wouldn't necessarily call this a bad loss based on eye test. They beat Duke the next game after beating us.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:13 am to BobLeeDagger
quote:
They beat Duke the next game after beating us.
And then got bootyclapped by the Dawgs
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:16 am to AUTiger789
Bart Torvik’s Projected SEC Finish:
1. Auburn (12-6, 23-8)
1. Tennessee (12-6, 22-9)
1. Alabama (12-6, 21-10)
4. Kentucky (11-7, 21-10)
4. Texas A&M (11-7, 20-11)
4. Florida (11-7, 20-11)
7. Mississippi St (10-8, 20-11)
8. Arkansas (9-9, 17-14)
9. Missouri (8-10, 17-14)
10. Ole Miss (7-11, 20-11)
10. S Carolina (7-11, 19-12)
12. Georgia (6-12, 16-15)
12. LSU (6-12, 14-17)
14. Vanderbilt (3-15, 9-22)
If this were to pan out, I think Tennessee would be a 3-seed… Auburn and Bama 4-seeds… Kentucky probably a 7-seed. Texas A&M and Florida 9-seeds.
Mississippi State would be one of the first 4-8 teams out and would be wishing they had beat Southern in early December.
1. Auburn (12-6, 23-8)
1. Tennessee (12-6, 22-9)
1. Alabama (12-6, 21-10)
4. Kentucky (11-7, 21-10)
4. Texas A&M (11-7, 20-11)
4. Florida (11-7, 20-11)
7. Mississippi St (10-8, 20-11)
8. Arkansas (9-9, 17-14)
9. Missouri (8-10, 17-14)
10. Ole Miss (7-11, 20-11)
10. S Carolina (7-11, 19-12)
12. Georgia (6-12, 16-15)
12. LSU (6-12, 14-17)
14. Vanderbilt (3-15, 9-22)
If this were to pan out, I think Tennessee would be a 3-seed… Auburn and Bama 4-seeds… Kentucky probably a 7-seed. Texas A&M and Florida 9-seeds.
Mississippi State would be one of the first 4-8 teams out and would be wishing they had beat Southern in early December.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:19 am to AUTiger789
What is the deal with Torvik and Auburn fans? Did he graduate from Auburn?
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:20 am to Rip Torn
Not sure. I was introduced to that metric when SummerofGeorge linked it once, who is a Bama fan.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:22 am to skrayper
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:29 am to AUTiger789
State will be a tourney team. We have been without our best player but he will back for SEC play.
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:34 am to AUTiger789
Kentucky too high
Posted on 12/14/23 at 11:47 am to Rip Torn
Torvik is big ghey.
Kenneth is the OG
Kenneth is the OG
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