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Is Dan Mullen a ninja at developing players? MSU-LSU Recruiting Comparison

Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:01 pm
Posted by radicalizedtigah
Member since Aug 2016
3495 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:01 pm
According to 247 this is how MSU and LSU compared recruiting the last 5 years.

During the combined recruiting cycles from 2013-2017, MSU landed:
2 5 stars
20 4 stars
91 3 stars
5 2 stars or less

During the same 5 cycles, LSU landed:
9 5 stars
73 4 stars
44 3 stars
2 2 stars or less

LSU has signed over 4x the 5 star players,
Almost 4x the 4 star players,
Less than half the 3 star players,
And less than half the 2 star or lower players.

Yet last Saturday, MSU players seemed at least as athletic, obvioulsy more physical, and certainly better coached and prepared than our LSU players.

You have to be impressed with what Mullen has done in Starkville in terms of strength and conditioning and pure coaching and wonder how is this guy not more coveted by other schools.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Atlanta GA - ITP
Member since Sep 2012
24933 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:02 pm to
probably just better at recruiting for his system + very good at qb development
Posted by jbond
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2012
4938 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:03 pm to
I'm sure LSU players were just ranked higher from the Corndog Bump their recruits get.


Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42557 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:06 pm to
He recruits size (he has said this on the past). It doesn't take as much development when you are bigger than someone. He runs into problems when facing a team with similar size.
Posted by Godawgs4
Member since Aug 2016
4241 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:12 pm to
How much difference is a 4 Star versus a 3 Star? How do they a determine which is better?
I get it that 5 Stars are supposed to be better (at least on paper). However beyond that, how do you really determine if this TE from KS is really better than this TE from WV, this DE from TN is better than this DE from IL and on. Can be very subjective as far as these recruiting ratings go.
Just my 2 cents on this.
Posted by Mohican
Member since Nov 2012
6179 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:33 pm to
Talent evaluation with overlooked guys. He has a bit of Tuberville in him. Just take Dak and Fitz as perfect examples. Georgia and LSU passed on them as QBs. They became elite QBs, embarrassing especially to LSU who can't seem to buy a decent one.

He finds guys that are overlooked, and mixes in elite talent typically from MS.

He's just a smart coach with a very good offensive system and builds his team properly. He's also at a school that has allowed him to stick around long enough to learn on the job and build a program.
Posted by Gradual_Stroke
Bee Cave, TX
Member since Oct 2012
20917 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Is Dan Mullen a ninja at developing players?




Is he a sneaky assassin in feudal japan? I don't understand why you used the word "ninja"?
Posted by skirpnasty
Atlantis
Member since Aug 2012
10781 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

He recruits size (he has said this on the past). It doesn't take as much development when you are bigger than someone. He runs into problems when facing a team with similar size.



Not so much size as the frame. McKinney is a good example. Everyone else saw a skinny 6'4" two star QB, Mullen saw the frame and athleticism for an elite MLB. He emphasizes recruiting the things you can't teach. So you can teach a guy how to tackle, or how to throw. You can't teach a frame, or leadership, etc...

Mississippi has a lot of high schools that don't have fantastic S&C programs. It allows him to really consider where a guy could be in 2-3 years instead of looking at where they are as a senior in high school.

It's not something that works for every program, and it really takes time to get it rolling. We redshirt probably 80-90% of incoming players.
This post was edited on 9/20/17 at 2:48 pm
Posted by BayouBearBryant
Member since Sep 2017
89 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:45 pm to
It's obvious, isn't it? It's the same reason LSU is almost the most penalized team in the nation. COACHING. It's terrible. Like, really really frickING terrible
Posted by Godawgs4
Member since Aug 2016
4241 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 2:51 pm to
I think one other thing is stability. Each year he has seemingly inched his recruiting slightly higher. Not much that it shows up on a radar screen but now our team has more talent than people realize. Maybe a little below the so called big boys but I think we have cut the difference so that on the field we can compete with every body except Bama (just another level there). Anybody else, we can ball with now.
Posted by SouthOfHere
Pascagoula, Ms
Member since Feb 2013
1921 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 3:16 pm to
5 stars are probably gonna play early and be good usually. LSU gets a lot of them and 4 stars who may be ready and may not. State uses out of necessity, red shirting more than most elite programs. High 3 stars and four stars have redshirted and developed over a couple years before they become starters. This year and next as in 2014 we have the right amount to field a team with experienced depth and seasoned quality starters. They've been in the same system for a few years for the most part. Of course there are exceptions. But the majority of the team has been built this way. Seasoned, conditioned, experienced high 3 stars and four stars are better than young 5 stars sometimes. LSU is a young team with elite talent. It's tough to build a team like State has but it works out every few years if done right.
Posted by msu202020
Member since Feb 2011
4142 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

embarrassing especially to LSU who can't seem to buy a decent one.



Stop offering Defensive Tackles 750K (at least that's what Ole Miss says) and you could afford a QB.
Posted by Ole Messcort
Member since Aug 2017
1752 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:01 pm to
Pretty sure there's more 3* players in the NFL than 4*+5* players combined. Eventually you're going to figure out that you're getting sold a bag o goods by recruiting sites looking to make money off of the larger fanbases by ranking the players you sign higher than the rest. Sorry to break it to ya but outside of the top 50 players each year the next 300 of them are all 3* in reality.
Posted by MStateDawg
Member since Apr 2012
121 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

embarrassing especially to LSU who can't seem to buy a decent one.


I was shocked you guys passed on Keytaon Thompson. He seemed like a no-brainer for LSU to take. That's another one that'll come back and bite you.
Posted by MStateDawg
Member since Apr 2012
121 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

Pretty sure there's more 3* players in the NFL than 4*+5* players combined.


But the number of players ranked as 3 stars is exponentially higher than the total for 4 & 5 stars. The percentage of 4 & 5 stars that make the NFL is higher.
Posted by AllbyMyRelf
Virginia
Member since Nov 2014
3319 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:28 pm to
If you ask the Spirit board, they'll tell you we juice.
Posted by AllbyMyRelf
Virginia
Member since Nov 2014
3319 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:31 pm to
But aren't there also more 3* players than 4&5* players? How do they do tiers? Seems like it would be like a curve
Posted by armtackledawg
Member since Aug 2017
11915 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:39 pm to
hasn't he only beaten LSU twice?
Posted by PantherCity
Member since Jul 2017
372 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 4:40 pm to
The right guys for his system, no doubt.

Anytime you have a change in staff, like LSU, the players may not fit the new philosophy and schemes. That transition doesn't always work so well. Think that was a big part of why LSU looked like such a mess. A lack of execution.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
18004 posts
Posted on 9/20/17 at 5:37 pm to
Part of it is how unreliable the recruiting rankings are.

Take Jonathan Banks

He was rated as a 2 star cornerback.

He went to a 1A high school 30 minutes from Starkville. There were 25 kids in his graduating class. The competition he played was similar. The recruiting services gave him no chance to succeed.

Mullen signs him, he ends up winning the Thorpe Award for best college cornerback in the nation, and is still in the NFL despite some injuries.

Sure, Mullen develops, but let's not believe that star rankings are untouchable gospel.
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