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re: How much influence do past games/trends have on this season?

Posted on 4/26/17 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

d) Almost none


This, except to the extent that one or both teams allow past history to affect their mental approach to the upcoming game.

That said, they can be an indication of what to expect even if they don't "affect" the game. None of Alabama's defensive plays or scores from previous years are going to put any points on the board for them in this year's game against LSU, but the fact that they made all those plays can inform us that there is a significant talent disparity between the two teams that has continued for several years and has not likely been undone in the past six months. Therefore, we can reasonably predict that the talent disparity remains and will likely determine the outcome again.
Posted by RT1941
Member since May 2007
30267 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

d) Almost none
It's mental. Elite head coaches are able to remove the mental aspect that could influence a game based on past trends. Get the coaches and players prepared to do their damn job and past trends don't mean shite when the players take the field.
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25223 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:39 pm to
I would go with a C. As an example after two seasons of having a defense that can generously be described as lackluster (historically bad in some regards) Arkansas made the shift to a new DC and a 3-4 look.

I think Bert is a 4-3 guy who likes getting pressure with the linemen but the results have steered him towards going with a 3-4 look given then tendency of teams to spread the ball out.

It is understandable though, the 4-3 Bert prefers gives conventional offenses the fits, witness the trouble Bama had for a couple of seasons against the defense (even though they won). But no one outside us and LSU are running conventional offenses right now.

You have to adapt to changing trends or you will die on the vine.
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