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re: 2016 LSU Football Season Prediction Thread

Posted on 1/19/16 at 4:45 pm to
Posted by southeasttiger113
Member since Aug 2011
2046 posts
Posted on 1/19/16 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

in the real world, every game/play has odds of success based on 1,000 different factors
I know this. And those factors are nonexistent and impossible to predict at this point in time. Ya'll are acting like I'm dumb because I'm choosing to disregard a bunch of random speculation that's impossible to validate being thrown around.
quote:

Vegas makes it's money off of irrational people like you.
No it doesn't, because I don't bet on sports. I'm willing to bet that more than a few people who are trying to explain to me that there are all of these methods to predict winners DO like to bet on sports though, and I'm willing to bet that they're down in their lifetimes.
quote:

purest form of a gambler's fallacy is a person incorrectly interpreting results as proof that there is a difference in the chance of success.
Is this not what several people have been saying? Not saying you, but other people, specifically that Arkansas fan that was dumb enough t think I'm fricked up 75% of the time. You're dragging the things I'm saying to other people and acting like I'm targeting you. I'm not, I understand what you're saying but you're replying to me when I'm not talking to you and it muddied up the conversation to the point that it was completely blown apart
Posted by RazorBroncs
Harding Bisons Fan
Member since Sep 2013
13579 posts
Posted on 1/19/16 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

specifically that Arkansas fan that was dumb enough t think I'm fricked up 75% of the time.


Incorrect, I think you're fricked up 100% of the time.


And I don't mean any kind of drug or alcohol.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/19/16 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

bunch of random speculation that's impossible to validate being thrown around.


Except for the factors you believe are what random are just as much random speculation as the factors that we think weigh more.

quote:

No it doesn't, because I don't bet on sports


Ok, let's rephrase, Vegas WOULD make money off of people like you if you applied this logic to betting.

quote:

Is this not what several people have been saying? Not saying you, but other people, specifically that Arkansas fan that was dumb enough t think I'm fricked up 75% of the time. You're dragging the things I'm saying to other people and acting like I'm targeting you. I'm not, I understand what you're saying but you're replying to me when I'm not talking to you and it muddied up the conversation to the point that it was completely blown apart


Bro, you have been responding directly to me for well over 15 posts and an hour. Anything from dick sucker to dumb shite to lawd knows what else. So yes, I have been responding back to you.

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