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re: Chances AU goes 0-8 for the first 8 games
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:02 pm to LSU Tiger 216
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:02 pm to LSU Tiger 216
80% chance of losing to ULM
100% chance of losing to LSU
40% chance of losing to Arkansas
70% chance of losing to Ole Miss
80% chance of losing to Vanderbilt
100% chance of losing to Texas A&M
.8*1*.4*.7*.8*1 = .1792
If Arky wasn't so bad it could be closer 50%.
100% chance of losing to LSU
40% chance of losing to Arkansas
70% chance of losing to Ole Miss
80% chance of losing to Vanderbilt
100% chance of losing to Texas A&M
.8*1*.4*.7*.8*1 = .1792
If Arky wasn't so bad it could be closer 50%.
2
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:03 pm to TeLeFaWx
100%
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:04 pm to Beer Bryant
quote:
Which also makes ya wonder about how good South Carolina is. One bad call was the difference between them and Vandy.
Well, that and a banged up starting quarterback who had to be taken out of the game for a while. Small details.
And that bad call would have gotten Vandy 15 yards and a first down. Not the win.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:06 pm to LSU Tiger 216
The absolute worst case scenario through 8 games in 1-7. But I think they will be 3-5.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:09 pm to TeLeFaWx
quote:
35% chance of losing to ULM
100% chance of losing to LSU
50% chance of losing to Arkansas
50% chance of losing to Ole Miss
50% chance of losing to Vanderbilt
80% chance of losing to Texas A&M
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:10 pm to CapstoneGrad06
LSU is a certain loss. OM and ULM are lock up wins. The other three will literally be toss ups. They go at the very worst 2-6 to start and at best 5-3.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 3:12 pm to LSU Tiger 216
Zero chance. I think they will win 3 to 4 games out of the 8.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 5:07 pm to 12
quote:
Zero chance. I think they will win 3 to 4 games out of the 8.
If ULM has a repeat this Saturday I think Aubbie is going to be 0-8 or 1-7. This year will not be pretty.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 5:19 pm to LSU Tiger 216
Depends on this weekend (dur...).
If they rebound against ULM then they have a solid shot at beating Ole Miss, Vandy, and maybe Arky and aTm.
If they lose to ULM then they will just continue to collapse and will likely in fact go 0-8.
If they start 1-2 then I don't see them ending that stretch 1-7. 3-5 worst case.
If they start 0-3, then I see 0-8 happening.
If they rebound against ULM then they have a solid shot at beating Ole Miss, Vandy, and maybe Arky and aTm.
If they lose to ULM then they will just continue to collapse and will likely in fact go 0-8.
If they start 1-2 then I don't see them ending that stretch 1-7. 3-5 worst case.
If they start 0-3, then I see 0-8 happening.
This post was edited on 9/11/12 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 9/11/12 at 5:31 pm to LSU Tiger 216
They'll beat ULM, OM, and Vandy imo.
Arkansas is a toss up.
Arkansas is a toss up.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 5:35 pm to LSU Tiger 216
ULM = W
LSU = L
Arky = W
OM = W
Vandy = L
A&M = L
LSU = L
Arky = W
OM = W
Vandy = L
A&M = L
Posted on 9/11/12 at 5:37 pm to Beer Bryant
I don't see it happening, surely the barn can handle LaMo.
If they can't though, that team will shatter and it will get fugly.
Either way
If they can't though, that team will shatter and it will get fugly.
Either way
Posted on 9/11/12 at 7:16 pm to LSU Tiger 216
0 % chance
Everybody knows this is an obvious trap game for ULM
Everybody knows this is an obvious trap game for ULM
This post was edited on 9/11/12 at 7:20 pm
Posted on 9/11/12 at 7:41 pm to CrimsonTideMD
quote:
0 % chance Everybody knows this is an obvious trap game for ULM
While I agree that this is a trap game for ULM, I don't think Auburn will have the depth to hang for 4 Quarters.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 7:45 pm to LSU Tiger 216
I see what you're saying, but ULM could get caught looking ahead to Baylor
Posted on 9/11/12 at 7:47 pm to LSU Tiger 216
quote:
This looks like a real possibility to me right now. What say you?
Since Kyle Frazier is the only qb I've ever seen that actually regressed from week 1 to week 2, I'd say there is over a 10% chance now.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 7:59 pm to CrimsonTideMD
That makes sense. I wonder what the line is on this game. I may bet on Aubie to pull off the upset now that I know ULM may be looking ahead to Baylor.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 8:03 pm to 2007lsuno1
Ole miss is on that list.
Posted on 9/11/12 at 8:04 pm to LSU Tiger 216
1-7 or 2-6 is extremely likely.
0-8 is definitely possible, but I wouldn't bet on it.
0-8 is definitely possible, but I wouldn't bet on it.
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