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How good is Vegas at predicting records?

Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:34 pm
Posted by Hugh McElroy
Member since Sep 2013
17330 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:34 pm
https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/sec-football/good-vegas-predicting-sec-last-year/

quote:

Team / Odds / 2014 Record

Alabama 10.5 (-150/+120) 11-1
S. Carolina 9.5 (-125/-105) 6-6
Georgia 9.5 (-125/-105) 9-3
Auburn 9 (-135/+105) 8-4
LSU 9 (-125/-105) 8-4
Ole Miss 8 (-115/-115) 9-3
Missouri 7.5 (-135/+105) 10-2
Florida 7.5 (-140/+110) 6-5
Miss St 7.5 (-130/EVEN) 10-2
Texas A&M 7 (-135/+105) 7-5
Vanderbilt 6 (+155/-190) 3-8
Tennessee 5.5 (-135/+105) 6-6
Arkansas 4.5 (-130/EVEN) 6-6
Kentucky 3.5 (-180/+150) 5-7


2015 O/U

This post was edited on 6/28/15 at 4:37 pm
Posted by harmonics
Mars Hotel
Member since Jan 2010
18615 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:36 pm to
Did they predict Germany losing WW2?
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69895 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:38 pm to
GHEY GERMANS
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40250 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:39 pm to
fricking front page man. C'mon
Posted by Killean
Port Charlotte, FL
Member since Nov 2010
4669 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:39 pm to
So, they got it right (within .5 or on target) 4 times out of 14.

They were within 1 game 7 out of 14 times.
Posted by auzach91
Marietta, GA
Member since Jan 2009
40250 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 4:39 pm to
So 50/50. Just how they want it
Posted by IAmReality
Member since Oct 2012
12229 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 5:15 pm to
All bets are designed to be ~50/50, otherwise they'd be exploitable.

All Vegas in effect does is pay the winners with the losers money, while keeping a 5% cut.
Posted by lefty08
Not in Auburn or Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
5575 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 6:02 pm to
About as good as you are of making duplicate threads
Posted by deathlock
Member since Jun 2015
95 posts
Posted on 6/28/15 at 6:16 pm to
They undervalue Missouri every year and it's easy money!
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