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the reason alabama will win tomorrow

Posted on 9/26/08 at 5:53 pm
Posted by dreaux
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2006
40881 posts
Posted on 9/26/08 at 5:53 pm
I hate to admit it, but when i looked at this matchup objectively, i already knew it would be a close game. So something has to tip the scales, and when a game is close i would have to pick the least penalized team in the sec vs the most penalized team in the ncaa.

If rict could cut down on mistakes he has more then a good chance. Unfortunetly those penalties will amount to field position and that is another key componet.
This post was edited on 9/26/08 at 5:54 pm
Posted by Bigtigah
Sportsman's Paradise
Member since Sep 2006
3929 posts
Posted on 9/26/08 at 6:01 pm to
Did you know that the most penalized teams in the SEC the last 2 years were Florida and LSU?



Just saying.
Posted by puttytat
BEACH
Member since Apr 2005
5374 posts
Posted on 9/26/08 at 7:31 pm to
Bottom line.....Saban in Athens defeating UGA.....just don't see it.....I just keep seeing LSU getting blasted in 2004
Posted by Monk
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
3660 posts
Posted on 9/26/08 at 9:45 pm to
Good call, you should bet some money on Bama winning.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 9/26/08 at 11:34 pm to
It will all boil down to the Georgia offensive line. A couple of things we know for sure: Saban will stack the box with however many players he needs to stop the run, and he will blitz however many he needs to get pressure on the QB. Therefore, the question is how many will he need to accomplish these objectives, and that will be determined by the Georgia offensive line. If he can stop the run with 7 in the box, and get pressure rushing 4, then Alabama will probably win. If he has to stack 8 or 9 to stop the run, and blitz 5 or 6 to get pressure, then Stafford and the Georgia WRs will be able to exploit the DBs and Georgia will probably win.

The one impressive win Alabama has had so far was against Clemson, who had a young, rebuilt, inexperienced offensive line. If there's a weakness on the Georgia team, the offensive line might be it, so it should be interesting to see how much Saban has to commit to accomplish his primary goals of stopping the run and pressuring the passer. The secret to beating Alabama this year is to be extremely good in the OL, which gives me a lot of confidence in our chances when we play them.

As for the Alabama offense, I don't expect them to put up big numbers, but they should be able to move the ball enough to score a decent point total (maybe around 17-20?). They won't sustain a consistent running game against the Georgia front, and Sarah Jessica will have some pressure on him, but they'll make some plays and score enough points to win IF their defense really shuts Georgia down, but not enough to win if Georgia's OL forces Saban to leave his DBs in dangerous man coverage just to stop Moreno and get any rush on Stafford.
Posted by Fighting Tigers
Member since Aug 2008
2167 posts
Posted on 9/29/08 at 1:27 am to
quote:

I hate to admit it, but when i looked at this matchup objectively, i already knew it would be a close game. So something has to tip the scales, and when a game is close i would have to pick the least penalized team in the sec vs the most penalized team in the ncaa.


The Tide had 334 yards while Georgia had 324. Yet, while Bama only gave up 9 yards to penalties, Georgia gave up 81 yards to penalties.
This post was edited on 9/29/08 at 1:29 am
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