re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin

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My issue with this logic is that you're argument boils down to "if Ole Miss played better they would have won."

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No, I’m arguing that if something that only happens in 0.5% of all college football games played (about 1/200 games) hadn’t occurred they would have won. And that stat is skewed because it’s all FBS games, which means it’s usually slack jaw State vs Bama when it occurs. In games between P5 opponents it’s about 1/300.

There are quite a few college football programs who haven’t been involved in a single game with 7 turnovers by one team in the last 30 years. Arkansas could realistically go the rest of your life without playing in another such game. A&M has been involved in (I think?) two such games in the last 30 years and one was a five hour overtime game.