re: According to Jerry Palm, the chances of Florida making the MNC are 20%

If we beat FSU and ND loses we'll be in the NC. If we beat FSU that means we played a great game. All it takes with voters is one good game and they jump back on a teams D. Plus, ND losing the last game of the season against an unranked team would drop them behind Oregon. The only thing I could see is if Oregon can beat Oregon St and get into the Pac12 Championship and win. Even then, our computer average would put us ahead.