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re: Let's Talk About Washington....
Posted on 12/29/16 at 8:24 am to CrimsonFlounder
Posted on 12/29/16 at 8:24 am to CrimsonFlounder
I think I posted this a few weeks ago, but it bears repeating
Jake Browning vs Top 40 Defenses (Per S&P)
#11 Colorado : 9/24 (37.5%), 118 Yards (4.9 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT
#13 USC : 17/36 (47.2%), 259 Yards (7.2 YPA), 1 TD/2 INT
#19 Stanford : 15/21 (71.4%), 210 Yards (10.0 YPA), 3 TD/0 INT
#38 Utah : 12/20 (60.0%), 186 Yards (9.3 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT
TOTAL : 53/101 (52.5%), 193 YPG (7.7 YPA), 8 TD/3 INT
EVERY OTHER GAME : 170/252 (67.5%), 279 YPG (10.0 YPA), 34 TD/3 INT
They have destroyed mediocre/bad defenses because Browning is clearly very good when he has a clean pocket, time and clean routes to throw to (plus Peterson is a fantastic coach), but against the best defenses, when things get tighter and the pocket isn't as clean, he has struggled quite a bit.
Quite frankly, people keep saying this will be our "toughest QB test" of the season.........I just don't think that's true. Most complete offense? Perhaps, but I don't think Browning is as good as the version of Chad Kelly we saw, nor do I think he is as good under the pressure we will bring as Austin Allen was.
Jake Browning vs Top 40 Defenses (Per S&P)
#11 Colorado : 9/24 (37.5%), 118 Yards (4.9 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT
#13 USC : 17/36 (47.2%), 259 Yards (7.2 YPA), 1 TD/2 INT
#19 Stanford : 15/21 (71.4%), 210 Yards (10.0 YPA), 3 TD/0 INT
#38 Utah : 12/20 (60.0%), 186 Yards (9.3 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT
TOTAL : 53/101 (52.5%), 193 YPG (7.7 YPA), 8 TD/3 INT
EVERY OTHER GAME : 170/252 (67.5%), 279 YPG (10.0 YPA), 34 TD/3 INT
They have destroyed mediocre/bad defenses because Browning is clearly very good when he has a clean pocket, time and clean routes to throw to (plus Peterson is a fantastic coach), but against the best defenses, when things get tighter and the pocket isn't as clean, he has struggled quite a bit.
Quite frankly, people keep saying this will be our "toughest QB test" of the season.........I just don't think that's true. Most complete offense? Perhaps, but I don't think Browning is as good as the version of Chad Kelly we saw, nor do I think he is as good under the pressure we will bring as Austin Allen was.
This post was edited on 12/29/16 at 8:28 am
2
Posted on 12/29/16 at 9:05 am to Triple Daves
Yeah, Browning panics under pressure. Saw another stat that shows he has a QBR of 43 when pressured. Against Colorado he was pressured over 60% of his drop backs. That was with a strong run game working. If anyone thinks CU has the front 7 of Bama, I want some of what they are smoking.
Posted on 12/29/16 at 11:34 am to Triple Daves
Hurts stats for comparison to Browning:
Hurts vs. Top 40 Defenses Per S&P:
#4 LSU: 10/19 (52.6%), 107 Yards (5.63 YPA), 0 TD/1 INT, 20 rushes, 114 yards, 1 TD
#7 Auburn: 27/36 (75%), 286 yards (7.94 YPA), 2TD/2 INT, 12 rushes, 37 yards, 1 TD
#8 Florida: 11/20 (55&), 138 yards (6.9 YPA), 1 TD/0 INT, 8 rushes, 1 yard
#13 USC: 6/11 (54.5%), 118 yards (10.7 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT, 9 rushes, 32 yards, 2 TD
#35 WKU: 23/36 (63.9%), 287 yards (7.97 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT, 11 rushes, 19 yards
#37 ATM: 15/25 (60%), 164 yards (6.56 YPA), 2 TD/2 INT, 21 rushes, 93 yards, 1 TD
Total: 92/147 (62.5%), 1100 yards (183 YPG, 7.48 YPA), 9 TDs /6 INTs, 296 yards rushing (49.3 YPG), 5 TDs
EVERY OTHER GAME: 128/190 (67.3%), 1492 yards (213 YPG, 7.85 YPA), 13 TD/ 3 INT, 545 yards (78 YPG), 7 TDs
A dropoff for sure, but not terrible. 30 less yards per game throwing, 30 less yards rushing, and more INTs.
It is interesting that Hurts is as effective as Browning vs. good defenses though.
Hurts vs. Top 40 Defenses Per S&P:
#4 LSU: 10/19 (52.6%), 107 Yards (5.63 YPA), 0 TD/1 INT, 20 rushes, 114 yards, 1 TD
#7 Auburn: 27/36 (75%), 286 yards (7.94 YPA), 2TD/2 INT, 12 rushes, 37 yards, 1 TD
#8 Florida: 11/20 (55&), 138 yards (6.9 YPA), 1 TD/0 INT, 8 rushes, 1 yard
#13 USC: 6/11 (54.5%), 118 yards (10.7 YPA), 2 TD/1 INT, 9 rushes, 32 yards, 2 TD
#35 WKU: 23/36 (63.9%), 287 yards (7.97 YPA), 2 TD/0 INT, 11 rushes, 19 yards
#37 ATM: 15/25 (60%), 164 yards (6.56 YPA), 2 TD/2 INT, 21 rushes, 93 yards, 1 TD
Total: 92/147 (62.5%), 1100 yards (183 YPG, 7.48 YPA), 9 TDs /6 INTs, 296 yards rushing (49.3 YPG), 5 TDs
EVERY OTHER GAME: 128/190 (67.3%), 1492 yards (213 YPG, 7.85 YPA), 13 TD/ 3 INT, 545 yards (78 YPG), 7 TDs
A dropoff for sure, but not terrible. 30 less yards per game throwing, 30 less yards rushing, and more INTs.
It is interesting that Hurts is as effective as Browning vs. good defenses though.
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