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re: Chance of each team making the playoff.

Posted on 10/29/14 at 2:57 pm to
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79322 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

Alabama - 10%
Auburn - 25%
Georgia - 15%
Miss State - 45%
Ole Miss - 5%


Can't say I understand this. I'm guessing it's just based on your belief that Auburn wins out?
Posted by DynastyDawg
Relf-Coast
Member since Jan 2013
10886 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Alabama's should go wayyyyy up if they beat LSU.

They are the favorites in the West if they beat LSU.




I think you mean if they beat State.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
99292 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 2:59 pm to
One of the better ones I've seen in this thread.
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58925 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

Alabama's should go wayyyyy up if they beat LSU.

They are the favorites in the West if they beat LSU.




Say what? They still have Mississippi State left. Why would beating LSU make them the favorite?
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86553 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

UGA - 4%


que?

We basically have to win 2 games to make the playoff, auburn and the SECCG. You think we only have a 4% chance of winning both?

keep in mind gurley will be here for both.
Posted by Rabern57
Alabama
Member since Jan 2010
13364 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

Can't say I understand this. I'm guessing it's just based on your belief that Auburn wins out?
Other than State none will make it unless they win out or the SEC. I would take Auburn against UGA, OM, and Bama. Plus they can win out and someone else win the SEC and still get in.

UGA losing the SECCG will knock them out. Bama won't beat State, LSU, and Auburn. OM will lose to Auburn or State.
This post was edited on 10/29/14 at 3:08 pm
Posted by TideWarrior
Asheville/Chapel Hill NC
Member since Sep 2009
11841 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

All State has to do is beat Bama or Ole Miss.


Disagree here. I do not see anyway a team not winning the SECCG making in the playoffs looking at the other Power 5 conferences and their schedule. Ole Miss wins out they play in Atlanta MSU no playoff. UA wins out depending on what AU does MSU no playoff.

Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:28 pm to

Miss State - 35%
Georgia - 25%
Alabama - 16%
Auburn - 14%
Ole Miss - 8.5%
LSU-2%
Missouri-.5%
This post was edited on 10/29/14 at 3:30 pm
Posted by Ishmael
Member since Oct 2014
865 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:32 pm to
well, you have to add up the sec teams who still have a shot to 100% and I hate math, so don't judge these.

MSU - 25%
UGA - 15%
Bama - 12%
Auburn - 5%
Ole Miss - 4%
LSU - 2%
Mizzou? - .00000000000000000000000000001%
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:36 pm to
quote:


well, you have to add up the sec teams who still have a shot to 100% and I hate math, so don't judge these.
no you don't. more than one team can make it.
Posted by Al Bundy Bulldog
The Grindfather
Member since Dec 2010
35815 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

Miss State - 40%


Posted by Ishmael
Member since Oct 2014
865 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

no you don't. more than one team can make it


fair enough, I don't think mine even adds up to 100 though, that's all I was saying, my math is going to be wrong.
Posted by cattus
Member since Jan 2009
13460 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:42 pm to
Mississippi
MSU/Auburn/UGA
Bama
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18151 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 3:42 pm to
Alabama - 20%
Auburn - 25%
Georgia - 25%
Miss State - 25%
Ole Miss - 5%

Posted by NorthGwinnettTiger
Member since Jun 2006
51837 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 4:14 pm to
AU should be the lowest. Then UGA, Ole Miss, Bama and MSU.
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19239 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 4:20 pm to
That was pretty terrible math if you were going for 100%
Posted by Brosef Stalin17
Member since Sep 2014
1090 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 4:26 pm to
MSU is losing to Arky this weekend... That's the only thing I know for sure...

As for who is making it into the playoff, that would just be guessing
Posted by Sid E Walker
InsecureU ©
Member since Nov 2013
23887 posts
Posted on 10/29/14 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

We basically have to win 2 games to make the playoff, auburn and the SECCG.

You think we only have a 4% chance of winning both? keep in mind gurley will be here for both.

Three reasons...

You're UGA. Mark Richt is your HC. And going into the SECCG, assuming that you're even there, your team is hardly battle-tested...having played in the East.

You're lucky that I gave UGA a minimal shot to get in.
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