re: Size and Growth of SEC Metros

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The lesson here is pretty much the lesson of the last half-century. The primary thrust of population migration has been toward urban centers.

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That's actually just partially true.

As far as Domestic Migration, people are actually fleeing the large major US Metros.

Of the 53 Major US Metros with a population of 1 Million people or more, 2016 estimated Net Domestic Migration was actually -63,832. So in other words, as for US Citizens, a net of 63,000 picked up and moved out of a major metro in 2016 compared to those moving in.

Meanwhile, during the same period of time, a net of +155,377 moved to the "smaller" US Metros sized between 250,000 and just under 1 Million people.

The three largest US Metros saw gigantic losses in 2016 in terms of Net Domestic Migration. New York lost a net of 200,000 people to other places in the US. Los Angeles and Chicago both lost a net of 90,000 each to other places in the US.

Of the 11 largest metros in the US, only 3 saw an increase in 2016 in terms of Net Domestic Migrants (Dallas, Houston, and Atlanta).

The major metros are still growing at a faster rate, but almost all of the growth is by Natural Increase (Births - Deaths) or International Immigration.

Here is how the 53 Major Metros have grown their combined populations since 2010:

+5,975,544- Natural Increases (Births - Deaths)
+4,394,767- Net International Migrants
+222,332- Net Domestic Migrants