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re: Different way to look at returning experience (LSU #1)
Posted on 2/5/16 at 6:00 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Posted on 2/5/16 at 6:00 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I like SB nation... but any "system' that has Alabama projected last in the SEC, and 104th in the nation is not something I would pay much attention to.
The statisticians at SB get off in left field pretty often. Their mathematical method of picking the winners of the bowl games... winners outright, not beating the line... ended almost exactly 50-50. A coin toss would have done the same.
The statisticians at SB get off in left field pretty often. Their mathematical method of picking the winners of the bowl games... winners outright, not beating the line... ended almost exactly 50-50. A coin toss would have done the same.
2
Posted on 2/5/16 at 8:00 pm to Jacknola
Well it's important to realize what it's projecting: net change in performance (pts/game) for next year. Alabama won the NC this year and seemed to clearly be the best team. Do you think they should be projected to improve given who they lose? Now Alabama recruits well enough to mitigate experience lost more than anyone in the country, so this projection is going to skew them negatively.
However, the 50/50 finish on bowl bets is pretty bad. It's one year, and I don't know how many bowls they predicted, but any kind of worthwhile system should be significantly over 50 for outright winners. That's terrible.
However, the 50/50 finish on bowl bets is pretty bad. It's one year, and I don't know how many bowls they predicted, but any kind of worthwhile system should be significantly over 50 for outright winners. That's terrible.
Posted on 2/5/16 at 9:33 pm to Jacknola
All it's saying is that Bama is losing the most offensive and defensive production from last year.
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