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re: Football this fall???

Posted on 6/28/20 at 1:51 pm to
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 6/28/20 at 1:51 pm to
quote:

I write about excess deaths and you replied with a chart about cases, not deaths. COVID-19 is much more deadly than the flu.
How is this so difficult for you?

Flu kills about 50,000 people on average per year.

Chart shows you that at the same time COVID testing rolled out in NYS, number of people with the flu strangely drops to around 5% of it's norm.

Ergo, the likely number of deaths from the flu would also drop by a respective ratio.

The math would look something like this...

Flu has a 0.1% mortality rate. Which means approximately 50 million people get the flu each year for there to be around 50,000 average flu deaths.

Obviously, if flu cases drop to only 5% of their norm, meaning around 2.5 million, that means instead of 50,000 people dying from the flu, it SHOULD only be around 2,500.


But yet, the CDC is ESTIMATING between 30k-60k flu deaths this year, but if we have states like NY, who I showed have supposedly had flu cases drop to 5% of their norm, then that CDC estimate is going to get blown the frick up. That's just one of 50 states with supposedly a 95% reduction in their typical number of flu cases. There's no freaking possible way the country can have 30k-60k flu deaths with a 95% reduction in the typical amount of people who get the flu.


What this means is, either people in NYS with symptomatic flu and asymptomatic COVID were being counted as just COVID deaths, or, somehow COVID is causing less people to get the flu. Which means flu deaths will be supplanted by COVID deaths by a huge margin.

In either case, no, there are not a ton of excess deaths, because something funky is going on between flu and COVID, and there is massive overlap between them. And "massive" might be an understatement if that NYS health department flu chart is accurate. I mean, a 95% reduction in flu cases over the norm is absurd. Something is clearly funky there. Don't ya think?

And that's JUST the flu. There are n+1 other viruses and ailments that people typically die of each year, but if the flu is dropping down to 5% of it's norm the moment COVID testing rolled out, I'd bet dollars to doughnuts that everything else conveniently dropped in number of cases, and subsequently mortality rate, by a massive percentage too.


Get it yet? Or is this still too difficult to understand? Because it's really not that complex.
This post was edited on 6/28/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
29772 posts
Posted on 6/28/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

it's really not that complex.


excep5 for those being willfully obtuse

another thing that confuses me; we are getting reports that the number of actual cases is likely 8 to 10 times higher than is being reported

so, more like 25 million cases instead of 2.5 million

this is being used to drum up more fear; when it actually demonstrates that the virus is in truth less deadly than we are being told

20 - 25 million prior cases is reason to be less afraid, not more afraid...
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