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I thought the UA/UM line would move
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:46 pm
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:46 pm
It opened with UM favored and that has not changed.
I thought the line would move to favor Bama. What does Vegas know?
I thought the line would move to favor Bama. What does Vegas know?
5
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:47 pm to Silver Hood
Analytics/metrics favor Michigan. For what that’s worth
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:49 pm to Silver Hood
AI-led betting is favoring Blue; humans favor Alabama.
This post was edited on 12/31/23 at 7:49 pm
Posted on 12/31/23 at 7:49 pm to Allthatfades
quote:
Analytics/metrics
My analytics/metrics are saying I probably want no part of my money near this one.
Anyone else in here laying money on this game?
This post was edited on 12/31/23 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:34 pm to Silver Hood
quote:
It opened with UM favored and that has not changed.
I thought the line would move to favor Bama. What does Vegas know?
It opened Michigan -2.5 and is Michigan -1.5 now so it has moved. As mentioned the computer models have Michigan winning at like 61% chance so thats why
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:36 pm to Silver Hood
I got 100 on Bama at +105. Frick it. It's house money I won with Mizzou and Ole Miss.
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:36 pm to Silver Hood
Mich stats skewed by weaker conf and running it up on nobody’s. Bama may look like they had a meh season but literally every week everyone plays their best to try and beat them.
Posted on 12/31/23 at 8:38 pm to StopRobot
Penn State had a 76% chance of beating us. The computer models are only as good as the underlying stats/competition.
Posted on 1/1/24 at 5:01 pm to Silver Hood
Now we know why the line did not move.
Posted on 1/1/24 at 5:05 pm to ChiTownBammer
quote:
I got 100 on Bama at +105. Frick it. It's house money I won with Mizzou and Ole Miss.
Don’t spend it all in one place.
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