re: I just don't see this game being close.

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This game worries the hell out of me.

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They may prove me wrong, but I just don't think aTm will be effective on defense.

Here are the rushing yards aTm's allowed to P5 opponents this year:

UCLA: 125
Auburn: 236
Arkansas: 120
USCe: 161
Tennessee: 282

On the surface, those look like respectable numbers, but raw numbers don't tell the whole story. Here are those team's rankings in rushing offense:

UCLA: 127
Auburn: 12
Arkansas: 59
USCe: 126
Tennessee: 71

The only team they've faced in the top 50 is Auburn, which has statistically benefited from two >400 yard games against non-P5 opponents.

Even more telling, with the exception of Arkansas every single P5 aTm opponent has posted their best rushing total (against P5 foes) of the season against the Aggies.

Alabama is 10th in the nation at 262 yards per game - but unlike Auburn which has padded their numbers against non P5 teams, Alabama's averaging a whopping 290 yards against P5 foes.

Unless aTm can seriously buck the trend, in the vernacular of tRant Harris, Jacobs, Scarborough, and Hurts finna eat.