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so... who wins the 3 way?

Posted on 11/8/14 at 8:56 pm
Posted by Gusoline
Jacksonville, NC
Member since Dec 2013
7622 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 8:56 pm
MSU loses to bama and ole miss. We win out and there's a 3 way tie between AU/ MSU / and tonights LSU/UA Victor. Do we go to ATL?
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
42557 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 8:57 pm to
We are out.
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 9:01 pm to
MSU would have to lose to Vandy, Bama, and Ole Miss
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
61574 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 9:04 pm to
quote:

We are out.
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
105384 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 9:06 pm to
We can only hope to win out beat rivals and get a good bowl. Championship hopes are over this season.
Posted by auyushu
Surprise, AZ
Member since Jan 2011
8585 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:03 pm to
quote:

MSU loses to bama and ole miss. We win out and there's a 3 way tie between AU/ MSU / and tonights LSU/UA Victor. Do we go to ATL?


It would likely depend on the results of the USC-FL game and Kentucky-Tenn games. USC wins that game and we'd have a better shot with tiebreakers against Bama and LSU.
Posted by Aubie Spr96
lolwut?
Member since Dec 2009
41068 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:16 pm to
Really? I thought the guy was the "winner" in a threesome?!?!?
Posted by Bow to Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
1830 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:36 pm to
Well if ole miss wins out it could potentially be a 4 way
Posted by ellitor
Member since Sep 2012
14285 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

Well if ole miss wins out it could potentially be a 4 way
And that's what we need most. AU would win the tie breaker there because the first tie breaker is record versus tied teams. AU would be 2-1, Rebs 2-1, Bama 1-2, Miss St 1-2. Then you revert to head to head w/ AU & Rebs. AU won that game and would get the division title. Bama versus Miss St would then decide 3rd so the order would be 1. AU 2. Rebs 3. Bama 4. Miss St.
Posted by RandySavage
Member since May 2012
30818 posts
Posted on 11/8/14 at 11:50 pm to
Hotty Toddy?
Posted by Gusoline
Jacksonville, NC
Member since Dec 2013
7622 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:00 am to
the Bama team I saw tonight wont beat MSU, or us unless we spot them 14 at the beginning as well, so its whatev. Ole miss could win out, though.
Posted by ChexMix
Taste the Deliciousness
Member since Apr 2014
24769 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:12 am to
quote:

And that's what we need most. AU would win the tie breaker there because the first tie breaker is record versus tied teams. AU would be 2-1, Rebs 2-1, Bama 1-2, Miss St 1-2. Then you revert to head to head w/ AU & Rebs. AU won that game and would get the division title. Bama versus Miss St would then decide 3rd so the order would be 1. AU 2. Rebs 3. Bama 4. Miss St.
So youre tellin me theres a chance
Posted by Kodar
Alabama
Member since Nov 2012
4558 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:17 am to
quote:

So youre tellin me theres a chance
13-2 'ship
Posted by ellitor
Member since Sep 2012
14285 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:21 am to
quote:

MSU loses to bama and ole miss. We win out and there's a 3 way tie between AU/ MSU / and tonights LSU/UA Victor. Do we go to ATL?
A 3 way tie would mean Ole Miss losses to Arky. If that happens then the next step is seeing if LSU or TAMU tie Ole Miss for 4th in the division. If Ole Miss is alone in 4th then you go down to best record versus the first non tied team since the H2Hs and division records would be the same for AU, Bama, & Miss St. AU would be the only 1 of the 3 to beat Ole Miss and thus win the division.

Now if Rebs lose to Arky and either TAMU or LSU win out tying the Rebs for 4th then record versus 4th place team can't break the tie because a first place tie must be broken before a 4th place tie even if the 4th place tie is simple and straight forward Point C under 3 team tie. It would then depend on who is tied for 4th. If it's Ole Miss & TAMU then You would then go down to best conference win % of non division opponents as all 3 tied teams beat 6th & 7th (LSU & Arky). AU has the lead there over Bama right now. SCe & UGA have a combined record of 7-7 while UF & UT are 5-7 with UT having a virtual win in the bank coming against Vandy. If Florida beats SCe next week then Tennesse would need to beat 1 of UK or Mizzou. That would make AU's East opponents 7-9 & Bama's 8-8 giving Bama the division even in losing their last conference game. If SCe beats UF then all Bama's East opponents can do is tie AU's East opponents. If there is a tie in East Division opponent con win % then you use the head to head for AU and Bama there (Point 2G from the link above). AU will have won the tie breaker there by beating Bama and win the division. Miss St is not a factor there as the best UK and Vandy will do is 3-13.
This post was edited on 11/9/14 at 12:30 am
Posted by ellitor
Member since Sep 2012
14285 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:33 am to
If Ole Miss & LSU tie for 4th then we have problems. The next step would be record versus 6th place team which would be TAMU. We would be eliminated due to tonight's loss. Then it would revert to H2H for Bama & Miss St and Bama would then win the division.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
48895 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:35 am to
quote:

We are out.
Posted by ellitor
Member since Sep 2012
14285 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 12:51 am to
To simplify things pull for:

1. AU to win out
2. Miss St lose to Rebs & Bama
3. Rebs to win out

If Rebs lose to Arky then pull for 1 & 2 plus:

both LSU & TAMU to lose 1 more game

If TAMU ties Rebs for 4th then pull for 1 & 2 plus:

SCe to beat UF or UT to lose to Mizzou & UK
Posted by allin2010
Auburn
Member since Aug 2011
18150 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 6:37 am to
We have a better chance of finishing tied for 4th

Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
61574 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 6:50 am to
at this thread....


Everyone just needs to deal with the fact that we are out. We will be watching from the outside on this one and we deserve it.

Im hoping for a close bowl game so I dont have to drive so far.

I would prefer us to play someone at the Atlanta Falcons complex. I can ride my bike up there.
Posted by ellitor
Member since Sep 2012
14285 posts
Posted on 11/9/14 at 8:32 am to
quote:

Everyone just needs to deal with the fact that we are out.
We are not mathematically out by any stretch of the imagination. Yes we could easily lose to Bama or UGA and be eliminated but neither one of those things have happened yet.

For anyone wondering, if we were to lose to Bama & UGA the worst case bowl game likely is the Liberty Bowl versus West Virginia.
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