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247 "Team Talent" Rankings for 2017 vs Actual Results

Posted on 7/8/18 at 4:50 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 4:50 pm
2017 247 Team Talent Rankings

2017 Final Massey Composite Rankings

Talent Rankings (average)
1. Alabama (93.33)
2. Georgia (91.06)
3. LSU (90.60)
4. Auburn (89.82)
5. Tennessee (88.36)
6. Texas A&M (87.89)
7. Florida (87.73)
8. Ole Miss (87.46)
9. Arkansas (86.42)
10. South Carolina (86.33)
11. Kentucky (85.99)
12. Mississippi State (85.47)
13. Missouri (84.47)
14. Vanderbilt (83.92)

Final Massey Composite Rankings
1. Alabama (1)
2. Georgia (2)
3. Auburn (10)
4. Mississippi State (21)
5. LSU (22)
6. South Carolina (31)
7. Texas A&M (47)
8. Missouri (53)
9. Kentucky (56)
10. Ole Miss (59)
11. Florida (71)
12. Vanderbilt (78)
13. Arkansas (85)
14. Tennessee (91)

Actual vs Talent
1. Mississippi State (+8)
2. Missouri (+5)
3. South Carolina (+4)
4. Kentucky (+2)
4. Vanderbilt (+2)
6. Auburn (+1)
7. Alabama (0)
7. Georgia (0)
9. Texas A&M (-1)
10. LSU (-2)
10. Ole Miss (-2)
12. Arkansas (-4)
12. Florida (-4)
12. Tennessee (-9)

- 8 of 14 teams finished within 2 spots of their "talent ranks"

- The 3 worst actual to talent (Arkansas, Florida, Tennessee) all fired their coach
This post was edited on 7/8/18 at 4:51 pm
Posted by Vols&Shaft83
Throbbing Member
Member since Dec 2012
69902 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 4:52 pm to
I really hope Lyle dies from an infected taint
Posted by PorkRoast
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2015
6047 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 4:52 pm to
Can’t say that any of that is too surprising. Direct correlation to competency at the HC position.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 5:00 pm to
Nationally

Good
Army (134 recruiting, 41 massey = +93)
UCF (55 recruiting, 7 massey = +48)
Boise State (67 recruiting, 25 massey = +42)
Wisconsin (37 recruiting, 4 massey = +33)
Boston College (65 recruiting, 34 massey = +31)
Iowa (49 recruiting, 18 massey = +31)
South Florida (59 recruiting, 28 massey = +31)
Iowa State (56 recruiting, 27 massey = +29)
Washington State (60 recruiting, 33 massey = +27)
Northwestern (41 recruiting, 19 massey = +22)
TCU (32 recruiting, 11 massey = +21)
Penn State (19 recruiting, 6 massey = +13)
Washington (24 recruiting, 12 massey = +12)
Oklahoma (16 recruiting, 8 massey = +8)

Bad
Tennessee (12 recruiting, 91 massey = -79)
Baylor (35 recruiting, 108 massey = -73)
North Carolina (26 recruiting, 90 massey = -64)
Arkansas (22 recruiting, 85 massey = -63)
Florida (17 recruiting, 71 massey = -54)
UCLA (11 recruiting, 60 massey = -49)
Nebraska (29 recruiting, 77 massey = -48)
Maryland (28 recruiting, 73 massey = -45)
Florida State (5 recruiting, 35 massey = -30)
Pittsburgh (34 recruiting, 62 massey = -28)
Texas (12 recruiting, 36 massey = -24)
Michigan (7 recruiting, 26 massey = -19)
This post was edited on 7/8/18 at 5:18 pm
Posted by BranchDawg
Flowery Branch
Member since Nov 2013
9830 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 5:01 pm to
When do the 2018 talent rankings come out?
Posted by aufbfan
Member since Jan 2015
760 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 5:02 pm to
Lol, Bama has about as many 5* players as #2, #3 and #4 combined.

Nothing fishy.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

When do the 2018 talent rankings come out?



Not until right before the season I think - they wait to make sure they have the whole roster. It might be August? Not positive.
Posted by Drewbie
tFlagship
Member since Jun 2012
57812 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 5:20 pm to
Just when I thought I was done saying frick Bert...
This post was edited on 7/8/18 at 6:19 pm
Posted by tattoo
Fantasy Island
Member since Oct 2017
1805 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

aufbfan
quote:

Lol, Bama has about as many 5* players as #2, #3 and #4 combined.

Nothing fishy.


Why would a good recruit want to come to the best program in football? Wins games and NCs at an unprecedented rate, puts more kids in the NFL, more first rounders, is the top developer of talent, hone your skills by practicing against the best, great facilities, great support staff, great fan support. What is there not to like?

The real question is, why do they have 64 non-five stars vs only 18 five stars ?
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39994 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 9:19 pm to
Now this is a great offseason thread.
Posted by aufbfan
Member since Jan 2015
760 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

Why would a good recruit want to come to the best program in football? Wins games and NCs at an unprecedented rate, puts more kids in the NFL, more first rounders, is the top developer of talent, hone your skills by practicing against the best, great facilities, great support staff, great fan support. What is there not to like? The real question is, why do they have 64 non-five stars vs only 18 five stars ?

I’m curious, what was the “dindu nuffin” explanation Bama fans used to give when they signed multiple similar classes fresh off a loss to ULM and no titles to speak of?
Posted by craigbiggio
Member since Dec 2009
31805 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 9:58 pm to
An Auburn fan talking about someone else cheating. You gotta be fricking kidding me
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39994 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 9:59 pm to
It's just phan. He's always a turd.
Posted by aufbfan
Member since Jan 2015
760 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

An Auburn fan talking about someone else cheating. You gotta be fricking kidding me

Yep. We cheat a ton more than everybody else. As evidenced by that one Top 5 class we signed in the Rivals.com era, despite two natty appearances.

I mean, just look at all those strange 5* flips we took from Bama for several years around signing periods.

Hell, Bama even had a 5* OL commit to them on ESPN on NSD, right after they won a natty, and he ended up signing with us.

We even fired an assistant coach for lying about recruiting violations, then randomly paid him an additional $350k 6 months after we axed him. Hush money for sure.
This post was edited on 7/8/18 at 10:07 pm
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37613 posts
Posted on 7/8/18 at 11:04 pm to
quote:

SummerOfGeorge

Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
43334 posts
Posted on 7/9/18 at 6:35 am to
quote:

aufbfan


Posted by Herman Frisco
Bon Secour
Member since Sep 2008
17270 posts
Posted on 7/9/18 at 6:49 am to
Phan, get a shower. You got so much jelly dripping of you the ants will eat alive if you don’t.
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 7/9/18 at 7:32 am to
Lyle gettin him a ring this year!
Posted by yatesdog38
in your head rent free
Member since Sep 2013
12737 posts
Posted on 7/9/18 at 8:09 am to
This shows that if Dan Mullen COULD recruit in the top 10 he would be in the finals on the reg... stay positive florida fans. Maybe one day. We waited 9 years. Maybe it will just take 10 and we weren't patient enough
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/9/18 at 10:55 am to
This is very interesting, and it highlights in concrete form the gap that is taking place between the Top 4 teams and then the next best programs.

If you go back and look at the rankings in 2015, 2016, and 2017, and then split the SEC into three tiers: Top 4... Middle Six... and Bottom 4, the top-heavy nature of the SEC becomes more evident.

Top 4 teams:
*In 2015, the average score in this group was 903.6
*In 2016, the average score in this group was 909.4
*In 2017, the average score in this group was 922.3

The Middle 6 teams:
*In 2015, the average score in this group was 769.3
*In 2016, the average score in this group was 771.9
*In 2017, the average score in this group was 771.9

The Bottom 4 teams:
*In 2015, the average score in this group was 641.2
*In 2016, the average score in this group was 646.0
*In 2017, the average score in this group was 649.9

Here are how the three tiers rank in terms of average appreciation:

+18.7 points- The Top 4 Tier
+8.1 points- The Bottom 4 Tier
+2.6 points- The Middle Tier

The Top 4 teams (Alabama, Georgia, LSU, and Auburn) have been pulling further ahead in terms of overall talent.... while there's been more parity between the Middle and Bottom tiers.

I suspect this trend will continue when the 2018 data is released.
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