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re: Bama's Road Schedule
Posted on 6/15/16 at 3:42 pm to BHMKyle
Posted on 6/15/16 at 3:42 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
Since 2007, Auburn has faced the most Top 25 teams during regular season play.... yet they've played for two national titles during this span. Obviously it hasn't punished them.
Alabama has 33 more wins than Auburn in the last 8 years alone. Horrible example for you to use. Again Alabama is beating a lot more of its ranked/borderline ranked teams than Auburn is which impacts how many of Alabama's opponents end the year ranked compared to Auburn. Like I said Alabama is beating almost all the ranked and borderline ranked teams it plays, more so than everyone else, and this absolutely impacts the number of teams it plays that end up ranked at the end of the year. It impacts Alabama more so than any other team and that is a fact. Not sure why you would even try to deny it/ignore it. Stated another way if Alabama plays those ranked teams / borderline ranked teams at a similar winning/losing clip as other teams do, you would see Alabama's number of end of year ranked opponents go up. This is the flaw in your analysis.
I'm not saying Alabama has played the toughest schedule in the SEC, but the significant flaw in your analysis overstates the perceived weakness in Alabama's schedule. The bottom line is the better you do against your ranked/borderline ranked opponents, the more ranked opponents you knock out of your final tally. Over a period of 8 years of winning at the clip Alabama has, it makes a difference even if you refuse to acknowledge it.
This post was edited on 6/15/16 at 3:43 pm
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Posted on 6/15/16 at 4:51 pm to elposter
quote:
This is the flaw in your analysis
He refuses to acknowledge that is analysis is fundamentally flawed. He is so blinded by his hatred of Bama to even reflect on why is analysis is flawed. This analysis isn't even original and this same argument has been made in a hundred other threads.
The only thing you can criticize Bama about re: scheduling is that we have probably benefitted a little from out permanaent cross division rival that has had several down years. However, Bama's record in the West, the SECCG, BCSCG, and Playoffs speaks for itself.
Posted on 6/15/16 at 4:54 pm to elposter
quote:
Alabama is beating almost all the ranked and borderline ranked teams it plays, more so than everyone else, and this absolutely impacts the number of teams it plays that end up ranked at the end of the year.
It doesn't seem to effect other teams who've won the SEC during the last decade or so. Why not play some opponents who will certainly finish in the top 15?... that way they are guaranteed not to fall out just because your team beat them.
Here are the # of Top 15 teams beaten during the regular season by all SEC or National Championship teams since 2007:
4- 2010 Auburn (#8 LSU, #10 Alabama, #12 Arkansas, #15 Miss. St.)
3- 2007 LSU (#9 Virginia Tech, #13 Florida, #15 Auburn)
3- 2011 LSU (#1 Alabama, #4 Oregon, #5 Arkansas)
1- 2011 Alabama (#5 Arkansas)
1- 2013 Auburn (#7 Alabama)
1- 2009 Alabama (#10 Virginia Tech)
1- 2014 Alabama (#11 Miss. St.)
1- 2008 Florida (#13 Georgia)
1- 2012 Alabama (#14 LSU)
0- 2015 Alabama
Teams not named Alabama that won an SEC or National Title since 2007 have averaged beating 2.4 teams per year that finished ranked in the Top 15. The four Alabama squads that have won Championships since 2007 beat a combined 3 opponents during the regular season that finished in the Top 15.... resulting in 0.75 such opponents per team.
So in other words, all the other teams to have won an SEC Title since '07 have averaged playing more than 3x the number of Top 15 opponents during the regular season compared to Alabama. They don't seem to have this same predicament you claim your team does.
This post was edited on 6/15/16 at 4:56 pm
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