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Stats from the last LSU/Bama Game: Will Bama's Defense be able to Repeat?

Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:37 pm
Posted by Hugo Stiglitz
Member since Oct 2010
72937 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:37 pm

Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:38 pm to
last two regular seasons the team that clearly got outplayed, won.

Here's to hoping we play shitty
This post was edited on 11/5/13 at 1:39 pm
Posted by Broyota2
Member since Nov 2010
13037 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:38 pm to
If we commit stupid f'n penalties like last year, we fffffuuuuucked.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24861 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Stats from the last LSU/Bama Game: Will Bama's Defense be able to Repeat?


Hope so. If LSU only scores 17, then this is likely a two TD victory for Alabama.
Posted by The Calvin
Member since Jun 2013
5240 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:40 pm to
If Mettenberger passes for around 300 yards we'll win
Posted by StopRobot
Mobile, AL
Member since May 2013
15382 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:41 pm to
Damn look at that third down efficiency
Posted by A_Leather_Glove
Behind a podium
Member since Oct 2012
1192 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:49 pm to
I think that going into last year's game, it looked like Bama's defensive gameplan was to force Mettenberger to beat them through the air, and Mett really stepped up big.

This year, there should be more focus on slowing down LSU's passing game, so it will be interesting to see what Miles and Cameron decide to do on offense, especially with an extra week of prep
Posted by The Calvin
Member since Jun 2013
5240 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:51 pm to
Unfortunately our defense has taken a step back, even though (i thought) our offense had taken a step forward.

We'll see what LSU is made of Saturday night
Posted by toosleaux
Stuck in Baton Rouge traffic
Member since Dec 2007
9205 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

If we commit stupid f'n penalties like last year, we fffffuuuuucked.


Copeland's stupid fricking personal foul still pisses me off.
Posted by SoFla Tideroller
South Florida
Member since Apr 2010
30022 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 1:58 pm to
If Nussmeier only rushes 25 times in this game again, he should be unemployed Sunday.

I hate to be "that guy", but if Bama loses this game it will be most likely because Nussmeier reverts back to his softer PAC-12 side and runs shotgun 4-wide all night. He lost us the A&M game last year and tried his damnedest to lose the LSU and SECCG games by not running the ball. LSU is Charming soft up the middle.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 2:00 pm to
If we still had McElwain instead of Nuss, A&M destroys us last year. We also lose to LSU and UGA last year. And we lose to A&M this year
Posted by NoleTideNole
PCB, FL
Member since Oct 2011
304 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 2:50 pm to
Did I hear on one of our past Bama v LSU game broadcasts that the team that rushes for more yards, has won more often?
Posted by Bulskinator
Member since Sep 2011
181 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 2:56 pm to
Crazy stat has something to do with the following:
If Bama rushes for at least 140 yds, they've got an ungodly probability of winning games.
I'll try and find it.

2012 SEC Rushing Defense / Opponents’ Yards-Per-Carry

School Opp. Yds/Carry SEC Record
Alabama 2.55 7-1
Florida 3.02 7-1
S. Carolina 3.11 6-2
LSU 3.37 6-2
Arkansas 3.57 2-6
Ole Miss 3.68 3-5
Georgia 3.85 7-1
Texas A&M 3.93 6-2
Miss. State 4.23 4-4
Kentucky 4.29 0-8
Missouri 4.43 2-6
Vanderbilt 4.62 5-3
Tennessee 5.07 1-7
Auburn 5.33 0-8


Observations

* Just as pass defense meant a little bit more than pass offense, rushing defense means a bit more in SEC play than rushing offense. Teams that held their opponents to under four yards per rush attempt totaled 44 wins against just 20 losses in SEC play last year. Teams that allowed more than four yards per carry finished a combined 12-36 in the league.

* Again, there were some exceptions to the rule, but there were fewer of them. Arkansas and Ole Miss stand out among the teams near the top of the chart, but those two squads led the league in giveaways last season, undermining their ability to stop their foes’ ground games. Vanderbilt was lone winning team ranked in the bottom six of this category, but four of their five league wins came against other teams that allowed more than four yards per carry.

* Simply put, running the ball effectively helps, but stopping opposing teams from running effectively is much more important when it comes to winning football games in the SEC.

* To compare these numbers to SEC squads’ rushing ability last season, click here to find our breakdown of teams’ in the offensive yards-per-carry category. Also, check out our pass game comparisons by clicking here to see yards-per-attempt data and by clicking here to see opponents’ yards-per-attempt data. LINK /
This post was edited on 11/5/13 at 3:00 pm
Posted by NoleTideNole
PCB, FL
Member since Oct 2011
304 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Bulskinator


Thanks for the clarification, couldn't remember where or if I had read/heard that correctly. Here's hoping Bama rushes for over 280 yards if that guarantees a Bama W.

Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 3:26 pm to
It's not only Bama v LSU games. In the SEC, the team that wins the rushing game wins the game at nearly 90%. Run to win.
Posted by CrimsonCoast
The Coast
Member since Jun 2012
1409 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 3:37 pm to
Damn, Bama only converted one third down?
Posted by ThreauxDown11
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2013
1655 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 4:08 pm to
TJ Yeldon 1 Rec 28 Yds 1 TD

That hurts to look at!
Posted by Settingthestandard
Titletown USA 2
Member since Apr 2013
521 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 4:17 pm to
Bama came into the game last year to stop the run. I doubt very seriously Mettenberger gets 435 again.

I believe this year the plan is to get to Zach and get him out of his game and turn it over a la Ole Miss. he can't hurt you running and I'm not sure the LSU running game is good enough to carry the load this season. Mettenberger has shown when he is pressured he is mistake prone.
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
24265 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

last two regular seasons the team that clearly got outplayed, won.

Here's to hoping we play shitty


Ha...yeah, who outrushed who in the 2011 game? Which team had under 100 yards rushing for the game? We all know that's the stat.

Which team only reached the red zone once?
Posted by JuiceTerry
Roond the Scheme
Member since Apr 2013
40868 posts
Posted on 11/5/13 at 4:32 pm to
Good point, just like Bama out rushed LSU last year. Run to win.
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