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re: Keys to beat Bama
Posted on 1/4/18 at 9:45 am to meansonny
Posted on 1/4/18 at 9:45 am to meansonny
quote:
Our offense has really opened up since we started calling a balanced 1st down (50/50 run/pass).
It started about halfway through the 2nd quarter against Kentucky (11 straight runs on first down had net 7 points. The next first down was a TD throw. In a span of 9 minutes of gametime, we had 3 TDs).
In the SECCG, UGA converted first downs against Auburn on 6 out of 7 first down opportunities by throwing on 1st down (tray Matthews sacked Fromm on one pass opportunity, and UGA failed to pickup a 1st down).
In the Rose Bowl, a pass play on 1st down net a 1st down or score in 11 out of 14 opportunities.
Prior to the Rose Bowl, our yards per play since that drive against Kentucky was over 10! (And that includes salting away wins by running the ball against UK, GT, etc..)
I'm sure Saban will be anticipating the first down pass as well. The problem will come when Fromm does not connect. It won't be as easy as throwing against UK or OU. The first pass he misses will give you 2nd and 10. Run the ball next play and it's probably 3rd and 6 or 7.
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Posted on 1/4/18 at 11:07 am to bama1959
quote:
I'm sure Saban will be anticipating the first down pass as well. The problem will come when Fromm does not connect. It won't be as easy as throwing against UK or OU. The first pass he misses will give you 2nd and 10. Run the ball next play and it's probably 3rd and 6 or 7.
No doubt... Bama is the toughest game that we will play all season.
Anticipating pass on 1st down won't do you much good in a 50/50 situation. That's the entire point of 50/50. You will be wrong half of the time if you are guessing.
The net effect of passing on 1st down puts Fromm in a position to contribute offensively without putting too much on his shoulders (running on 2nd and 10 will hopefully net a 3rd and 6 or better. We still have the option to pass on 2nd and 10 too. So a throw should have a similar level of success that the first down offered because the defense can't cheat a tendancy).
But those figures included 1st down incompletions and sacks. We still found ways to convert the majority of those series into 1st downs or scores. And our running game improved on 1st down (see the first Auburn game for what a defense can do when they expect you to run on first downs 9 times in a row).
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