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How Vegas ranks the Top 25 teams in college football

Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:24 pm
Posted by SavageOrangeJug
Member since Oct 2005
19758 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:24 pm
How Vegas ranks the Top 25 teams in college football

quote:


Thanks to Thanks to FootballPerspective.com, we can utilize early betting lines released by Golden Nugget casino to examine a “Simple Rating System,” or SRS, for every power-conference team.

Essentially, the website used a formula to convert betting lines into rankings. So according to Vegas, here’s the college football Top 25 entering the season (USA Today Coaches Poll ranking in parenthesis):



1. Ohio State (No. 1)
2. TCU (No. 2)
3. Baylor (No. 4)
4. Alabama (No. 3)
5. Oregon (No. 5)
6. Arkansas (No. 20)
7. Georgia (No. 9)
8. LSU (No. 13)

9. Michigan State (No. 6)
10. Auburn (No. 7)
11. Florida State (No. 8)
12. Ole Miss (No. 15)
13. Oklahoma (No. 19)
14. Tennessee (No. 25)
15. USC (No. 10)
16. Stanford (No. 21)
17. UCLA (No. 14)
18. Missouri (No. 23)
19. Georgia Tech (No. 17)
20. Clemson (No. 12)
21. Texas A&M (NR)
22. Notre Dame (No. 11)
23. Wisconsin (No. 18)
24. Boise State (No. 24)
25. Mississippi State (NR)
Posted by CGSC Lobotomy
Member since Sep 2011
79980 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

21. Texas A&M (NR)


Too high
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68469 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:27 pm to
Does Vegas in addition to everyone else still not know what they're talking about concerning Ole Miss, posters on the rant?
Posted by Killean
Port Charlotte, FL
Member since Nov 2010
4669 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:28 pm to
They have Ole Miss 5th in the west.. which is about where everybody thinks they'll be
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
68469 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:30 pm to
Every time Ole Miss is in the top 15 people say they're overrated.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:32 pm to
Vegas doesn't rank teams.

They set betting lines hoping to draw even money on games.
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40250 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:34 pm to
Bring on the piggies and vols claiming another preseason title.
Posted by The Shaqtus
Member since Jun 2015
153 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

6. Arkansas (20)

Seriously....
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46357 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

6. Arkansas (No. 20)

print the shirts
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37295 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:40 pm to
Seriously, seriously? I refuse to get suckered in- 8-4 and I'll be good with this season,
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46357 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

Seriously....

17-0 did happen
Posted by TeLeFaWx
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
29177 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:48 pm to
I don't know if anyone has ever done a study on which is more accurate, Vegas or the Coaches/media... But I bet Vegas.
Posted by lefty08
Not in Auburn or Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
5575 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:52 pm to
if picking the sec champ by our own media is any indication of the coaches opinion, its vegas in a landslide. That being said, i see 8 wins, possibly 9. Im not gonna argue with the publicity though, Vegas typically knows their shite
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
46357 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Arkansas is the biggest surprise, at least on the surface. The Razorbacks are getting a ton of love from professional gamblers as well as from early lines in sports books, ranking at No. 6 in the simulated Vegas poll. This isn’t as big of a surprise if you’re familiar with analytics and nerdy stats. Arkansas has finished 0-7 in one-possession games under coach Bret Bielema, something I’ve chronicled endlessly this offseason. In the eyes of professional gamblers, this is a sign that the team has been better than its record indicates and could be undervalued. The gambling market already reflects this.

Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
6953 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 1:20 pm to
Vegas in a blowout. Always.
Posted by Eric4Tide
Attalla, Alabama
Member since Jul 2015
114 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 1:26 pm to
Lots of money will be lost betting on Tennessee. Fools gold.
Posted by Legendary0903
Tree Fiddy Green Money
Member since Jan 2014
4416 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

14. Tennessee


Vegas knows best
Posted by JCinBAMA
North of Huntsville
Member since Oct 2009
17584 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Lots of money will be lost betting on Tennessee. Fools gold.
Posted by redeye
Member since Aug 2013
8598 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 1:55 pm to
Looks right to me. 5 SEC-W teams in the top-12 and all 7 ranked. On the other side, 3 SEC-E teams.

Seriously, I think Vegas is giving us too much credit. I'm flattered and all, but we didn't lose all those close games because we're simply "unlucky".
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73278 posts
Posted on 8/2/15 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

21. Texas A&M (NR)


Too high


Way way too high
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