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re: Bama's Road Schedule

Posted on 6/15/16 at 4:54 pm to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

Alabama is beating almost all the ranked and borderline ranked teams it plays, more so than everyone else, and this absolutely impacts the number of teams it plays that end up ranked at the end of the year.


It doesn't seem to effect other teams who've won the SEC during the last decade or so. Why not play some opponents who will certainly finish in the top 15?... that way they are guaranteed not to fall out just because your team beat them.

Here are the # of Top 15 teams beaten during the regular season by all SEC or National Championship teams since 2007:

4- 2010 Auburn (#8 LSU, #10 Alabama, #12 Arkansas, #15 Miss. St.)
3- 2007 LSU (#9 Virginia Tech, #13 Florida, #15 Auburn)
3- 2011 LSU (#1 Alabama, #4 Oregon, #5 Arkansas)
1- 2011 Alabama (#5 Arkansas)
1- 2013 Auburn (#7 Alabama)
1- 2009 Alabama (#10 Virginia Tech)
1- 2014 Alabama (#11 Miss. St.)
1- 2008 Florida (#13 Georgia)
1- 2012 Alabama (#14 LSU)
0- 2015 Alabama

Teams not named Alabama that won an SEC or National Title since 2007 have averaged beating 2.4 teams per year that finished ranked in the Top 15. The four Alabama squads that have won Championships since 2007 beat a combined 3 opponents during the regular season that finished in the Top 15.... resulting in 0.75 such opponents per team.

So in other words, all the other teams to have won an SEC Title since '07 have averaged playing more than 3x the number of Top 15 opponents during the regular season compared to Alabama. They don't seem to have this same predicament you claim your team does.

This post was edited on 6/15/16 at 4:56 pm
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37734 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Why not play some opponents who will certainly finish in the top 15?...


How do you predict years in advance when the schedule is made who will finish a season in the top 15?

Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
25015 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

4- 2010 Auburn (#8 LSU, #10 Alabama, #12 Arkansas, #15 Miss. St.)
3- 2007 LSU (#9 Virginia Tech, #13 Florida, #15 Auburn)
3- 2011 LSU (#1 Alabama, #4 Oregon, #5 Arkansas)
1- 2011 Alabama (#5 Arkansas)
1- 2013 Auburn (#7 Alabama)
1- 2009 Alabama (#10 Virginia Tech)
1- 2014 Alabama (#11 Miss. St.)
1- 2008 Florida (#13 Georgia)
1- 2012 Alabama (#14 LSU)
0- 2015 Alabama


Yep, Alabama continuing to prop up everyone's numbers.

Damn, pretty much need to be Alabama or beat Alabama to win a NC these days.

ETA: Never mind I see you've now changed the parameters again to teams in the top 15 that you beat.
This post was edited on 6/15/16 at 5:08 pm
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