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re: Analysis utilizing advanced mathematics
Posted on 8/21/20 at 7:57 am to Buyugurl
Posted on 8/21/20 at 7:57 am to Buyugurl
Hello, I am a fellow learned mathematician here to give his two cents:
I compiled the number of points given up by the Alabama defense in every ranked game since the start of the 2009 season and applied a moving average trendline with a period of two. Moving average allows us to analyze the performance of the Alabama defense at a particular point in time and then compare it to other points in time.
Analysis shows that 2019 was the worst year for Alabama's defense in the Saban era. Their moving average skyrocketed from 0 to nearly 50 and never dropped below 30. This is evidence of why Alabama wasn't able to win big games this past year despite having historic offensive production for most of the year.
We see that deep valleys follow almost every high peak in this data set, which seems to suggest that Alabama's defense will improve significantly in the next few games. Trendlines are nothing more than guesses though, so who knows what will happen in 2020. If Alabama were to give up 58 points in our game in Oxford this year, I wouldn't be upset.
Good luck this season you corn dog worshipping Tigahs.
I compiled the number of points given up by the Alabama defense in every ranked game since the start of the 2009 season and applied a moving average trendline with a period of two. Moving average allows us to analyze the performance of the Alabama defense at a particular point in time and then compare it to other points in time.
Analysis shows that 2019 was the worst year for Alabama's defense in the Saban era. Their moving average skyrocketed from 0 to nearly 50 and never dropped below 30. This is evidence of why Alabama wasn't able to win big games this past year despite having historic offensive production for most of the year.
We see that deep valleys follow almost every high peak in this data set, which seems to suggest that Alabama's defense will improve significantly in the next few games. Trendlines are nothing more than guesses though, so who knows what will happen in 2020. If Alabama were to give up 58 points in our game in Oxford this year, I wouldn't be upset.
Good luck this season you corn dog worshipping Tigahs.
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 8:05 am
4
Posted on 8/21/20 at 8:04 am to RebelTheBear
More interesting factoids from my research:
-The Alabama defense has shut out top 25 opponents 7 times in 72 games, or 9.72% of the time
-Since 2009, the average point differential of top 25 games in which Alabama has played is 13.75 points in favor of Alabama.
-Against top 25 opponents, Alabama has given up 40 or more points ten times since the beginning of the 2009 season. Alabama has given up 10 or less points twenty-four times in the same time span.
-The Alabama defense has shut out top 25 opponents 7 times in 72 games, or 9.72% of the time
-Since 2009, the average point differential of top 25 games in which Alabama has played is 13.75 points in favor of Alabama.
-Against top 25 opponents, Alabama has given up 40 or more points ten times since the beginning of the 2009 season. Alabama has given up 10 or less points twenty-four times in the same time span.
This post was edited on 8/21/20 at 4:46 pm
Posted on 8/21/20 at 8:04 am to RebelTheBear
quote:
RebelTheBear
Posted on 8/21/20 at 8:18 am to RebelTheBear
In designing a study, sample size calculation is important for methodological and ethical reasons.
When viewing the OP, one should be on alert to ascertain that the study they are reading was subjected to sample size calculation.
In the absence of this calculation, the findings of the study should be interpreted with caution.
When viewing the OP, one should be on alert to ascertain that the study they are reading was subjected to sample size calculation.
In the absence of this calculation, the findings of the study should be interpreted with caution.
Posted on 8/21/20 at 11:48 am to RebelTheBear
Very well done. As a peer I like your research.
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