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2014 In-Depth Utah State Preview + Spring game highlights

Posted on 6/30/14 at 8:05 am
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15812 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 8:05 am
2014 Utah State Aggies preview

Would add the cliffs, but with all the charts and the format that they have it in -- it's better just to check out the link.


2014 Spring game highlights


Offensive Style: Spread (Very similar to what UT is running)

Base Defense: 3-4

2013 Schedule :
@Utah - L - 26-30
@Air Force - W - 52-20
Weber St - W - 70-6
@USC - L - 14-17
@SJSU - W - 40-12
BYU - L - 14-31
New Mex. - W - 45-10
Hawaii - W - 47-10
@UNLV - W - 28-24
Colorado St - W - 13-0
Wyoming - W - 35-7
@Fresno St - L - 17-24
Northern Illinois - W - 21-14

9-5 on the season (7-1 in MWC)

Recruiting classes over last 4 years:
2014 - 110th
2013 - 107th
2012 - 107th
2011 - 110th

*Utah State comes in dead last in the country in players returning from the prior season. Out of last years 22 starters, only 7 are returning. With key play maker QB Chuckie Keeton returning from a season ending torn ACL that happened mid way through last years season.

USU had, statistically, one of the countries best defenses last year. Particularly in the front 7 and with stopping the run. Fortunately for us, they lose all but 4 of last years 11 starters.

3 on offense - 1-QB, 1-WR , 1-OL
4 on defense - 1-DL, 2-LB , 1-DB

2013 Season Statistics:

-Scoring Offense - #49 -- 56 TD - 18 FG - 31.8 PPG
-Rushing Offense - #52 -- 2503 YDS on 593 Carries or 4.2 YPC
-Passing Offense - #66 -- 479 Att. 296 Comp. 61.8 % and 3258 YDS on tSeason.
-Total Offense - #60 -- 2503 Rush YDS - 3258 Pass YDS on season.


-Scoring Defense - #7 -- 28 TD and 15 FG allowed
-Rushing Defense - #8 -- 535 Att. for 1495 YDS or 2.79 per carry
-Passing Defense - #52 --484 Att - 261 Comp. - 53.9% - 3138 YDS
-Total Defense - #12 -- 1495 Rush YDS allowed, 3138 Pass YDS allowed

-Sacks - #25 - 34 on season
-TFL - #3 - 109 on season
-INTs - #23 - 17 on season
-Fumbles Forced - #21 - 14 on season
-Red Zone Conv. - #47 - 61 attempts - 52 scores - 40 TD & 12 FG
-Long rushing plays - #38 - 45 plays for 20 YDS or more
-Long passing plays - #58 - 84 passing plays of 20 YDS or more.

Hoping to get some good discussion flowing
This post was edited on 6/30/14 at 9:20 am
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39972 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 9:10 am to
Sounds like an early quality win for UT.
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15812 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 9:24 am to
It's a must win for a young team and CBJ.

IMO this game revolves around our ability to stop Keeton and how well the Oline holds up.

Definitely one of the bigger openers we've had in a few years

Posted by Phat Phil
Krispy Kreme
Member since May 2010
7372 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 9:27 am to
must win game imo
Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 9:43 am to
It's no team you want to sleep on, but I think you guys will more than handle USU. Their defense last year was legit, no doubt. But they lost so many from that squad (I know Rams took their S in 4th round). Hard to tell what to expect with so much turnover.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58107 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 10:34 am to
The way our schedule unfolds the only way we make a bowl is to win this game IMO

if we don't go bowling this year I swear to god I'll be so distraught I'll have some serious life evaluation to do
Posted by InVolNerable
Member since Jan 2012
10203 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 11:35 am to
LINK

A fun link to play around with. Enter the number of games (12), then enter the probability of winning each game (As a decimal. Subjective and up to you). It spits out a bunch of probabilities.
This post was edited on 6/30/14 at 11:38 am
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15812 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 11:38 am to
quote:

I'll be so distraught I'll have some serious life evaluation to do


Let me know if you need any council. I wrote the book on how to melt after last years loss to VU with 16 seconds left.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58107 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 11:54 am to
I think I wrote the forward on that book, slammed my hat down and yelled god dammit as loud as possible (I'm very loud to start with) at a bar/restaurant women and children be damned
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 12:15 pm to
Utah State is starting former Vol Daniel Gray at CB. The last time he started at Neyland Stadium the other team racked up over 700 yards in offense.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58107 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 12:46 pm to
And if I'm not mistaken the other team was fricking Akron
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

And if I'm not mistaken the other team was fricking Akron


Nope...Troy.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58107 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 6:09 pm to
Oh THAT powerhouse




Posted by reedus23
St. Louis
Member since Sep 2011
25485 posts
Posted on 6/30/14 at 11:55 pm to
That's pretty cool. Gonna share it with the Mizzou board if ya don't mind.
Posted by volfan30
Member since Jun 2010
40949 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 2:53 am to
quote:

A fun link to play around with. Enter the number of games (12), then enter the probability of winning each game (As a decimal. Subjective and up to you). It spits out a bunch of probabilities.


Pretty sweet.

I got

Exact wins:
Probability of Winning exactly 0 of 12 games: 0 %
Probability of Winning exactly 1 of 12 games: 0.02 %
Probability of Winning exactly 2 of 12 games: 0.3 %
Probability of Winning exactly 3 of 12 games: 2.35 %
Probability of Winning exactly 4 of 12 games: 9.47 %
Probability of Winning exactly 5 of 12 games: 21.46 %
Probability of Winning exactly 6 of 12 games: 28.83 %
Probability of Winning exactly 7 of 12 games: 23.23 %
Probability of Winning exactly 8 of 12 games: 11.01 %
Probability of Winning exactly 9 of 12 games: 2.92 %
Probability of Winning exactly 10 of 12 games: 0.4 %
Probability of Winning exactly 11 of 12 games: 0.02 %
Probability of Winning exactly 12 of 12 games: 0 %

Probability of Winning at least 1 of 12 games: 100 %
Probability of Winning at least 2 of 12 games: 99.98 %
Probability of Winning at least 3 of 12 games: 99.69 %
Probability of Winning at least 4 of 12 games: 97.34 %
Probability of Winning at least 5 of 12 games: 87.87 %
Probability of Winning at least 6 of 12 games: 66.41 %
Probability of Winning at least 7 of 12 games: 37.58 %
Probability of Winning at least 8 of 12 games: 14.35 %
Probability of Winning at least 9 of 12 games: 3.34 %
Probability of Winning at least 10 of 12 games: 0.42 %
Probability of Winning at least 11 of 12 games: 0.02 %
Probability of Winning at least 12 of 12 games: 0 %
This post was edited on 7/1/14 at 2:54 am
Posted by InVolNerable
Member since Jan 2012
10203 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 7:23 am to
quote:

That's pretty cool. Gonna share it with the Mizzou board if ya don't mind.


Go for it.
Posted by InVolNerable
Member since Jan 2012
10203 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 7:29 am to
Here are my numbers.
quote:

Exact wins:
Probability of Winning exactly 0 of 12 games: 0 %
Probability of Winning exactly 1 of 12 games: 0.01 %
Probability of Winning exactly 2 of 12 games: 0.14 %
Probability of Winning exactly 3 of 12 games: 1.36 %
Probability of Winning exactly 4 of 12 games: 6.75 %
Probability of Winning exactly 5 of 12 games: 18.19 %
Probability of Winning exactly 6 of 12 games: 28.38 %
Probability of Winning exactly 7 of 12 games: 26.27 %
Probability of Winning exactly 8 of 12 games: 14.19 %
Probability of Winning exactly 9 of 12 games: 4.16 %
Probability of Winning exactly 10 of 12 games: 0.54 %
Probability of Winning exactly 11 of 12 games: 0.01 %
Probability of Winning exactly 12 of 12 games: 0 %

At least wins:
Probability of Winning at least 1 of 12 games: 100 %
Probability of Winning at least 2 of 12 games: 99.99 %
Probability of Winning at least 3 of 12 games: 99.85 %
Probability of Winning at least 4 of 12 games: 98.49 %
Probability of Winning at least 5 of 12 games: 91.74 %
Probability of Winning at least 6 of 12 games: 73.55 %
Probability of Winning at least 7 of 12 games: 45.17 %
Probability of Winning at least 8 of 12 games: 18.91 %
Probability of Winning at least 9 of 12 games: 4.72 %
Probability of Winning at least 10 of 12 games: 0.56 %
Probability of Winning at least 11 of 12 games: 0.01 %
Probability of Winning at least 12 of 12 games: 0 %
Posted by TRUERockyTop
Appalachia
Member since Sep 2011
15812 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 9:28 am to
quote:

I think I wrote the forward on that book, slammed my hat down and yelled god dammit as loud as possible (I'm very loud to start with) at a bar/restaurant women and children be damned



My wife had to console me for 2 days afterwards. On the 3rd she told me to stop acting like a bitch and tape my balls and dick back on.

Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39972 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 10:21 am to
quote:

On the 3rd she told me to stop acting like a bitch and tape my balls and dick back on.

She sounds like a catch, seriously
Posted by Robert Goulet
Member since Jan 2013
9999 posts
Posted on 7/1/14 at 11:49 am to
I think UT wins this handily. And to clarify, I'm not one of those who has us competing for the east this year.

This is one of those early games that we like to worry about too much. Of course, the only thing that worries me is the QB. Defensive speed should be better this year though. I think this one is over by mid 3rd quarter at the latest.
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