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re: How many points, at a minimum, do you think AU will need to win the Iron Bowl?
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:44 am to WDE24
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:44 am to WDE24
Conference Games:
TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Yds/G
----------------------------------------------------------------
1. Texas A&M........... 7 1148 2586 520 3734 7.2 36 533.4
2. Alabama............. 7 1732 1704 471 3436 7.3 33 490.9
3. Auburn.............. 7 1994 1303 504 3297 6.5 30 471.0
4. Georgia............. 8 1435 2252 574 3687 6.4 34 460.9
5. Missouri............ 7 1569 1646 492 3215 6.5 31 459.3
6. South Carolina...... 8 1518 2071 571 3589 6.3 31 448.6
7. Ole Miss............ 7 914 2140 535 3054 5.7 20 436.3
8. LSU................. 7 1184 1801 460 2985 6.5 29 426.4
9. Mississippi State... 7 1263 1693 504 2956 5.9 22 422.3
10.Arkansas............ 7 1338 998 439 2336 5.3 13 333.7
11.Vanderbilt.......... 8 923 1686 532 2609 4.9 27 326.1
12.Tennessee........... 7 1032 1164 461 2196 4.8 9 313.7
13.Florida............. 8 1130 1370 535 2500 4.7 17 312.5
14.Kentucky............ 7 763 1048 428 1811 4.2 13 258.7
TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plys Yards Avg TD Yds/G
---------------------------------------------------------------
1. Alabama............. 7 692 1370 412 2062 5.0 11 294.6
2. Florida............. 8 1051 1418 485 2469 5.1 15 308.6
3. South Carolina...... 8 1340 1434 504 2774 5.5 22 346.8
4. Missouri............ 7 782 1870 523 2652 5.1 14 378.9
5. Georgia............. 8 1283 1832 548 3115 5.7 30 389.4
6. Vanderbilt.......... 8 1325 1888 596 3213 5.4 29 401.6
7. LSU................. 7 1180 1655 495 2835 5.7 20 405.0
8. Mississippi State... 7 1175 1738 464 2913 6.3 27 416.1
9. Tennessee........... 7 1748 1197 478 2945 6.2 28 420.7
10.Ole Miss............ 7 1473 1611 501 3084 6.2 24 440.6
11.Auburn.............. 7 1252 1918 521 3170 6.1 23 452.9
12.Kentucky............ 7 1444 1867 486 3311 6.8 34 473.0
13.Arkansas............ 7 1533 1799 487 3332 6.8 34 476.0
14.Texas A&M........... 7 1665 1865 526 3530 6.7 34 504.3
TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Yds/G
----------------------------------------------------------------
1. Texas A&M........... 7 1148 2586 520 3734 7.2 36 533.4
2. Alabama............. 7 1732 1704 471 3436 7.3 33 490.9
3. Auburn.............. 7 1994 1303 504 3297 6.5 30 471.0
4. Georgia............. 8 1435 2252 574 3687 6.4 34 460.9
5. Missouri............ 7 1569 1646 492 3215 6.5 31 459.3
6. South Carolina...... 8 1518 2071 571 3589 6.3 31 448.6
7. Ole Miss............ 7 914 2140 535 3054 5.7 20 436.3
8. LSU................. 7 1184 1801 460 2985 6.5 29 426.4
9. Mississippi State... 7 1263 1693 504 2956 5.9 22 422.3
10.Arkansas............ 7 1338 998 439 2336 5.3 13 333.7
11.Vanderbilt.......... 8 923 1686 532 2609 4.9 27 326.1
12.Tennessee........... 7 1032 1164 461 2196 4.8 9 313.7
13.Florida............. 8 1130 1370 535 2500 4.7 17 312.5
14.Kentucky............ 7 763 1048 428 1811 4.2 13 258.7
TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plys Yards Avg TD Yds/G
---------------------------------------------------------------
1. Alabama............. 7 692 1370 412 2062 5.0 11 294.6
2. Florida............. 8 1051 1418 485 2469 5.1 15 308.6
3. South Carolina...... 8 1340 1434 504 2774 5.5 22 346.8
4. Missouri............ 7 782 1870 523 2652 5.1 14 378.9
5. Georgia............. 8 1283 1832 548 3115 5.7 30 389.4
6. Vanderbilt.......... 8 1325 1888 596 3213 5.4 29 401.6
7. LSU................. 7 1180 1655 495 2835 5.7 20 405.0
8. Mississippi State... 7 1175 1738 464 2913 6.3 27 416.1
9. Tennessee........... 7 1748 1197 478 2945 6.2 28 420.7
10.Ole Miss............ 7 1473 1611 501 3084 6.2 24 440.6
11.Auburn.............. 7 1252 1918 521 3170 6.1 23 452.9
12.Kentucky............ 7 1444 1867 486 3311 6.8 34 473.0
13.Arkansas............ 7 1533 1799 487 3332 6.8 34 476.0
14.Texas A&M........... 7 1665 1865 526 3530 6.7 34 504.3
1
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:47 am to Beer Bryant
They will need 50, bama scores 49 
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:54 am to thefloydian
quote:
Auburn is going to get blown out. Stop worrying about it.
That aint happening.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:56 am to WDE24
The Tigers have a ridiculous winning streak going. They are 86-0 when scoring more than 30 points so obviously if they can score 30 then they have a legitimate shot at winning plus the psychological aspect of getting to 30 points would have them believing.
I think they're held to 24-27 points though.
I think they're held to 24-27 points though.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 11:59 am to Bham4Tide
quote:
I would think that stat would work for a lot of teams - at least SEC teams. I wonder what Bama's win line is scoring over 30 . . .
I don't know man. That is a LOT of games.
It is a staggering number and I would love to see the rest of the SEC's stats on the subject. Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:05 pm to Bham4Tide
quote:
at least SEC teams. I wonder what Bama's win line is scoring over 30 . . .
You lost in 2006 and 2007 after having scored 30 points in a game.
Not sure how many 30 point games you've had since that 2007 loss.
ETA: 44 times not counting this season.
This post was edited on 11/27/13 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:07 pm to Jerry the Sailor
Looks like bama has 54. And that is with this long run of wins they are having.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:10 pm to WDE24
Under Nick Saban at Alabama the Tide has lost only one game where they scored over 27 points and that was in his first year in 2007 when Bama lost to LSU 34-41. Since that loss, on games where the Tide has scored more than 27 points, they have a 56 game win streak.
If Bama scores over 27 and Auburn scores somewhere over 30 than one of these long streaks will be over.
If Bama scores over 27 and Auburn scores somewhere over 30 than one of these long streaks will be over.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:15 pm to BamaGround
quote:
The Tigers have a ridiculous winning streak going. They are 86-0 when scoring more than 30 points
we are like 290-4 after scoring more than 30. the last time we lost while scoring over 30 was a four overtime game against UGA 96'
This post was edited on 11/27/13 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:16 pm to BamaGround
quote:
27
I love that number.
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:18 pm to WDE24
I think 35 points or more would do it. Auburn has plenty of options to get to those numbers.
Maybe 2 or 3 deep balls to Coates. Some awesome run plays by Tre Mason or Corey Grant getting outside and turning on the burners. Maybe Nick Marshall on a draw for a TD.
I expect the good Dr. Gustav will concoct some trickery after the 2nd or 3rd Auburn touchdown to get to 30 or more.
Auburn's O has to get ahead and stay ahead.
Auburn's D has to be virtually mistake proof. Will need a turnover to get the AU offense back on the field.
As you said, we could get one TD on special teams.
Auburn: 38
Bama: 31
Maybe 2 or 3 deep balls to Coates. Some awesome run plays by Tre Mason or Corey Grant getting outside and turning on the burners. Maybe Nick Marshall on a draw for a TD.
I expect the good Dr. Gustav will concoct some trickery after the 2nd or 3rd Auburn touchdown to get to 30 or more.
Auburn's O has to get ahead and stay ahead.
Auburn's D has to be virtually mistake proof. Will need a turnover to get the AU offense back on the field.
As you said, we could get one TD on special teams.
Auburn: 38
Bama: 31
Posted on 11/27/13 at 12:23 pm to Schwaaz
yeah I agree!! 30's sound about right!!!
Posted on 12/1/13 at 12:09 pm to WDE24
Not bad.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 12:10 pm to Alahunter
quote:
think AU has to score around 35 to have a chance to win Sounds about right.
I was right.
quote:
think Bama needs reach 24 points to win.
and wrong.
Clearly a rematch is in order, as I had a push.
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