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re: Bama's Road Schedule

Posted on 6/15/16 at 12:43 pm to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Also, I find the "Top 25" argument to be a bit misleading. It is an arbitrary cut off that gives no partial points to a team ranked #22 compared to a team ranked #29. That is a bit silly when you are arguing an aggregate SOS.


I agree with this. However, I do think its one of the better way to look at things. Typically a team ranked #25 at the end of the season had a pretty decent year. If you can't make the top 25, then you probably weren't that great to begin with.

There's obviously no distinguishable difference between #25 and #26.... but once you get to #30 or so, the quality of teams drops off substantially, IMO.

So I still think looking at the final Top 25 is the best way to go.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I agree with this. However, I do think its one of the better way to look at things. Typically a team ranked #25 at the end of the season had a pretty decent year. If you can't make the top 25, then you probably weren't that great to begin with. There's obviously no distinguishable difference between #25 and #26.... but once you get to #30 or so, the quality of teams drops off substantially, IMO. So I still think looking at the final Top 25 is the best way to go.



I think it can all depend on the year. Regardless, there is no perfect way to look at it. I prefer the statistically breakdowns because it gives a full picture, but I concede that there can be some headscratchers in there too.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
25051 posts
Posted on 6/15/16 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

So I still think looking at the final Top 25 is the best way to go.



They have advanced SOS figures to determine strong / weak schedules that is a much better analysis than all of the picking and choosing you are doing in this thread.

Also one big flaw in your analysis that you can't really account for (or at least haven't yet I don't think) is that Alabama beats the shite out the ranked/almost ranked teams it plays at a much higher clip than everyone else on your list resulting in Alabama knocking out a bunch of its ranked/almost ranked opponents.

In other words, according to your very rudimentary analysis of SOS the better you are and more you win the worse your schedule is. That hurts Alabama more than any team in the country. It is a serious flaw in your analysis. However, the effort you are putting in is admirable and has sparked interesting conversation.
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