re: Arkansas 2020 is Arkansas 2019 with a better turnover margin

I haven't read all 7 pages, but he's saying that if we play worse, and other teams play better, we'd be losing more games?

Shocking if true.


Listen, our defense is playing really well right now. Our offense is struggling due to an entirely new system, new OC, new QB and no spring practice. Also we've been without a fully healthy RB in Rakeem Boyd and Treylon Burks(who was 80% Saturday but still had over 150 yards)

Offense will pick up and we won't have to rely on our defense as much.



at the end of the day, with the two worst teams in Arkansas football history, we've still had the ball with 2 minutes to go to win the game the last two years. A&M has been our closest game lately. Eventually it'll have to go our way.


btw, Mond sucks.

quote:

---

Arkansas has made fewer mistakes than their opponents, but if their opponents magically made no mistakes they would have won!"

Genius level analysis

---

Such wild mischaracterization

I’m simply discussing the ramifications of Arkansas games reverting to some semblance of statistical normalcy. I’m not claiming “Oh had Ole Miss turned it over 0 times instead of 7 they would have won”.

The point here is Ole Miss could have still had a MISERABLE game (5ish turnovers, 2-3 failed 4th down conversions) and would still have almost certainly won.

At no point has the claim been about correcting for all opponent errors. The point is that Arkansas is winning games with wild and unsustainable turnover anomalies, and with the return to the mean that always occurs with this statistic over larger sample sizes their profound deficiencies elsewhere will be realized.