re: If State and Alabama Win Out....

That is a good point. However, TCU lost to Baylor, so if either team has a shot in winning out, it is only Baylor. TCU should have lost to Kansas this past weekend as well.

I think Baylor will lose to either Okie State or Kansas State.

I would not bet my house on the State making it in premise, but I think they have a decent shot.

The fly in the ointment is going to be Ohio State. ESPN is starting to pump them a little more now. I could see a scenario is which they slip in and knock State (or Baylor or TCU) out of it.

Of course, Bama will destroy them, but it won't matter at that point for those that didn't get in.