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Would a randomly generated play work for an offense?
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:04 pm
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:04 pm
A lot of defensive coordinators study their opponents down to a science and pick out their tendencies and likes and dislikes, etc. A good defensive coordinator pretty much knows what play is coming next in most situations.
How would it work for a team/coordinator if they entered a # for every single offensive play (less the trick plays, fake punt, etc.) and put it into a random generator.
Whatever # comes up, that's what you run. I tried this on NCAA 2013. I wrote down each play, and randomly drew for the play call. I had a lot of awkward play calls, but it worked to perfection. This is the sweetest idea ever.
If Houston Nutt had used this during the D-Mac, Matt Jones years, we would have been national champions.
How would it work for a team/coordinator if they entered a # for every single offensive play (less the trick plays, fake punt, etc.) and put it into a random generator.
Whatever # comes up, that's what you run. I tried this on NCAA 2013. I wrote down each play, and randomly drew for the play call. I had a lot of awkward play calls, but it worked to perfection. This is the sweetest idea ever.
If Houston Nutt had used this during the D-Mac, Matt Jones years, we would have been national champions.
18
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:05 pm to LOCO5150
wut
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:06 pm to LOCO5150
Deep fly pattern from the opponent's two yard line will work 0% of the time.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:16 pm to LOCO5150
not sure if serious
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:17 pm to LOCO5150
have any of Petrinos other plays worked this season?
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:19 pm to LOCO5150
quote:If it works on NCAA 13, it must work in real life! You, sir, are a genius.
Whatever # comes up, that's what you run. I tried this on NCAA 2013. I wrote down each play, and randomly drew for the play call. I had a lot of awkward play calls, but it worked to perfection. This is the sweetest idea ever.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:20 pm to LOCO5150
I see what you're getting at. But no it really wouldn't work at all. Just as you mentioned about the D coordinator figuring out plays, the offensive coordinator figures out chinks in the defense's armor and exploits those weaknesses throughout the game.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:21 pm to LOCO5150
Not really related, I did see somewhere several years ago that Stanford mathematicians had done an extensive breakdown of the numbers and statistics and all the variables and had determined you should always go for it on fourth down.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:23 pm to LOCO5150
quote:
I tried this on NCAA 2013. I wrote down each play, and randomly drew for the play call
I bet you get more pussy than a litter box
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:28 pm to genro
quote:
Not really related, I did see somewhere several years ago that Stanford mathematicians had done an extensive breakdown of the numbers and statistics and all the variables and had determined you should always go for it on fourth down.
Meh. It's gonna change statistically once you do start going for it all the time on fourth down.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:31 pm to LOCO5150
quote:
I tried this on NCAA 2013.
Real football.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:31 pm to LOCO5150
The "Ask Corso" play never worked on that football game.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:33 pm to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:
I bet you get more pussy than a litter box
Sumbitch, I was drinking Mountain Dew when I read that. Ain't nothing like a Mt. DEw and snot shower all over my desk...and my freaking sinuses are on fire!
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:34 pm to LOCO5150
Houston Nutt called a lot of randomly generated plays
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:34 pm to diddydirtyAubie
Every great team has an identity. Being very good at a subset of plays far outweighs the unpredictable nature of random plays.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:34 pm to DollaChoppa
quote:Perhaps this was taken into account?
It's gonna change statistically once you do start going for it all the time on fourth down.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:36 pm to LOCO5150
Would a random post do well on the rant?
Posted on 9/21/12 at 3:42 pm to genro
Possibly, but if I had to guess, they were aiming for results to suggest going for it on 4th down. Otherwise it wouldnt really be newsworthy.
Posted on 9/21/12 at 4:03 pm to LOCO5150
quote:
Would a randomly generated play work for an offense?
I thought Petrino already used this system?
Posted on 9/21/12 at 4:15 pm to DollaChoppa
It wouldn't change once you started doing it bc they weren't suggesting fake punting but rather approaching each drive with a four down mentality. Taking the opponent by surprise wasn't a factor. A friend was talking to me about this and said it has alot to do with the overvaluing of individual possessions. A turnover isn't as big a deal when you consider that converting a fourth down is an anti-turnover
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