Started By
Message
re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:59 am to DuckTalesLOL
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:59 am to DuckTalesLOL
quote:
our defense is playing really well right now.
Again, apart from the turnovers teams move the ball with consistency against them. Their YPP is solid (5.1) which is 23rd in the nation, but this is a product of Odom’s defense. Teams are able to consistently move the ball in 5-10 yards increments and Arkansas struggles getting off the field without turnovers. This is reflected by the fact that they are still giving up 420 YPG, 23 first downs per game and consistently losing TOP despite that YPP average and despite 14 total opponent turnovers so far. Their overall defensive efficiency is 39th, which is SHOCKING given the 14 turnovers. You would expect a team forcing almost 4 turnovers per game to be in the top 3-5 in the country in defensive efficiency, but the fact is Arkansas really struggles stopping people without turnovers. And because turnovers tend to revert to he mean over time but other defensive metrics do not, it should be expected that Arkansas will have to deal with this fact going forward.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:01 am
2
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:13 am to Roger Klarvin
In the words of Bill Belichick, "stats are for losers" 
Posted on 10/19/20 at 11:32 am to Roger Klarvin
quote:
this is a product of Odom’s defense. Teams are able to consistently move the ball in 5-10 yards increments and Arkansas struggles getting off the field without turnovers.
So you're basically saying that we're purposely playing this way for our scheme, but if we weren't playing this way we wouldn't be winning? Obviously if it wasn't working Odom wouldn't be dropping 8 into coverage against these teams and we'd be better against the run. But offenses haven't scored more than 28 against us this year (there were several special teams and defensive scores, number goes down to 23 if you take out a blocked punt we had inside our own 15 against UGA).
You can't assume that taking turnovers away equals an automatic score. We could have made it 40-21 against Ole Miss but chose to kneel down, sure they could have gotten 2 more TDs with two fewer turnovers but they still would have lost. We also could have scored again against MSU if we didn't kneel down toward the end. These hypotheticals are impossible to predict.
Page 1 of 1
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News