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re: LSU a 16 point favorite.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 11:08 am to cave canem
Posted on 9/13/16 at 11:08 am to cave canem
quote:He's missing a lot more than that as evidenced by him asking the question below 2 pages back.
What you are missing here is economics of scale and the fact that the line is a "living thing".
"Why on earth would anyone ever bet on a game if their bet can be unilaterally changed by the bookie after they've placed it?"
DAMN!
0
Posted on 9/13/16 at 11:10 am to cave canem
quote:
What you are missing here is economics of scale and the fact that the line is a "living thing".
I understand that the example was oversimplified with just two people betting, but the point is that if different bettors have different betting lines, just evening out the money on both sides doesn't guarantee the bookie makes money, regardless of scale. But, whatever. Bookies obviously make money so they somehow make it work.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 11:15 am to MullenBoys
True opened at 15, went to 16, currently at 12.5. Suspect will drop into single digits depending on volume.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 11:22 am to JesusQuintana
quote:
Other things do effect the line, of course, but the ultimate goal is to achieve even money
Biggest misconception about sports betting.
With their overhead and cost of laying off action, a 10% gross profit margin (best case) is simply not enough.
They orchestrate lines to put money where they want it, not to balance their books.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 1:59 pm to MullenBoys
16 is way too much
Posted on 9/13/16 at 2:03 pm to Weagle25
That is really the question how many points can LSU score. I think LSU will win unless Miles goes back to three yards and cloud of dust, but I expect a close game
Posted on 9/13/16 at 2:06 pm to No Colors
What overhead? Many of these books are online only
Posted on 9/13/16 at 2:13 pm to MullenBoys
Trap game
Posted on 9/13/16 at 2:29 pm to MullenBoys
quote:
That seems high so the question is, what does Vegas know that I don't.
That as bad as LSU is, State is twice as bad. State is gonna get pounded like that fat frick Stingrays mom at the truck stop.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 3:48 pm to victoire sécurisé
. but LSU has a superior secondary.
Here's where ya lost me...
Here's where ya lost me...
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:00 pm to MullenBoys
I wouldn't worry much. LSU probably won't even score 16. And who is this Etling guy everyone is talking about? Did he come in the game last week and complete a pass? Let me guess...suddenly he's a Heisman contender?
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:00 pm to MullenBoys
quote:
MSU defense can defend a dual threat QB. It's got to do with something else trust me.
maybe because you're on the road and already lost a home game to South Alabama
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:02 pm to SoFla Tideroller
quote:
Here's where ya lost me...
what do you need a pop up book? retarded gumps
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:02 pm to MullenBoys
Vegas knows that MSU lost to South Alabama. Not sure if you know that.
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:03 pm to BoarEd
quote:
And who is this Etling guy everyone is talking about?
well I couldn't name 4 arky players so that makes us even
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:08 pm to Nado Jenkins83
Not so retarded to know that secondary outside of T. White is average. Certainly not anything worthy of the self-proclaimed title of "DBU". 
Posted on 9/13/16 at 4:24 pm to SoFla Tideroller
quote:
Not so retarded to know that secondary outside of T. White is average. Certainly not anything worthy of the self-proclaimed title of "DBU".
retarded enough to think I care what you think.
fricking gumps.
This post was edited on 9/13/16 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 9/13/16 at 5:08 pm to BoarEd
You know who he is in fact you know all about LSU....you post in every thread pig!!
Posted on 9/13/16 at 5:55 pm to MsState of mind
So you would have nothing to show for it....
Posted on 9/13/16 at 6:25 pm to remaster916
quote:
State did lose to South Alabama
Never happened
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