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re: 247 Sports SEC West prediction

Posted on 7/12/21 at 1:08 pm to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 7/12/21 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

hich is pretty much exactly what he did.



He won't have those at Auburn though, which is the bigger point. I think he's a solid coach, I just don't think the "coached them up" angle is really applicable. They were a solid, consistent program that beat most of the teams they should beat, split the games (or won a few more) with the teams that had similar talent and lost the majority of the games against teams with better talent.

At Boise, that profile equated to 11-2/10-3. At Auburn it will equate to a little less than that - and that assume he recruits better over time than the initial returns are showing (I think he probably will).
This post was edited on 7/12/21 at 1:11 pm
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 7/12/21 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

He won't have those at Auburn though, which is the bigger point.


nobody in the country has such a large talent disparity other than Bama but teams other than Bama have won a title in the last 10 years, with Auburn making 2 appearances.

Bama is such an absolute anomaly, that fans think other teams wont win unless they recruit like them. That isnt always the case.
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17356 posts
Posted on 7/12/21 at 1:19 pm to
quote:

He won't have those at Auburn though, which is the bigger point.
This is true. Which is why I expect us to struggle the first couple of years as he installs his system, which is different offensively from what AU has run since 2009.

BTW, that talent differential at Boise State over its conference foes wasn’t nearly as big an advantage as it has been made out to here. Using the 2017 rankings as an anecdotal example, BSU racked up 167 points in the 247 rankings, while the worst-recruiting school in the Mountain West that year, New Mexico, managed just under 110, a difference of 57 points.

To put that in perspective, AU’s class finished 9th in the nation and 4th in the SEC that year with 256 points, which was still only 49 points higher than Ole Miss, the worst class in the SEC West - but a whopping 55 points behind #2 UGa and almost 70 points behind #1 Bama.
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