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Different way to look at returning experience (LSU #1)
Posted on 2/5/16 at 4:57 pm
Posted on 2/5/16 at 4:57 pm
5
Posted on 2/5/16 at 5:02 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I'm just happy we only lost ONE underclassman to the draft this year (OL Jerald Hawkins), as opposed to leading the nation in that category the last few years!
Posted on 2/5/16 at 5:32 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Interesting take. If we only improve by an average of 2.1 pts/game, 2016 is going to be a long season... 
Posted on 2/5/16 at 5:34 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Very cool article and method. And even though he acknowledges that his OL metric is flawed, it seems like that should've been dealt with already (I'm greedy ). Returning three of last year's starters seems magnitudes more valuable than returning a three year starter. I would think his simple proposed solution of using only the previous year's starts would be sufficient, but you could consider weighting by recency (2x for previous year and 1x for 2+ years prior).
I think that considering the consensus that OL play is largely influenced by experience and highly correlated with offensive success, it's imperative to devise a metric for OL experience that properly reflects this correlation. With other stuff you don't wanna fish and fiddle, but there's no way OL experience doesn't matter.
). Returning three of last year's starters seems magnitudes more valuable than returning a three year starter. I would think his simple proposed solution of using only the previous year's starts would be sufficient, but you could consider weighting by recency (2x for previous year and 1x for 2+ years prior). I think that considering the consensus that OL play is largely influenced by experience and highly correlated with offensive success, it's imperative to devise a metric for OL experience that properly reflects this correlation. With other stuff you don't wanna fish and fiddle, but there's no way OL experience doesn't matter.
Posted on 2/5/16 at 6:00 pm to Cheeky Fellow
I like SB nation... but any "system' that has Alabama projected last in the SEC, and 104th in the nation is not something I would pay much attention to.
The statisticians at SB get off in left field pretty often. Their mathematical method of picking the winners of the bowl games... winners outright, not beating the line... ended almost exactly 50-50. A coin toss would have done the same.
The statisticians at SB get off in left field pretty often. Their mathematical method of picking the winners of the bowl games... winners outright, not beating the line... ended almost exactly 50-50. A coin toss would have done the same.
Posted on 2/5/16 at 6:07 pm to Cheeky Fellow
Pressure is on for the grass eater.
Time to do something.
Time to do something.
This post was edited on 2/5/16 at 6:08 pm
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