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Playoff scenarios...
Posted on 10/22/23 at 9:29 am
Posted on 10/22/23 at 9:29 am
Still quite a ways out but these are the teams possibly still in play imo.
Undefeated teams that likely control their own destiny:
Georgia, FSU, OK, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that likely control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: NC* and Louisville
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Utah, Oregon and Oregon State
SEC: Mizzu, Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss can't be involved in a tiebreaker with Bama and make the SEC championship game.
* NC with that bad loss would likely need an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG to get in if there are 5 undefeated/1 loss contenders. The committee likes big wins better but that is a really bad loss to have.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be hard for them to get in if that is the case.
I think OSU with just 1 loss to Michigan would be the only 1 loss non-conference champion that could possibly beat out a 1 loss power 5 conference champ for a spot. I doubt a 1 loss Michigan or Penn State would have a good enough resume to do that in most scenarios.
Undefeated teams that likely control their own destiny:
Georgia, FSU, OK, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that likely control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: NC* and Louisville
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Utah, Oregon and Oregon State
SEC: Mizzu, Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss can't be involved in a tiebreaker with Bama and make the SEC championship game.
* NC with that bad loss would likely need an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG to get in if there are 5 undefeated/1 loss contenders. The committee likes big wins better but that is a really bad loss to have.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be hard for them to get in if that is the case.
I think OSU with just 1 loss to Michigan would be the only 1 loss non-conference champion that could possibly beat out a 1 loss power 5 conference champ for a spot. I doubt a 1 loss Michigan or Penn State would have a good enough resume to do that in most scenarios.
This post was edited on 10/22/23 at 9:30 am
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Posted on 10/22/23 at 11:50 pm to Gator Fever
*Florida running the table and beating bama in the SEC CG and going 
Posted on 10/23/23 at 7:33 am to Louisiana Gator
quote:
Playoff scenarios...
*Florida running the table and beating bama in the SEC CG and going
I approve!
Posted on 10/23/23 at 7:36 am to UFMatt
i'd like to just shock the world and make it to a NY6 bowl. 
Posted on 10/29/23 at 7:14 am to finchmeister08
Undefeated teams that control their own destiny:
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that likely control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas, OK
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Mizzu, Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss can't be involved in a tiebreaker with Bama and make the SEC championship game. If Ole Miss did upset Georgia and Georgia wins the SECCG Ole Miss might could get in at 1 loss with no conference championship.
*Louisville with their bad loss would likely need an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG to have a chance to get in if there are 5 undefeated/1 loss contenders. The committee likes big wins better but that is a really bad loss to have.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be hard for them to get in if that doesn't change.
There is going to be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship:
WA only loses in the PAC12 CG in a rematch to Oregon especially if Oregon wins that conference at 1 loss.
Ohio State only loses to an undefeated Michigan.
Georgia only loses to a 1 loss Bama in the SECCG.
Ole Miss wins out with GA winning the SECCG.
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that likely control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas, OK
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Mizzu, Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss can't be involved in a tiebreaker with Bama and make the SEC championship game. If Ole Miss did upset Georgia and Georgia wins the SECCG Ole Miss might could get in at 1 loss with no conference championship.
*Louisville with their bad loss would likely need an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG to have a chance to get in if there are 5 undefeated/1 loss contenders. The committee likes big wins better but that is a really bad loss to have.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be hard for them to get in if that doesn't change.
There is going to be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship:
WA only loses in the PAC12 CG in a rematch to Oregon especially if Oregon wins that conference at 1 loss.
Ohio State only loses to an undefeated Michigan.
Georgia only loses to a 1 loss Bama in the SECCG.
Ole Miss wins out with GA winning the SECCG.
This post was edited on 10/29/23 at 7:15 am
Posted on 11/6/23 at 6:55 am to Gator Fever
Undefeated teams that control their own destiny:
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that could control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss won't make the SECCG but if they did upset Georgia and win out they might could get in at 1 loss with no conference championship if Georgia beats Bama in the SECCG.
*Louisville with their bad loss and ND losing to Clemson this past week I think at this point would be left out if it came down to them against the other 1 loss contenders at the end. I don't think a win now over an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG would be enough to get them a spot if the committee was choosing between them and a 1 loss non-conference champion Ole Miss, OSU, Washington or Michigan.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be tough for them to get in if that doesn't change.
We have to see what the opponents of these teams do but a 1 loss ACC champion (definitely Louisville and probably FSU) I think would be left out to the other 1 loss conference champs and to 1 loss non-conference champs Ole Miss, OSU or Washington and even Michigan at this point. There is going to be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship.
Craziest scenario for the committee: Undefeated Michigan*, one loss Texas*, one loss Bama*, one loss Georgia, one loss OSU, one loss FSU*, one loss Oregon* or one loss Washington.
*conference champion
The committee will have a really hard time dealing with that scenario since Texas beat Bama on the road. We know Michigan and Bama will be locks and FSU will likely be left out but who will the other 2 be out of Texas, Georgia, OSU and Oregon/Washington, It will be hard to keep TX out with that Bama road win and a 1 loss PAC12 team might have the best overall wins resume. Georgia will be the 1 loss defending champs who only lost in the SECCG.
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that could control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big10: Penn State*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama and Ole Miss*
* Ole Miss won't make the SECCG but if they did upset Georgia and win out they might could get in at 1 loss with no conference championship if Georgia beats Bama in the SECCG.
*Louisville with their bad loss and ND losing to Clemson this past week I think at this point would be left out if it came down to them against the other 1 loss contenders at the end. I don't think a win now over an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG would be enough to get them a spot if the committee was choosing between them and a 1 loss non-conference champion Ole Miss, OSU, Washington or Michigan.
* Penn State likely loses out on making the Big10 CG in a 3 way tie so it will be tough for them to get in if that doesn't change.
We have to see what the opponents of these teams do but a 1 loss ACC champion (definitely Louisville and probably FSU) I think would be left out to the other 1 loss conference champs and to 1 loss non-conference champs Ole Miss, OSU or Washington and even Michigan at this point. There is going to be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship.
Craziest scenario for the committee: Undefeated Michigan*, one loss Texas*, one loss Bama*, one loss Georgia, one loss OSU, one loss FSU*, one loss Oregon* or one loss Washington.
*conference champion
The committee will have a really hard time dealing with that scenario since Texas beat Bama on the road. We know Michigan and Bama will be locks and FSU will likely be left out but who will the other 2 be out of Texas, Georgia, OSU and Oregon/Washington, It will be hard to keep TX out with that Bama road win and a 1 loss PAC12 team might have the best overall wins resume. Georgia will be the 1 loss defending champs who only lost in the SECCG.
Posted on 11/9/23 at 11:20 am to Gator Fever
Ole Miss could be a fly in the ointment with a win this weekend. Go Rebs!!!
Posted on 11/12/23 at 6:48 am to UFMatt
Undefeated teams that control their own destiny:
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that could possibly control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama
*Louisville with their bad loss and schedule I think at this point would be left out if it came down to them against the other 1 loss contenders at the end. I don't think a win now over an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG would be enough to get them a spot if the committee was choosing between them and a 1 loss non-conference champion OSU, Washington or Michigan.
We have to see what the opponents of these teams do but a 1 loss ACC champion (definitely Louisville and probably FSU) I think would be left out to the other 1 loss conference champs and to 1 loss non-conference champs OSU or Washington and even Michigan at this point. There will be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship.
Craziest scenario for the committee: Undefeated Michigan*, one loss Texas*, one loss Bama*, one loss Georgia, one loss OSU, one loss FSU*, one loss Oregon* or one loss Washington.
*conference champion
The committee will have a really hard time dealing with that scenario since Texas beat Bama on the road. We know Michigan and Bama will be locks and FSU will likely be left out but who will the other 2 be out of Texas, Georgia, OSU and Oregon/Washington, It will be hard to keep TX out (their schedule took a hit this week though) with that Bama road win and a 1 loss PAC12 team might have the best overall wins resume. Georgia will be the 1 loss defending champs who only lost in the SECCG. Would the committee take Georgia over TX who will have won the Big 12 conference and beat the SEC Champion on the road?
Georgia, FSU, Michigan, OSU, WA
1 loss teams that could possibly control their own destiny if they win out including their conference championship game:
ACC: Louisville*
Big12: Texas
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama
*Louisville with their bad loss and schedule I think at this point would be left out if it came down to them against the other 1 loss contenders at the end. I don't think a win now over an undefeated FSU in the ACCCG would be enough to get them a spot if the committee was choosing between them and a 1 loss non-conference champion OSU, Washington or Michigan.
We have to see what the opponents of these teams do but a 1 loss ACC champion (definitely Louisville and probably FSU) I think would be left out to the other 1 loss conference champs and to 1 loss non-conference champs OSU or Washington and even Michigan at this point. There will be some arguments at the end if that last spot comes down to a 1 loss ACC champion and if any of these 4 teams end up with 1 loss and no conference championship.
Craziest scenario for the committee: Undefeated Michigan*, one loss Texas*, one loss Bama*, one loss Georgia, one loss OSU, one loss FSU*, one loss Oregon* or one loss Washington.
*conference champion
The committee will have a really hard time dealing with that scenario since Texas beat Bama on the road. We know Michigan and Bama will be locks and FSU will likely be left out but who will the other 2 be out of Texas, Georgia, OSU and Oregon/Washington, It will be hard to keep TX out (their schedule took a hit this week though) with that Bama road win and a 1 loss PAC12 team might have the best overall wins resume. Georgia will be the 1 loss defending champs who only lost in the SECCG. Would the committee take Georgia over TX who will have won the Big 12 conference and beat the SEC Champion on the road?
Posted on 11/19/23 at 7:30 am to Gator Fever
Well this week's games didn't change anything. That crazy talk about FSU possibly being left out (losing Travis) to a 1 loss OSU, Georgia or Oregon is nonsense though as the committee would never leave an undefeated power 5 team out of the playoff.
This post was edited on 11/19/23 at 7:33 am
Posted on 11/19/23 at 5:32 pm to Gator Fever
If Bama beats UG in a tight game, FSU is will be left out. It doesn’t matter anyway as they are losing Saturday. In the Swamp.
Posted on 11/26/23 at 11:58 am to UFMatt
Undefeated teams that control their own destiny:
Georgia, Michigan, WA and FSU
1 loss teams that I would think control their own destiny if they win their conference championship game:
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama
* I think a 1 loss Georgia would be the highest in the pecking order of 1 loss non-conference champs for losing in the 13th game and having one more good win than OSU. Though Georgia on paper wouldn't really have a better wins resume than WA if they lose to Oregon.
There is going to be some big arguments if the power 5 conference champions are Michigan, Bama, WA or Oregon, FSU and Texas.
An undefeated FSU wont be left out and how do you leave Texas out when they beat Bama on the road (but Bama will have just beat undefeated Georgia).
If FSU does lose would they consider leaving Texas out to get GA and Bama both in the playoff. I don't think the committee has ever taken a 1 loss non-conference champ over a 1 loss conference champ before though but they never had this situation before. K State losing didn't do TX any favors.
Georgia, Michigan, WA and FSU
1 loss teams that I would think control their own destiny if they win their conference championship game:
PAC12: Oregon
SEC: Bama
* I think a 1 loss Georgia would be the highest in the pecking order of 1 loss non-conference champs for losing in the 13th game and having one more good win than OSU. Though Georgia on paper wouldn't really have a better wins resume than WA if they lose to Oregon.
There is going to be some big arguments if the power 5 conference champions are Michigan, Bama, WA or Oregon, FSU and Texas.
An undefeated FSU wont be left out and how do you leave Texas out when they beat Bama on the road (but Bama will have just beat undefeated Georgia).
If FSU does lose would they consider leaving Texas out to get GA and Bama both in the playoff. I don't think the committee has ever taken a 1 loss non-conference champ over a 1 loss conference champ before though but they never had this situation before. K State losing didn't do TX any favors.
Posted on 11/30/23 at 7:07 am to Gator Fever
Well their rankings definitely point to an issue if Bama beats GA and FSU doesn't lose. I think there would even be talk about GA against Texas in a close GA loss to Bama and an FSU loss but I doubt they would let GA go in that scenario.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 5:50 am to Gator Fever
Well the committee will have their biggest headache ever if TX, Bama and FSU win today. Their biggest headaches previously was whether a 2 loss conference champ should go over a 1 loss team so they had it kind of easy using the 1 loss argument.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 6:40 pm to Gator Fever
Georgia 
Now just need FSU to lose
Now just need FSU to lose
Posted on 12/2/23 at 6:50 pm to dbuchanon
That would be great.
Posted on 12/2/23 at 10:40 pm to Gator Fever
The committee is a joke if they let Bama in over Texas imo.
Posted on 12/3/23 at 12:53 am to Gator Fever
fNeed to put Texas and Bama in over Free Shoes Univ.
Posted on 12/3/23 at 4:57 am to Louisiana Gator
Outside of UW...frick most of that field
Posted on 12/3/23 at 10:16 am to SpartyGator
The committee will be a disgrace if they don't take FSU and Texas in their top 4. I hate FSU but that would be a joke if they screwed them.
Posted on 12/3/23 at 11:28 am to Gator Fever
Funny but FSU got screwed.
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