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Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:32 pm to ocelot4ark
quote:
Not confident as Vegas? What kind of fan are you?
I guess not.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:43 pm to Ray Penpillage
quote:
Ray Penpillage
Gambler's fallacy.
That's not what that means/how that works.
Gambler's fallacy would be "There is a 1/20 chance that a 21 pt. dog wins straight up. The last 40 have lost. Someone is/we are due".
I believe OP is saying "21 pt. dogs have a 1/20 chance of winning. Arkansas is a 21 pt. dog. Arkansas has a 1/20 chance of winning."
This post was edited on 8/25/14 at 2:45 pm
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:46 pm to APIEE
Yes, exactly what I meant. 
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:52 pm to AUbagman
here are some numbers for you, since 2008 you are 2-4 vs the hogs. And it took two of the best teams in Awbarns history to earn those TWO wins. congrats on your ONE win "streak"
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:54 pm to AUbagman
Here's real numbers:
quote:
This will be 7th time unranked Arkansas will play ranked Auburn team at Jordan-Hare Stadium since 1994. The Hogs are 3-3 in previous 6 games
quote:
Arkansas also has won 3 of the past 4 games at Auburn (2006, 2008, 2012). Auburn was ranked in 2006, 2008 games. Arkansas was not ranked.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:54 pm to swinetime
thanks
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:58 pm to PorkSammich
Those aren't real numbers within my parameters. Stick with the here and now, it will save you grief.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 2:59 pm to PorkSammich
quote:
Arkansas also has won 3 of the past 4 games at Auburn (2006, 2008, 2012).
AU wins those years.
11, 5, 3...solid accomplishment.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:00 pm to AUbagman
Auburn has beaten Arkansas by 21 or more once in their entire history.
Arkansas has beaten Auburn by 21 or more twice in the last 5 years alone.
Arkansas has beaten Auburn by 21 or more twice in the last 5 years alone.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:02 pm to Killean
quote:
Auburn has beaten Arkansas by 21 or more once in their entire history.
Arkansas has beaten Auburn by 21 or more twice in the last 5 years alone.
Congrats. What does that have to do with this year and the current spread?
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:03 pm to parkjas2001
How many games did Arkansas win last year?
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:04 pm to AUbagman
quote:
Congrats. What does that have to do with this year and the current spread?
About as much as the OP did.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:04 pm to ocelot4ark
3
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:05 pm to ocelot4ark
quote:
About as much as the OP did.
You're reaching really far on that one.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:09 pm to parkjas2001
quote:
AU wins those years.
11, 5, 3...solid accomplishment.
Auburn is an inconsistent program that always up and down, partly because they lose to Arkansas so often.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:12 pm to PorkSammich
quote:
partly because they lose to Arkansas so often.
Meh...we win more than we lose.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:22 pm to parkjas2001
Solid accomplishment beating a 3 win team. But why are you confident THIS year?
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:22 pm to AUbagman
quote:
You're reaching really far on that one.
Negatory.
Posted on 8/25/14 at 3:30 pm to ocelot4ark
quote:
But why are you confident THIS year?
Im not confdent we cover.
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