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re: Is Kirby's UGA defense the best we’ve seen in the SEC in recent history? Nxt lvl data...

Posted on 10/20/21 at 4:13 pm to
Posted by HighTide_ATL
Member since Aug 2020
1905 posts
Posted on 10/20/21 at 4:13 pm to
quote:

We could do yards per play below season average when eliminating each team.

Ex: When we eliminate UGA, Arkansas was averaging 6.73 YPP. Against UGA, they averaged 3.6.

Right now, UGA is holding its opponents to 2.4 yards per play below their season average. 2016 Alabama?

Let's get granular!


Sure thing...

UGA is actually holding opponents to an avg of 2.36ypp below their opponents' season avg when you eliminate the UGA game and FCS opponents from each stat line. The best they've posted is a 3.26ypp difference against Kentucky.

2016 Bama managed to finish the season at 2.35ypp. This includes a SEC championship, and two playoff games. Their season best was 4.6ypp difference against LSU, and they posted above a 3.5ypp difference in 6 FBS games.

You can also break this down into scoring by looking at points allowed per play, which at the moment UGA is holding opponents to 0.314 points below their season average.
So far they've faced an avg ppp of 0.397.
The best offensive ppp they've faced is UK at 0.522. The best difference they've posted is against Arkansas at 0.502ppp below their average.

2016 Bama finished at 0.288 points below the opponet's average ppp.
Their schedule had a season avg of 0.471ppp.
The best offensive ppp they faced was strangely WKU at 0.697ppp (Washington was 2nd at 0.688).
The best difference they posted was against Washington at 0.563ppp below their average.

It's worth noting that the 2016 Bama defense also averaged 0.071 non-offensive points per play, which means the defense actually scored 1 point for every 14 plays an opposing offense ran.

2021 UGA's defense averages 0.029 non-offensive ppp, which comes out to scoring 1 point for every 34 plays an opposing offense runs.

Yes I'm a bit of a numbers geek.
This post was edited on 10/21/21 at 12:19 pm
Posted by The_Ultimate_Warrior
Member since Mar 2019
5736 posts
Posted on 10/20/21 at 11:41 pm to
Solid stats fam. I too am a numbers guy.

quote:

UGA is actually holding opponents to an avg of 2.47ypp below their opponents' season avg when you eliminate the UGA game and FCS opponents from each stat line. The best they've posted is a 4.32ypp difference against Kentucky.


I think a few of your numbers are off under the parameters, though (ex: UK-UGA game YPP numbers and UGA opp YPP below season average numbers). Even though the corrections diminish my point.

Kentucky ran 69 plays for 243 yards (3.52 YPP) vs Georgia.
If we eliminate UGA and FCS opponents, Kentucky is averaging 6.78 YPP (312 plays; 2,115 yards).
6.78 - 3.52 = 3.26

Still on a solid track. I didn't check the others out, but alas... granular.
CFBStats or TeamRankings may be tripping you up in this instance. Not sure which is your go-to if you scrape.
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