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Auburn vs Arkansas : Stat Analysis, Predictions, Comparatives
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:01 pm
All stats are P5 competition only (including comparative stats for opponents)
Using Yards Per Play, Points Per Play, Opponent averages, etc
Auburn Offense YPP : 4.79
Auburn Opponent YPP Given Up Avg (Non-AU P5) : 4.83
Auburn averages 0.03 YPP less than Opponent Average
Arkansas Offense YPP : 5.60
Arkansas Opponent YPP Given Up Avg (Non-ARK P5) : 5.20
Arkansas averages 0.40 YPP more than Opponent Average
Auburn Defense Given Up YPP : 5.33
Auburn Opponent YPP Avg (Non-LSU P5) : 6.17
Auburn averages giving up 0.84 YPP less than Opponent Average
Arkansas Defense Given Up YPP : 7.71
Arkansas Opponent YPP Avg (Non-OM P5) : 6.81
Arkansas averages giving up 0.91 YPP more than Opponent Average
Auburn averages 0.0574 Pts per Offensive Yard.
Auburn averages giving up 0.0499 Pts per Offensive Yard given up.
Arkansas averages 0.0718 Pts per Offensive Yard.
Arkansas averages giving up 0.0778 Pts per Offensive Yard Given up.
Auburn averages 77.3 plays per game.
Arkansas averages 80.3 plays per game.
So, if you run the numbers and then take the average of using per the Auburn breakout and per the Arkansas breakout you get the following
Auburn YPP : 6.69
Arkansas YPP : 5.66
Auburn Total Yards : 517
Arkansas Total Yards : 454
Score : Auburn 35-28
FYI : The range from "Auburn average" to "Arkansas average" is Arkansas 32-30 to Auburn 40-23. So Auburn scores between 30-40 and Arkansas scores between 23-32.
Using Yards Per Play, Points Per Play, Opponent averages, etc
Auburn Offense YPP : 4.79
Auburn Opponent YPP Given Up Avg (Non-AU P5) : 4.83
Auburn averages 0.03 YPP less than Opponent Average
Arkansas Offense YPP : 5.60
Arkansas Opponent YPP Given Up Avg (Non-ARK P5) : 5.20
Arkansas averages 0.40 YPP more than Opponent Average
Auburn Defense Given Up YPP : 5.33
Auburn Opponent YPP Avg (Non-LSU P5) : 6.17
Auburn averages giving up 0.84 YPP less than Opponent Average
Arkansas Defense Given Up YPP : 7.71
Arkansas Opponent YPP Avg (Non-OM P5) : 6.81
Arkansas averages giving up 0.91 YPP more than Opponent Average
Auburn averages 0.0574 Pts per Offensive Yard.
Auburn averages giving up 0.0499 Pts per Offensive Yard given up.
Arkansas averages 0.0718 Pts per Offensive Yard.
Arkansas averages giving up 0.0778 Pts per Offensive Yard Given up.
Auburn averages 77.3 plays per game.
Arkansas averages 80.3 plays per game.
So, if you run the numbers and then take the average of using per the Auburn breakout and per the Arkansas breakout you get the following
Auburn YPP : 6.69
Arkansas YPP : 5.66
Auburn Total Yards : 517
Arkansas Total Yards : 454
Score : Auburn 35-28
FYI : The range from "Auburn average" to "Arkansas average" is Arkansas 32-30 to Auburn 40-23. So Auburn scores between 30-40 and Arkansas scores between 23-32.
This post was edited on 10/19/16 at 4:03 pm
5
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:02 pm to Triple Daves
Stats on stats on stats
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:04 pm to Triple Daves
glad you did this one so i'll have it next week. i've been planning a thread on how we kick advanced stats in the nuts.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:04 pm to piggilicious
quote:
glad you did this one so i'll have it next week. i've been planning a thread on how we kick advanced stats in the nuts.
BERT DON'T NEED NO FRICKIN STATS
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:06 pm to Triple Daves
stats are utterly meaningless when one team has played a NFL team and one hasn't.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:07 pm to Triple Daves
quote:
BERT DON'T NEED NO FRICKIN STATS
DUH, JUST SNACKS...
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:07 pm to NYCAuburn
Snacks on snacks on snacks
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:08 pm to vengeanceofrain
quote:
stats are utterly meaningless when one team has played a NFL team and one hasn't.
Except these stats are in the context of comparing Arkansas' performance vs said NFL team with everyone else's performance vs said NFL team.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:09 pm to NYCAuburn
Haha, it's because he's fat
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:10 pm to Porcine Human
quote:
Haha, it's because he's fat
Does Bert put mayo on his fries?
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:10 pm to Triple Daves
Auburn is #12 rushing team in the country at 265 YPG
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:12 pm to Triple Daves
Auburn hasn't played the NFL team yet gomer
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:12 pm to NYCAuburn
They should ban stats against bama it's not fair to other teams fanbases. it gives them a false sense of hope. Look at Tenneseee. really thought they had a chance. Look at Ole miss, oh look what happened last week you can't stop our offense. Look at auburn this week. it really needs to be stopped it's just not fair
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:12 pm to Rhino5
quote:
Auburn is #12 rushing team in the country at 265 YPG
But they are 38th in YPA at 4.81, and drop significantly when you only look at games vs Power 5
They are currently 11th in the SEC in Rush YPA in the SEC vs P5 teams (3.53 YPA).
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:14 pm to Rhino5
Reiligh Williams leads the SEC in total yards and he HAS played Alabama. What do you think his YPG would be if he hadn't?
he had 155 against TCU. Had 180 against ole miss. Had 110 against Aggies.
he had 155 against TCU. Had 180 against ole miss. Had 110 against Aggies.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:14 pm to vengeanceofrain
quote:
They should ban stats against bama it's not fair to other teams fanbases. it gives them a false sense of hope.
Again, these stats take Arkansas's stats vs Alabama and compare them to USC, Ole Miss, Kentucky, Tennessee, etc stats against Alabama and see if Arkansas fared better or worse. It doesn't matter if it is Alabama or Kentucky, the point is how Arkansas fared compared to every other P5 team. This completely takes out how good the opponent is, it looks to see how Team A performed against Team Z compared to all their other opponents.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:15 pm to Triple Daves
We're playing Arky,
It's kind of like playing the lowest of P5 gene pool. Auburn's YPA will rise way high.
It's kind of like playing the lowest of P5 gene pool. Auburn's YPA will rise way high.
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:16 pm to Triple Daves
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:17 pm to Triple Daves
quote:
Score : Auburn 35-28
Covered the spread, all those "sucker" bets
Posted on 10/19/16 at 4:22 pm to vengeanceofrain
quote:
Had 110 against Aggies.
Are you positive?
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