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re: 2024 Alabama-This is who you should expect to be

Posted on 5/20/24 at 1:45 pm to
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4625 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

Exactly and teams will start to sit players in the last game or two to save them for the playoffs like the NFL. The rivalries won't mean as much because of that but we should at least get a lot more exciting post season with the playoffs, but the other bowl games will continue to mean less and less.


I think getting a bye with a CCG win would prevent teams from sitting players in those games.

But I could see a scenario where UGA was 11-0 and sat players against GT to end the year to prepare for the SECCG. UGA would have already locked up one of the spots in the game and a playoff spot and the SECCG is what would decide if UGA got a bye or not.

I think the situations would be less likely than in the NFL though.
Posted by rtr23242526
Member since Dec 2022
2340 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 1:55 pm to
Mark yourself as ridiculous
Posted by rtr23242526
Member since Dec 2022
2340 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 3:50 pm to
I'm rolling with the tide 4 another natty ton of room for another trophy
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22932 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 3:51 pm to
quote:


People say that it depends on who you lose to... but it really doesn't.


I think Georgia proved it matters in 2021 after getting into the playoffs despite getting blown out by Alabama in the SECCG. The only team to lose it's conference game and still make the playoffs.

If you had lost to almost any other team, you wouldn't have made it.
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9775 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 3:59 pm to
Iron Bowl in ttown. I ain’t worried about that one. I think Bama loses to OU though but beats LSU. Bama was so damn inconsistent last season I really just don’t know.
Posted by DawginSC
Member since Aug 2022
4625 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

I think Georgia proved it matters in 2021 after getting into the playoffs despite getting blown out by Alabama in the SECCG. The only team to lose it's conference game and still make the playoffs.

If you had lost to almost any other team, you wouldn't have made it.


Nah, it didn't matter who the loss was to.

UGA was in because there weren't 4 other teams who won their conference with 1 or fewer losses.

If there were, UGA would have been out, just like they were last season.

Michigan and Bama won their conferences with 1 loss. They were ahead of UGA.

Then came UGA in 3rd with 1-loss but not a conference champion.

Then came Cincy with 0-losses from a G5 conference and a win over Notre Dame.

Then came Notre Dame with 1 loss, without a conference title (just like UGA) and a loss to Cincy..

Everyone else who mattered had 2+ losses. (Technically Louisianna had 1 loss, but played nobody so didn't factor in the decision).

If anyone else had won the west and beaten UGA, as long as it didn't create any more 1-loss teams that we had, UGA would still have been in with a loss in the SECCG.

It wasn't the team that mattered, it was the results in the rest of college football. In 2023 (last year) we had 5 P5 conference champs with 0 or 1 loss. Didn't matter who UGA lost to in the SECCG, in that scenario you aren't getting in a 4-team playoff without winning your conference. UGA was likely still one of the 4 best teams last season but it didn't matter. Because of how well the top teams did in the regular season, teams would only get in with a conference championship.
Posted by secuniversity
Member since May 2015
5694 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 4:15 pm to
Meh. Since the regular season doesn't matter anymore I'm not watching until the playoffs.

For the first time in my life CFB season starts in December for me.

Alabama's pretty much guaranteed to be in it every year.
Posted by rtr23242526
Member since Dec 2022
2340 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 4:48 pm to
Reg season will be great except for the damn drown out the snap count farce.
Refs used to quiet crowd..then rematch a neutral field
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
8541 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:08 pm to
Assuming a loss to UGA, and a win at Wisconsin, that Tenn game will decide the season. I cant remember the last time we played a Bama team with two losses. 2007?
Posted by rtr23242526
Member since Dec 2022
2340 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:11 pm to
Bama undefeated as usual

Do not be deceived bama will bama as they have since 1922
Posted by Tideroller
Lower Alabama
Member since Jan 2022
2389 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:13 pm to
I understand we have some unknowns but I don't see LSU, without Daniels or their drafted receivers, and with no real assurance that their defense will be better, should be a lock against Alabama (who beat them by 2 TD's last year WITH those great players).
Posted by rtr23242526
Member since Dec 2022
2340 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:17 pm to
Bama loaded

Greatest run game ever
Greatest pass game ever
Greatest clock control ever

Boom natty 22
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
8541 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Is that going to happen? Nope. But it's possible there will be 3-5.


There has been 5 teams with 3 losses or less only twice in the last 10 years. Once was last year and LSU was the worst ranked of the five and still finished only one spot out of a 12 team playoff.

With the addition of two rather strong programs, I would argue that becomes an even harder task now with parity. I do think it will be a rarity when there aren't 4 SEC teams in the playoff.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22932 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 5:34 pm to
quote:


Nah, it didn't matter who the loss was to.

UGA was in because there weren't 4 other teams who won their conference with 1 or fewer losses.

If there were, UGA would have been out, just like they were last season.

Michigan and Bama won their conferences with 1 loss. They were ahead of UGA.

Then came UGA in 3rd with 1-loss but not a conference champion.

Then came Cincy with 0-losses from a G5 conference and a win over Notre Dame.

Then came Notre Dame with 1 loss, without a conference title (just like UGA) and a loss to Cincy..

Everyone else who mattered had 2+ losses. (Technically Louisianna had 1 loss, but played nobody so didn't factor in the decision).

If anyone else had won the west and beaten UGA, as long as it didn't create any more 1-loss teams that we had, UGA would still have been in with a loss in the SECCG.

It wasn't the team that mattered, it was the results in the rest of college football. In 2023 (last year) we had 5 P5 conference champs with 0 or 1 loss. Didn't matter who UGA lost to in the SECCG, in that scenario you aren't getting in a 4-team playoff without winning your conference. UGA was likely still one of the 4 best teams last season but it didn't matter. Because of how well the top teams did in the regular season, teams would only get in with a conference championship.


Last year it was Alabama that got the benefit of a quality loss. As Alabama's only loss was to #3 Texas. That allowed Alabama to get in ahead of a conference champion in FSU. If that loss had been to a worse team, FSU is in the playoffs despite the QB issue. So that's another example of who the loss is to making a difference.

As far as just the 2 teams in Alabama and Georgia goes, Alabama was #3 in the week before the finals and #1 in the final playoff rankings in 2021. Georgia was #3 in the final to avoid the immediate rematch against Alabama, but probably still deserved anyway over Cincy who was a joke to be included.

Alabama was #8 last year the week before and went to up #4 after beating Georgia. You didn't lose to the #1 team last year.

In both years, Georgia ended ranked 2 spots lower than Alabama in the final CFP poll. The difference was Alabama was #1 in 2021 and #4 last year.

If Alabama had been ranked #1 after beating Georgia, you would have been ranked above FSU minimum. But I do agree probably not higher than the other 3.



Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
8541 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Do not be deceived bama will bama as they have since 1922


Or they could be Bama in the 24 years between Bear and Saban when they lost an average of 4 games a year and won one NC. I'm guessing they will be somewhere in between those two extremes.
Posted by semjase
New Smyrna Beach FL
Member since May 2014
11119 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

@ Wisconsin - W
I disagree.

This will be the first loss that gets the "Snowball rolling down the Mountain" in the post Nick Saban "Return to Mediocrity" impending Rammer Jammer football decline.........
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
6017 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:18 pm to
imo 8-4 is the floor and 11-1 is the ceiling. 10-2 my lean right now too but I think they get either UGA or LSU in the regular season but lose to someone like Tennessee or LSU (one of DeBoer's first real SEC road games). Yes, I know that is confusing...they're going to win a game you don't expect, lose a game you don't expect.
This post was edited on 5/20/24 at 6:19 pm
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22932 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:46 pm to
quote:



This will be the first loss that gets the "Snowball rolling down the Mountain" in the post Nick Saban "Return to Mediocrity" impending Rammer Jammer football decline.........


When the game between Alabama and LSU is played in the state of Louisiana, you are just as likely to see LSU get shut out as you are to see LSU get a win.

And that's basically been the case for all of history.

That is the "Return to Mediocrity".
Posted by Opry
Member since Oct 2023
2054 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 6:57 pm to
Simpson as QB, NC run....Milroe as QB, several losses.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
8597 posts
Posted on 5/20/24 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

Bama loaded

Greatest run game ever
Greatest pass game ever
Greatest clock control ever

Boom natty 22


So you have created a BamaStephen account.

Great…
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