IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES | SECRant.com
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AllBamaDoesIsWin
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IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


This is it. The biggest game of the year. The Iron Bowl. Not just any Iron Bowl. A battle of top four teams. The top ranked team vs the top ranked one loss team. This may be the most anticipated Iron Bowl of all time. The SEC West hangs in the balance, and dreams of a National Championship are buzzing around the state.

For Auburn? Not only do they have a chance to win the SEC and POTENTIALLY play for a National Championship, but they have a chance to knockoff Alabama an perhaps pump the brakes on one of the greatest dynasties of all time, which would be the icing on the cake of their turnaround.


For the Tide? An undefeated season, a third straight title, and 4 out of 5 are on the line. A dynasty, perhaps even a Heisman opportunity, could be all gone in an instant.


I'm going to go ahead and put my prediction in this OP.

Bama 38

Auburn 20

Roll Tide.



This post was edited on 11/30 at 12:00 am



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Ross
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


Here's hoping for an injury free game. Might be the highest profile Iron Bowl any of us will ever see.

Hope y'all are ready for the Gus Bus.






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harmonics
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


I will say this, cheers to Auburn for making this game something no one thought it would be. Solid turn around. That being said, I hope Alabama fricks your world upside down. Roll Tide.





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thatdude1985
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


It's Officially here!!!! OMGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG This game is HUGE!!!! CAN'T WAIT.





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thatdude1985
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


quote:

Here's hoping for an injury free game. Might be the highest profile Iron Bowl any of us will ever see.

Hope y'all are ready for the Gus Bus.



Ross my friend the Gus bus will be hard to roll with all those flat tires it's gonna have!






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RollDawgRoll
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


BAMA 37, auburn 10

auburn will be exposed as a frAUd.






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HarryBalzack
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES








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Bama Bird
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


quote:

Here's hoping for an injury free game


And here's to frick you






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jatebe
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES








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remaster916
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


It might be the most anticipated Iron Bowl of all time, but it won't be the best of all time. Bama will do what it does best, destroy the other team.

45-21 Bama






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BamaGround
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


A week ago I would've said 38-24 but now I think this game will be closer. Bama still wins but doesn't cover the line.

Bama 34 Barn 27






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chattabama
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


Bama 41
Barn 20

I don't want a close game where auburn can auburn their way into victory through some fluke play.






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Bama Bird
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


quote:

I don't want a close game where auburn can auburn their way into victory through some fluke play.


I guarantee you no matter what the score, the whiny fricktards are going to run their mouths like they had actually won






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AMM AU9893
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


The atmosphere is going to be electric. Hopefully the game lives up to expectations





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remaster916
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


quote:

I don't want a close game where auburn can auburn their way into victory through some fluke play


If it's close Auburn will win, according to their coach.






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AllBamaDoesIsWin
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


Buckle up, this is gonna be the most important game, the biggest game, of the Saban Era. Bigger than the 2011 GotC.





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mre
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


Okay, I've crunched the numbers for the Iron Bowl by looking at both Alabama and Auburn's performance against conference and "quality" out-of-conference opponents (VA Tech for Bama, and WSU for Auburn). The main goal of my analysis was to see how both teams performed, both offensively and defensively, against their opponents' averages. I can post the spreadsheet later if someone wants it, but here's what the numbers suggest that we might see in the Iron Bowl:

AU Rushing 150-180 yds
AU Rushing 1-2 TD
AU Passing 120-140 yds
AU Passing 0-1 TD
Total: 270-320 yds
1-3 TD

UA Rushing 200-250 yds
UA Rushing 2-3 TD
UA Passing 225-300 yds
UA Passing 1-2 TD
Total: 425-550 yds
3-5 TD

To explain the methodology briefly using an example: Auburn's rushing attack gained, on average, 1.46 times more yards than their opponents averaged giving up against the other teams they faced. They also scored, on average, 1.69 more rushing TDs than their opponents averaged giving up against other teams. For the year they averaged 286.125 yds and 3.125 TDs in these games.

Alabama's rushing defense, held their opponents, on average, to 0.63 times the amount of yards they gained against other teams. Alabama's rushing defense also held their opponents, on average, to 0.31 times the amount of TDs they scored against other teams. For the season, Alabama gave up an average of 105.63 yards and 0.63 TDs a game on the ground.

In order to come up with the range of yards that Auburn is predicted to rush for, I took Auburn's delta (1.69) and multiplied it times Alabama's average (105.63), and then took Alabama's delta (0.63) and multiplied it times Auburn's average (286.125). This gave me a range of 154.22 - 180.18 yards.

Personally, I think the only way we hold AU to below 200 yards rushing is if we jump on them early and force them to pass to try and catch up, but I thought that some here might find this interesting.

For comparison's sake, here are each team's straight average across these games:

AU Rushing 286.13 yds
AU Rushing 3.13 TD
AU Passing 175.25 yds
AU Passing 0.88 TD
Total: 461.38 yds
4.01 TD

UA Rushing 228.5 yds
UA Rushing 2.38 TD
UA Passing 226.25 yds
UA Passing 2 TD
Total: 454.75 yds
4.38 TD

Pretty damn close to each other in this chart.



This post was edited on 11/24 at 4:42 pm


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MagicCityBlazer
Member since Nov 2010
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


quote:

If it's close Auburn will win, according to their coach.


Auburn fans have been extremely vocal that the game is already won for Auburn.

It's getting old hearing the from a hail mary victory.






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SoFla Tideroller
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


How does this AU offensive line compare to the 2010 version? Haven't watched enough to know how they stack up. I just don't have the confidence in Ivory that I did with Cody, Chapman and Jesse.





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remaster916
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re: IRON BOWL THREAD: #1 Alabama @ #4 Auburn (2:30 central on CBS) GAMEDAY BITCHES


If A&M, Ole Miss and LSU couldn't run on Bama, then Auburn won't either.





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