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Calling every 2019 SEC Week 6 game. "Top 10" Matchup Edition!
Posted on 10/2/19 at 12:31 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 12:31 pm
WEEK 6:
Utah State @ (5) LSU - 56-14, LSU.
(7) Auburn @ (10) Florida - 35-17, Auburn.
Troy @ Missouri - 49-10, Missouri.
(3) Georgia @ Tennessee - 34-9, Georgia.
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss - 28-17, Ole Miss.
_________________________________
My record for the season now stands at: 43-8
Game notes are down below!
Utah State @ (5) LSU - 56-14, LSU.
(7) Auburn @ (10) Florida - 35-17, Auburn.
Troy @ Missouri - 49-10, Missouri.
(3) Georgia @ Tennessee - 34-9, Georgia.
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss - 28-17, Ole Miss.
_________________________________
My record for the season now stands at: 43-8
Game notes are down below!
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Posted on 10/2/19 at 12:32 pm to Rescue22
Game Notes:
The only game I really feel like discussing this week is the "Top 10" Match-up in Auburn vs. Florida and why I believe Auburn will win this game very early on.
I know people keep hyping Florida up because of their perfect record but if we're being honest, they don't have a single impressive win on the schedule yet. If Florida isn't careful they could lose three or four of the games that come next and it might not even be close.
On the other hand, Auburn has big wins vs. two Top 25 opponents as well as completely decimating an SEC West opponent. Say what you want about Mississippi State, but they're definitely a better team than Tennessee and Auburn beat the brakes off of State much worse than the Gators could manage against Tennessee.
Auburn looks to have the better offense, Florida's rushing attack in particular not even being in the same stratosphere as Auburn's. Check out the offensive advantages of both teams here:
While it's true that Florida has a bit of a better defense than Auburn by the numbers alone, I think Auburn will impose their will against the Gators towards the end of the game in crunch time. Florida hasn't faced a team close to Auburn's caliber this year and it will definitely show, I believe. 35-17 I'd say is a somewhat realistic score, but we shall see. I say Auburn gets the W.
The only game I really feel like discussing this week is the "Top 10" Match-up in Auburn vs. Florida and why I believe Auburn will win this game very early on.
I know people keep hyping Florida up because of their perfect record but if we're being honest, they don't have a single impressive win on the schedule yet. If Florida isn't careful they could lose three or four of the games that come next and it might not even be close.
On the other hand, Auburn has big wins vs. two Top 25 opponents as well as completely decimating an SEC West opponent. Say what you want about Mississippi State, but they're definitely a better team than Tennessee and Auburn beat the brakes off of State much worse than the Gators could manage against Tennessee.
Auburn looks to have the better offense, Florida's rushing attack in particular not even being in the same stratosphere as Auburn's. Check out the offensive advantages of both teams here:
While it's true that Florida has a bit of a better defense than Auburn by the numbers alone, I think Auburn will impose their will against the Gators towards the end of the game in crunch time. Florida hasn't faced a team close to Auburn's caliber this year and it will definitely show, I believe. 35-17 I'd say is a somewhat realistic score, but we shall see. I say Auburn gets the W.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 12:41 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 12:56 pm to Rescue22
43-8? Against the spread???
Posted on 10/2/19 at 1:22 pm to Rescue22
Respectfully, I seriously doubt either team in the Fla/Aub game scores in the 30s, unless there are some D/ST scores. This is likely a 20-17 kind of game.
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:20 pm to PurpleandGeauld
quote:
Respectfully, I seriously doubt either team in the Fla/Aub game scores in the 30s, unless there are some D/ST scores. This is likely a 20-17 kind of game.
That’s fair, could very well be a closer game although I have my deep doubts about Florida being good enough to be a top 10 team.
If anything I’d take a TD away from Auburn.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:20 pm to Rescue22
quote:
My record for the season now stands at: 43-8
Why aren’t you betting?
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:29 pm to CarolinaGamecock99
quote:
Why aren’t you betting?
The record isn’t ATS. Might have to include a disclaimer from now on in the thread. As much as I want to be a prolific bettor, sadly I’m not. I only get real close to the score every now and then.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:42 pm to Rescue22
So no advantage listed for Florida playing at home? Interesting...
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:45 pm to Rescue22
quote:Is this spread or outright?
My record for the season now stands at: 43-8
Not impressive if it’s outright.
If it’s spread then I want to take you to dinner
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:46 pm to Rescue22
Auburn hasn't face a defense as quick as UFs. They arent scoring 35.
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:55 pm to Rescue22
Oregon was ranked on preseason hype, once again (found their way out quick last season), and so was FL. I don't really get your logic on selling FL's hype while buying Oregon's.
FL beat TN by 30+ just like AUB beat State by 30+. MS St. will open at around a 4 point favorite at TN.
FL is not the over hyped team in this game.
FL beat TN by 30+ just like AUB beat State by 30+. MS St. will open at around a 4 point favorite at TN.
FL is not the over hyped team in this game.
Posted on 10/2/19 at 2:58 pm to Tridentds
I’m talking pure numbers when I’m listing advantages, not things like home field advantage (which yes, does play to Florida’s advantage. I figured this didn’t need to be said)
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 3:16 pm to Rescue22
Florida is literally getting no hype. this is a bad take. If anything the pollsters are lowering their expectations of UF. They are undefeated yet dropped twice this season already. Auburn is overhyped. UF by 4. FLorida stops all the gimmicks. Schwartz is quarantined. BO is forced to throw. FInal line 12-24, 104 yards, 1 TD,3 INT
Posted on 10/2/19 at 3:22 pm to geauxtigersfromcali
Troy should be a good test for Mizzou's defense. They're ranked #12 in total offense, #14 in scoring, and they've put up at least 35 points in every game this season. Unless the game turns into a comedy of errors like Wyoming, I expect to win, but not sure how many points we'll give up.
Posted on 10/2/19 at 9:25 pm to geauxtigersfromcali
quote:
Florida is literally getting no hype.
How is a team not getting hype if they're ranked in the Top 10? The poll only dropping Florida a few spots means nothing. If anything, they're being way too lenient towards a Florida team that has not given us a single reason why they should be ranked #10 or higher in the first place. Florida hasn't played a single game of value yet. (Lucky for us they've got at least three in store soon!!)
Don't get me wrong though, Auburn is not a perfect team either by any means, but certainly I believe that they are the better team in this match-up. Florida is definitely the over-ranked team, not Auburn.
We'll see tho. If I'm wrong I'll definitely eat some crow. But I really don't expect that to happen.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 9:29 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 9:32 pm to Rescue22
Hype is potential, not what has already happened. This is why preseason polls are trash but FL returned a lot off a team who finished top ten in the same poll last year.
Nobody's hyping FL, they're 5-0.
The team getting hype is the one who's favored on the road against a top ten undefeated team.
Like I said, why sell FL and buy OR?
Nobody's hyping FL, they're 5-0.
The team getting hype is the one who's favored on the road against a top ten undefeated team.
Like I said, why sell FL and buy OR?
Posted on 10/2/19 at 9:38 pm to CrabInMyShoeMouth
quote:
Like I said, why sell FL and buy OR?
Because Oregon is a better team than Florida?
For the record, I never said Oregon should be ranked really high. But a win over Oregon is much more impressive than any of Florida's wins in my honest opinion. It's not necessarily that I'm "buying" into Oregon. Just listing it as a better win than anything off of UF's schedule.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 9:48 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 9:40 pm to Rescue22
quote:
Because Oregon is a better team than Florida?
I'm not saying you're wrong, but I would love to hear why you think that. It's obvious you think Oregon is a better team.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 9:42 pm
Posted on 10/2/19 at 10:05 pm to Rescue22
LSU 55-17
Auburn 27-17
Mizzo 42-14
Georgia 47-13
Vanderbilt 27-24
Auburn 27-17
Mizzo 42-14
Georgia 47-13
Vanderbilt 27-24
Posted on 10/2/19 at 11:18 pm to geauxtigersfromcali
quote:Nix started his collegiate career going 6-21 (28.6%) for 81 yards (3.9 ypa) with 0 TDs and 2 INTs through AU's first possession of the 2nd half against Oregon.
BO is forced to throw. FInal line 12-24, 104 yards, 1 TD,3 INT
Since then he's gone 66-104 (63.5%) for 899 yards (8.6 ypa) with 7 TDs and 0 INTs.
I tend to think he will perform more like he has over the past 4 1/2 games than he did in his first 1/2 game, which is what your prediction indicates.
This post was edited on 10/2/19 at 11:23 pm
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