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re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:47 am to Porcine Human
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:47 am to Porcine Human
quote:
Arkansas has made fewer mistakes than their opponents, but if their opponents magically made no mistakes they would have won!"
Genius level analysis
Such wild mischaracterization
I’m simply discussing the ramifications of Arkansas games reverting to some semblance of statistical normalcy. I’m not claiming “Oh had Ole Miss turned it over 0 times instead of 7 they would have won”.
The point here is Ole Miss could have still had a MISERABLE game (5ish turnovers, 2-3 failed 4th down conversions) and would still have almost certainly won.
At no point has the claim been about correcting for all opponent errors. The point is that Arkansas is winning games with wild and unsustainable turnover anomalies, and with the return to the mean that always occurs with this statistic over larger sample sizes their profound deficiencies elsewhere will be realized.
2
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:49 am to Roger Klarvin
We are in close games because of our offense. IF, you like to use that a lot, our O gets it together all your words you typed willl be worth shite
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:52 am to Roger Klarvin
quote:
The point here is Ole Miss could have still had a MISERABLE game (5ish turnovers, 2-3 failed 4th down conversions) and would still have almost certainly won.
My issue with this logic is that you're argument boils down to "if Ole Miss played better they would have won." Yes you can argue that that many turnovers is anomalous, but it's what happened.
Also Arkansas did not lean on turnovers to earn a victory on the field again Auburn. In fact, Arkansas missed 3 2 point conversion attempts and suffered a horrific blown call. So if we're normalizing for anomalies, Arkansas is still 2-2.
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