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Betting on Kentucky: is it a safe bet?
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:23 pm
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:23 pm
Versus the field. Friend wants to take the field while I take Kentucky. Odds wise in a normal year this sounds awful, but can Kentucky actually provide the true 50% odds to win? Eye test and my gut says yes.
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Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:24 pm to ForeverGator
I wouldn't call it safe, but I'd take Kentucky
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:25 pm to ForeverGator
Remember the undefeated season of the running rebels?
To those who lost money taking them over the field, I'm sure they remember.
To those who lost money taking them over the field, I'm sure they remember.
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:25 pm to ForeverGator
I would take Kentucky. I just can't see anyone beating them
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:28 pm to justice
take the field...it only takes one off night..ole miss took them to over time at Rupp...
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:31 pm to ForeverGator
Totally safe. Bet you're entire life savings and take out a loan to bet more. Thats what Brian Boitano would do.
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:37 pm to ForeverGator
quote:Read that back to yourself and say to yourself; "ok - they call it gambling for a reason."
is it a safe bet?
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:41 pm to ForeverGator
In any other year I'd take the field. It only takes one slightly off night.
Buy KY is so deep they can lose players, swap out cold players, the nonstarters push the starters. I'd take KY.
Buy KY is so deep they can lose players, swap out cold players, the nonstarters push the starters. I'd take KY.
This post was edited on 3/18/15 at 10:46 pm
Posted on 3/18/15 at 10:41 pm to ForeverGator
No, UK is +120: bet $100 and win $120. If you do a 50:50 bet with a friend, you're giving up odds.
Posted on 3/18/15 at 11:05 pm to ForeverGator
I don't like how a possible game with Wisconsin looks for them. Not talking shite on KY, but every game they win will build more pressure. There's never been a bigger target on a team in college basketball. Plus, I think Wisconsin is gonna present some matchup problems for them.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 7:50 am to Jawja_Joe
quote:
No, UK is +120: bet $100 and win $120. If you do a 50:50 bet with a friend, you're giving up odds.
You sure about that? The offshore site I use has UK listed at -175 and Oddshark has them at 6/5.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 7:54 am to ForeverGator
Yes. All bets on college sports favorites are safe.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 7:55 am to ForeverGator
Free money. 
Posted on 3/19/15 at 8:02 am to ForeverGator
Vegasinsider shows the average from the books is 1:1 right now. Looks like that is dead on
Posted on 3/19/15 at 8:07 am to ForeverGator
Obama agrees
Posted on 3/19/15 at 8:22 am to opdogg20
quote:Where are the matchup problems? UK can at least match up at every position (incl. center) plus they're at least 2 deep everywhere. There is no such thing as a "safe bet", but this one pushes the needle.
Plus, I think Wisconsin is gonna present some matchup problems for them.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 8:30 am to ForeverGator
Last I checked UK was -110 to win the tourney so yes, it's pretty much 50/50.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 8:31 am to ForeverGator
Advanced stats estimate that UK has about a 40% chance of winning it all. That seems about right to me.
I'd take the field.
I'd take the field.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 9:23 am to coachcrisp
quote:
Where are the matchup problems? UK can at least match up at every position (incl. center) plus they're at least 2 deep everywhere. There is no such thing as a "safe bet", but this one pushes the needle.
I don't forsee them as problems as much as Wisky is a good team and a legit challenge. They returned a bunch from last season. The kicker is, so did UK while strengthening the bench and the post. WCS was also out for UK's game against Wisky last season in the tournament.
Posted on 3/19/15 at 9:24 am to ForeverGator
I'm betting on 39-1. Would be the cheesiest of all melts and the tastiest of all tears.
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