re: Dylan Moses lost a lot of money returning to Bama for senior season

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Hard to take you serious with that. Here, this even from a Bama site

“Tabbed a likely first round pick for years, Moses saw his stock with the NFL Draft media plummet throughout the season. He’s now generally considered around the 10th best linebacker in the draft, and generally viewed as a Day 3 selection.”

LINK

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FOR YEARS it says. He was a 5 star recruit and has been known about since the 8th grade.

From PPF:

Biggest Fallers in the 2021 NFL Draft: Alabama's Dylan Moses, Miami's Gregory Rousseau and more

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End of Season ADP: 40.0
Current ADP: 104.2

Moses coasted into draft season off his reputation as a former five-star recruit, a freshman All-American and a multi-year starter for the Tide. But when most got around to his 2021 tape, they discovered that the results weren’t as good.

Moses returned from an ACL tear in 2019 to earn a 51.9 run-defense grade and 62.6 coverage grade. And that’s not going to cut it, even with plus athletic tools.

Even the early-career hype around Moses was based on what he could be and not necessarily what he was. Moses earned a 49.0 coverage grade back in 2018 and has shown little in the way of playmaking instincts in that regard. He finished just ninth among SEC linebackers in stops in 2020 after ranking 14th in stops in 2018. That’s not going to cut it for a top linebacker prospect.

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See what it says? At the end of the season, he was graded at around 40th. Top of the 2nd round pick.

Also as mentioned, his grades were basically the same, improved actually.

But after teams started to evaluate him more, he dropped down. This was written a few days before the draft, he's dropped even further than this projected.

The same evaluations would have been made last year, he likely would have dropped last year as well.